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thomas

T2 · manager / operator

Thomas is a community member known for deep technical knowledge of AI chip architecture and the semiconductor value chain. He runs a concentrated portfolio (nearly 100% AMD) with small positions in Tesla and ImmunityBio. He uses AI coding agents extensively in his workflow and has a background in self-taught AI/math coursework that led to his investment thesis.

12 calls·12 names·75% bull·last heard 3 months ago·Antonio Linares+1
track recordleaderboard →
hit rate
40%
avg alpha
+6.4pp
scored
5

top calls

best measured alpha vs SPY, then highest conviction · one per company
1st+89.7pp vs SPY
$AMDAdvanced Micro Devicesposition

Thomas goes nearly all-in on AMD citing chiplet flexibility and CPU-GPU integration

AMD's chiplet architecture provides superior modularity for inference workloads, enabling circuit-level optimization that monolithic designs cannot match. The CPU-GPU integration advantage becomes critical as agent architectures shift workload to CPUs, and OpenAI's reported $100B chip deal signals recognition of AMD's strategic position.

Antonio Linares2026-01episode →
2nd+5.3pp vs SPY
$IBRXImmunityBio

ImmunityBio's IL-15 pathway could rejuvenate immune system like Nvidia did for GPUs

ImmunityBio's IL-15 pathway therapy allegedly jacks up T and NK cell counts, rejuvenating the immune system — a foundational biological pathway analogous to Nvidia's role in GPU compute. Thomas considers allocating $200K based on intuitive conviction.

Antonio Linares2026-01episode →
3rdhigh conviction
$HIMSHims & Hers Healthposition

Hims applies Costco model to healthcare: biomarkers + deflationary scale + customer acquisition via acute needs

Hims combines exhaustive biomarker testing (top-of-funnel data) with industrial-scale fulfillment of personalized molecules, acquiring customers through acute needs (ED, hair loss) then funneling into preventive biomarker subscriptions. This bottoms-up model disrupts top-down healthcare.

Antonio Linares2026-01episode →

most discussed · click a bar to filter

  • $DUOL
  • $AMD
  • $MU
  • $TSLA
  • $AVGO

recurring themes

  • AI Hardware & Chip Architecture1
  • AI Coding Agents1
  • AI in Healthcare1
  • AI Agents1
  • AI Bubble / Capex Debate1
12 total
$DUOL
···
Duolingo
HIGHthomas·Antonio Linares·8 months ago·AMD Lisa is the Best Non-Founder CEO, The AI Bubble, Hims Is the Future of Healthcare w/ Thomas
Duolingo seen as potential 5-20 trillion dollar company from AI-driven education transformation
Duolingo's language learning platform will become a primary beneficiary of AI-driven education transformation, potentially reaching multi-trillion dollar valuation as the educational shift accelerates toward personalized AI tutoring.
"I mean yeah that's obvious like I think um yeah I people are very triggered by that. I think for us right now it's a very normal thing to say but I think it's a trillion dollar 5…"
43:21
$AMD
···
Advanced Micro Devices
HIGHthomas·Antonio Linares·8 months ago·AMD Lisa is the Best Non-Founder CEO, The AI Bubble, Hims Is the Future of Healthcare w/ Thomas· position
Thomas goes nearly all-in on AMD citing chiplet flexibility and CPU-GPU integration
AMD's chiplet architecture provides superior modularity for inference workloads, enabling circuit-level optimization that monolithic designs cannot match. The CPU-GPU integration advantage becomes critical as agent architectures shift workload to CPUs, and OpenAI's reported $100B chip deal signals recognition of AMD's strategic position.
"My whole thesis is basically the modularity of the chiplet infrastructure will give AMD at least half the market, right? That's something on the inference market. Yes, inference m…"
4:11
$MU
···
Micron Technology
MEDthomas·Antonio Linares·8 months ago·AMD Lisa is the Best Non-Founder CEO, The AI Bubble, Hims Is the Future of Healthcare w/ Thomas
Micron benefits from HBM shortage as key supplier to AMD and Nvidia
Micron is a primary HBM supplier benefiting from severe shortage driven by AI chip demand; HBM is a commodity with few providers (Micron, SK Hynix, Samsung) creating pricing power.
"yeah Micron uh yeah ... Yeah uh SKHix or Samsung or um some smaller companies but they are those stocks are pumping right now because of the shortage."
10:41
$TSLA
···
Tesla
LOWthomas·Antonio Linares·8 months ago·AMD Lisa is the Best Non-Founder CEO, The AI Bubble, Hims Is the Future of Healthcare w/ Thomas· position
Thomas holds small Tesla position alongside concentrated AMD bet
Tesla held as a minor position complementing the core AMD thesis, likely for its AI/robotics (Optimus) and energy exposure.
"I'm almost full full portfolio in AMD right now. I have bits in Tesla."
17:15
$AVGO
···
Broadcom
MEDthomas·Antonio Linares·8 months ago·AMD Lisa is the Best Non-Founder CEO, The AI Bubble, Hims Is the Future of Healthcare w/ Thomas
Broadcom's TPUs serve Google's Gemini but lack workload flexibility vs GPUs
Broadcom's TPUs power Google's leading Gemini models but cannot easily reconfigure for architecture shifts (e.g., transformer to diffusion), making them less flexible than GPUs for diverse AI workloads.
"you would have the TPU market which is mainly Broadcom or Google TPU which is also you know the same uh and you would also have the new the new players like Grock or uh Cerebras .…"
6:24
$CBRS
···
Cerebras
MEDthomas·Antonio Linares·8 months ago·AMD Lisa is the Best Non-Founder CEO, The AI Bubble, Hims Is the Future of Healthcare w/ Thomas
Cerebras' wafer-scale SRAM architecture targets ultra-low latency inference niches
Cerebras' unique wafer-scale SRAM architecture delivers exceptional inference speed for specific use cases but faces scaling limitations for large models due to memory constraints.
"you would also have the new the new players like Grock or uh Cerebras which are using a lot of SRAMM which is um not HBM so it's it's a different kind of architecture which makes…"
6:24
$IBRX
···
ImmunityBio
HIGHthomas·Antonio Linares·8 months ago·AMD Lisa is the Best Non-Founder CEO, The AI Bubble, Hims Is the Future of Healthcare w/ Thomas
ImmunityBio's IL-15 pathway could rejuvenate immune system like Nvidia did for GPUs
ImmunityBio's IL-15 pathway therapy allegedly jacks up T and NK cell counts, rejuvenating the immune system — a foundational biological pathway analogous to Nvidia's role in GPU compute. Thomas considers allocating $200K based on intuitive conviction.
"I was ranting this week about immunity bio and the 15 pathway and how that allegedly um jacks up T and NK cell count and everything. And going back to the idea of self-actualizati…"
37:13
$GROQ
Groq
MEDthomas·Antonio Linares·8 months ago·AMD Lisa is the Best Non-Founder CEO, The AI Bubble, Hims Is the Future of Healthcare w/ Thomas
Groq's SRAM-based architecture excels at low-latency inference for customer service agents
Groq's SRAM architecture (not HBM) enables extremely fast inference for latency-sensitive applications like customer service agents, though scaling to larger models remains challenging.
"you would also have the new the new players like Grock or uh Cerebras which are using a lot of SRAMM which is um not HBM so it's it's a different kind of architecture which makes…"
6:24
$HIMS
···
Hims & Hers Health
HIGHthomas·Antonio Linares·8 months ago·AMD Lisa is the Best Non-Founder CEO, The AI Bubble, Hims Is the Future of Healthcare w/ Thomas· position
Hims applies Costco model to healthcare: biomarkers + deflationary scale + customer acquisition via acute needs
Hims combines exhaustive biomarker testing (top-of-funnel data) with industrial-scale fulfillment of personalized molecules, acquiring customers through acute needs (ED, hair loss) then funneling into preventive biomarker subscriptions. This bottoms-up model disrupts top-down healthcare.
"I think it's the Costco algorithm just applied to the various components of the healthcare value chain and the ones that's actually fundamental is exhaustive biomarkers. So if if…"
38:27
$TSM
···
TSMC
MEDthomas·Antonio Linares·8 months ago·AMD Lisa is the Best Non-Founder CEO, The AI Bubble, Hims Is the Future of Healthcare w/ Thomas
TSMC capacity constraints limit CPU/GPU supply, creating shortage dynamics
TSMC's finite advanced packaging capacity creates structural bottleneck for AI chips; the key question is whether TSMC, Intel, or AMD captures the pricing power from resulting shortages.
"I'm thinking they're going to there's going to be a CPU shortage because the TSMC and the Intel FAPS are not in infinitely scaling. Um and but the only question right now is so wh…"
12:04
9
AI Hardware & Chip Architecturetailwind
Chiplet modularity enables circuit-level optimization that monolithic GPUs cannot match
AMD's chiplet architecture allows physical optimization of electron paths for specific neural network shapes, creating a fundamental physics advantage for inference at the edge that cannot be replicated by software-defined networking (Nvidia Bluefield) or fixed-function ASICs (TPUs).
9
AI Coding Agentstailwind
Software engineering productivity gains of 100x from AI agents like Cursor and Claude Code
Developers running multiple AI coding agents (Cursor, Claude Code, Codex) continuously achieve 100x productivity gains, creating massive near-term value in coding automation. This drives demand for both training and inference compute.
9
AI in Healthcaretailwind
Exhaustive biomarkers + AI + molecular fulfillment enables bottoms-up healthcare disruption
Combining real-time molecular biomarker data with AI diagnosis and automated molecule delivery shifts healthcare from top-down reactive to bottoms-up preventive, with customer acquisition via acute needs (ED, hair loss) funding the platform.
8
AI Agentstailwind
Agent architectures shift workload to CPUs, creating CPU shortage and favoring integrated CPU-GPU designs
AI agents running web searches, tool calls, and skills execute heavily on CPUs, driving CPU demand growth that exceeds foundry scaling capacity. Companies with integrated CPU-GPU architectures (AMD) capture more value than GPU-only vendors.
8
AI Bubble / Capex Debatetailwind
AI value creation will undershoot AGI hype but overshoot dot-com era by 100x
While godlike AGI may not arrive, the practical automation of white-collar work (coding, legal, healthcare) will generate value creation an order of magnitude larger than the dot-com boom, making current infrastructure capex rational despite bubble concerns from non-users.
7
Memory & Storagetailwind
HBM shortage creates bottleneck and pricing power for memory suppliers like Micron
High-bandwidth memory (HBM) is a commodity with only 3-4 suppliers (Micron, SK Hynix, Samsung) facing severe shortage due to AI chip demand, creating strong pricing power and revenue visibility for memory manufacturers.
7
Robotics & Physical AItailwind
Humanoid robots require localized on-device training, favoring flexible edge compute architectures
Optimus-style humanoids need on-device learning adaptation to individual environments, requiring flexible inference and training at the edge — a workload suited to AMD's chiplet architecture and FPGA integration rather than centralized data center GPUs.
7
Longevity & Agingtailwind
IL-15 pathway immune rejuvenation could be foundational for biology like Nvidia for compute
ImmunityBio's IL-15 therapy targeting T/NK cell rejuvenation addresses a root cause of aging (immune decline), potentially creating a platform for extending healthspan analogous to how Nvidia's GPUs became the platform for AI compute.