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william hockey

T3 · host / generalist

Co-founder of Plaid and co-founder of Column, a bank and financial-infrastructure company. His work centers on building financial services infrastructure for software companies.

2 calls·2 names·100% bull·last heard 6 months ago·Invest Like The Best
track record

no scored calls yet — needs a stated position or a categorical verdict, with a matured window vs SPY

top calls

highest conviction · one per company
1stmedium conviction
$JPMJPMorgan Chase

Hockey predicts large US banks with massive distribution and high labor costs will be primary beneficiaries of AI-driven efficiency gains

Large banks have high headcount and technology spend rather than physical assets, making them ideal candidates for AI automation; those with the largest distribution and cost structures will capture the most value from AI efficiency gains.

Invest Like The Best2026-03episode →
2ndlow conviction
$KSPIKaspi.kz

Hockey highlights Kaspi.kz as fascinating super-app combining banking, e-commerce, and government services in Kazakhstan

Kaspi's model of acquiring a bank then building e-commerce, payments, and government services on top demonstrates the power of vertical integration in emerging markets where financial services are the primary distribution channel.

Invest Like The Best2026-03episode →

most discussed · click a bar to filter

  • $KSPI
  • $JPM

recurring themes

  • Fintech2
  • Macro & Rates1
  • AI Infrastructure1
  • Venture Capital1
  • Payments & Banking Infrastructure1
2 total
$KSPI
···
Kaspi.kz
LOWwilliam hockey·Invest Like The Best·6 months ago·How to bet on yourself (without venture capital)
Hockey highlights Kaspi.kz as fascinating super-app combining banking, e-commerce, and government services in Kazakhstan
Kaspi's model of acquiring a bank then building e-commerce, payments, and government services on top demonstrates the power of vertical integration in emerging markets where financial services are the primary distribution channel.
"one of the most interesting companies out there is Kaspi in Kazakhstan... They started out by buying a bank. And then they just kind of built did everything... largest like e-comm…"
12:11
$JPM
···
JPMorgan Chase
MEDwilliam hockey·Invest Like The Best·6 months ago·How to bet on yourself (without venture capital)
Hockey predicts large US banks with massive distribution and high labor costs will be primary beneficiaries of AI-driven efficiency gains
Large banks have high headcount and technology spend rather than physical assets, making them ideal candidates for AI automation; those with the largest distribution and cost structures will capture the most value from AI efficiency gains.
"the large banks that can actually effectively harness that are going to be some of the largest beneficiaries... the banks that are like the most effectively run have the largest d…"
68:02
9
Macro & Ratestailwind
US dollar remains dominant in global trade (75%) even among adversaries, providing structural national security advantage
Dollar denominates 75% of global trade including between adversaries like China/Russia, giving US unique financial warfare capability via sanctions; this reinforces demand for US financial infrastructure and makes dollar-based fintech strategically vital.
9
AI Infrastructuretailwind
AI value will accrue to incumbents with massive distribution and high cost structures, not AI model companies
William argues AI companies themselves won't capture value; instead, companies with massive distribution (big brands, big banks) and high labor/tech costs will benefit most from AI efficiency gains, similar to how Standard Oil captured railroad value.
8
Fintechtailwind
Constrained emerging markets drive financial innovation (M-Pesa, Kaspi, Rawbank) and have massive unmet demand for dollar-denominated financial services
Countries with currency instability and low banking penetration innovate faster in financial services (mobile payments, super-apps) and rely heavily on USD, creating opportunity for US-regulated fintech infrastructure providers to serve global dollar demand.
8
Venture Capitalheadwind
VC funding creates misaligned incentives and short-termism; self-funded profitability enables true long-termism and employee ownership
VC money acts like heroin—addictive and hard to quit—forcing companies to optimize for next raise rather than long-term value; self-funding allows 10-year investment horizons, employee liquidity, and alignment between founders, employees, and customers.
8
Payments & Banking Infrastructuretailwind
US banking infrastructure (Fed) is technologically superior to crypto/stablecoins; implementation gaps at community banks create opportunity for modern API layers
Fed systems already offer 24/7 real-time settlement faster than stablecoins; the bottleneck is implementation at small banks due to business model constraints, not core infrastructure, creating opportunity for companies like Column to provide modern API access.
7
Defense Techtailwind
Financial services and dollar dominance are the first line of national defense (sanctions before missiles); Silicon Valley should embrace this role
US uses dollar-based sanctions to enforce foreign policy without military risk; financial infrastructure companies are strategic national assets akin to defense contractors, and Silicon Valley increasingly recognizes its role in national security.
7
Fintechtailwind
AI will enable frictionless financial UX by solving fraud detection for vulnerable populations, unlocking instant payments for everyone else
Current financial friction exists to protect 5-10% of vulnerable users from fraud; AI can detect fraud in real-time at human-level accuracy, allowing removal of friction for the majority while protecting the vulnerable, dramatically improving UX.