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$ORCL

Oracle
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Oracle provides database software, business applications and cloud infrastructure for enterprises.

sentiment mix
bull 48%bear 35%neu 17%

signal summary

latest high-conviction thesis
Oracle oversold at 30% drop; debt improving, RPO priced in, Ellison defends grade▾

Oracle's selloff overdone: debt/equity fell from 781% to 427%, property/equipment up 130% vs debt up only 9%, RPO backlog already reflected in price; Larry Ellison's 42% ownership ensures investment-grade defense.

nancy tenglerT1The Information2025-11-27
confidence 88 / 100impact High
key themes
  • AI Infrastructure75%
  • AI Bubble / Capex Debate42%
  • AI Economics & Business Models36%
  • Semiconductors33%
  • Robotics & Physical AI31%

bull thesis · 19

69 / 100
  • •Ryan Vlastelica notes Oracle shows mixed but positive results amid software rebound
  • •Positron deploys 50 Atlas FPGA racks at Oracle as first production customer
  • •BNP Paribas maintains outperform on Oracle: 25-30% earnings growth justifies 20x PE with 7x exit multiple by 2030

bear thesis · 14

45 / 100
  • •Meeks flags Oracle as only hyperscaler burning free cash flow
  • •Oracle is the only hyperscaler burning through free cash flow
  • •Oracle's debt-financed AI buildout faces rising cost of capital spiral

company research · 7 videos

mentions · 40

new
Bloomberg TechAnthropic’s Claude Takes Bigger Role in Building AI1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 7 days ago
0:007:0015:0022:0030:00
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The InformationWhy Higher Rates Threaten AI Companies2 mentions · 0▲ 2▼ 0○ · 8 days ago
0:002:005:007:0010:00
Asymmetric Investing by Travis HoiumThe Real Reason Oracle Stock Is Crashing1 mentions · 0▲ 1▼ 0○ · 9 days ago
0:003:007:0011:0015:00
TBPNFruitfly Hard Takeoff, Parker's Vineyard, Personal Agents1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 14 days ago
0:0026:0052:001:18:001:45:00
Bloomberg TechOracle’s Cloud Growth; Debate Around AI Risks1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 14 days ago
0:003:007:0011:0015:00
Michael SikandTrading $ORCL For GPT 6 Astra, Winners Of Anthropic IPO, and $QCOM's Amazon Chip Deal1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 14 days ago
0:002:005:007:0010:00
Bloomberg TechMarvell, Google Deepen Ties in AI Chip Race | Bloomberg Tech 8/19/20261 mentions · 0▲ 0▼ 1○ · last month
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SemiAnalysisEp. 024 - SpaceX's 10GW Plan Drives $300B ARR by 2027 (Datacenter, Energy)1 mentions · 0▲ 0▼ 1○ · 2 months ago
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Invest Like The BestSam Altman on AGI, Compute, and Human Agency2 mentions · 2▲ 0▼ 0○ · 2 months ago
0:003:007:0011:0015:00
Asymmetric InvestingAsk Me Anything: July 2026 Edition1 mentions · 0▲ 1▼ 0○ · 2 months ago
0:002:005:007:0010:00
Asymmetric InvestingOracle's 60% Collapse Shows a Bigger Problem2 mentions · 0▲ 2▼ 0○ · 2 months ago
0:003:007:0011:0015:00
Sourcery VCData is Back: MongoDB, Databricks, Snowflake1 mentions · 0▲ 0▼ 1○ · 2 months ago
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The InformationOn the Ground at UBS’ Private AI, Software and Internet Conference | Menlo Park1 mentions · 0▲ 0▼ 1○ · 2 months ago
0:0011:0022:0033:0045:00
StripeTech analyst Philipp Klöckner in conversation with Conor McNamara1 mentions · 0▲ 0▼ 1○ · 3 months ago
0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
20VCBloom Energy CEO: Why Electricity, Not AI Models, Will Decide the Winners of the AI Race1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 3 months ago
0:0013:0027:0041:0055:00
Asymmetric InvestingOracle's MASSIVE Debt Problem1 mentions · 0▲ 1▼ 0○ · 3 months ago
0:002:005:007:0010:00
Asymmetric InvestingWhy Alphabet Is Raising $80 Billion Right Now1 mentions · 0▲ 1▼ 0○ · 4 months ago
0:003:007:0011:0015:00
All-In PodcastOpenAI CFO Sarah Friar: IPO, AI Rivalries, New Device, and Spending $100B+ on Compute1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 4 months ago
0:003:007:0011:0015:00
All-In PodcastOpenAI Misses Targets, Codex vs Claude, Elon vs Sam Trial, Big Hyperscaler Beats, Peptide Craze1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 5 months ago
0:003:007:0011:0015:00
Asymmetric InvestingThe AI Bubble Is About to Burst and Here's Why1 mentions · 0▲ 1▼ 0○ · 5 months ago
0:003:007:0011:0015:00
Asymmetric InvestingAsymmetric Investing AMA2 mentions · 0▲ 2▼ 0○ · 6 months ago
0:0015:0030:0045:001:00:00
NVIDIANVIDIA GTC Keynote 20261 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 6 months ago
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AcquiredFormula 1: Fast cars, celebrities, and B2B software (Audio)1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 7 months ago
0:0056:001:52:002:48:003:45:00
Asymmetric InvestingGoogle's Real Strategy Against OpenAI (It's Not What You Think)1 mentions · 0▲ 0▼ 1○ · 7 months ago
0:002:005:007:0010:00
Limitless PodcastElon Merged SpaceX and xAI in the Biggest Deal Ever. Is Tesla Next?1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 8 months ago
0:003:007:0011:0015:00
Invest Like The BestHe Built The Revenue Engines for Google, Facebook & Square1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 8 months ago
0:006:0012:0018:0025:00
Antonio LinaresAMD Lisa is the Best Non-Founder CEO, The AI Bubble, Hims Is the Future of Healthcare w/ Thomas1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 8 months ago
0:0011:0022:0033:0045:00
Michael SikandThis Stock Could Solve AI's $1T Power Problem (Bloom Energy)1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 8 months ago
0:003:007:0011:0015:00
The InformationOpenAI’s Vision of 220 Million Paid Users by 2030, Crypto Winter Will Be Different | Nov 26, 20251 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 10 months ago
0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
The InformationUnpacking the Latest Big Tech Market Moves1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 10 months ago
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SeedRocket TVVender tu startup: todo lo que aprendimos después del EXIT1 mentions · 0▲ 1▼ 0○ · 10 months ago
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Antonio Linares“Dan Ives: What’s Coming Next in AI Will Shock Everyone”1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 10 months ago
0:002:005:007:0010:00
The InformationMicrosoft & Nvidia Invest in Anthropic, Google Gemini 3.0, Jeff Bezos’ AI Startup | Nov 18, 20251 mentions · 0▲ 1▼ 0○ · 10 months ago
0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
The InformationThe “Wildly Concerning” AI CapEx Debt Bubble1 mentions · 0▲ 1▼ 0○ · 10 months ago
0:002:005:007:0010:00
Invest Like The BestInside the Trillion-Dollar AI Buildout | Dylan Patel Interview1 mentions · 0▲ 0▼ 1○ · last year
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Michael SikandHow Oracle Quietly Conquered AI1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · last year
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