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jesse zhang

T2 · manager / operator

CEO of Decagon, building AI customer service agents. Company growing 5x year-over-year, 90% open source models in production. Developed Duet dual-agent system for auto-improvement.

10 calls·10 names·70% bull·last heard last year·Invest Like The Best
track recordleaderboard →
hit rate
100%
avg alpha
+21.3pp
scored
1

top calls

best measured alpha vs SPY, then highest conviction · one per company
1st+21.3pp vs SPY
$GOOGLAlphabet

Jesse Zhang bullish on Google: consumer data moat critical for AI

Google's massive consumer touchpoints generate the data flywheel essential for long-term AI model improvement, giving it a structural advantage over pure B2B model providers.

Invest Like The Best2025-10episode →
2ndmedium conviction
$COGNITIONCognition

Cognition in hypothetical AI portfolio: bet on coding agents

Cognition's team and traction in AI coding agents make it a core holding in a concentrated AI portfolio.

Invest Like The Best2025-10episode →
3rdmedium conviction
$CHAIChai

Chai in portfolio: vertical foundation models for healthcare

Domain-specific foundation models (e.g., healthcare) are a compelling diversification within AI model layer bets.

Invest Like The Best2025-10episode →

most discussed · click a bar to filter

  • $COGNITION
  • $CHAI
  • $PIKA
  • $ETCHED
  • $ANTHROPIC

recurring themes

  • AI Infrastructure8
  • AI Agents1
  • AI Economics & Business Models1
10 total
$COGNITION
Cognition
MEDjesse zhang·Invest Like The Best·last year·The Future of AI Agents | Jesse Zhang Interview
Cognition in hypothetical AI portfolio: bet on coding agents
Cognition's team and traction in AI coding agents make it a core holding in a concentrated AI portfolio.
"I mentioned I'm close with, uh, the cognition guys, so cognition would be in there for sure"
65:17
$CHAI
Chai
MEDjesse zhang·Invest Like The Best·last year·The Future of AI Agents | Jesse Zhang Interview
Chai in portfolio: vertical foundation models for healthcare
Domain-specific foundation models (e.g., healthcare) are a compelling diversification within AI model layer bets.
"another friend of mine who I think very highly of they're building we're building models but not not like the types of language models but still foundation models for like you kno…"
66:02
$PIKA
Pika
MEDjesse zhang·Invest Like The Best·last year·The Future of AI Agents | Jesse Zhang Interview
Pika in portfolio: video generation model bet
Exceptional team building foundational video models justifies inclusion in a concentrated AI portfolio.
"another friend of mine is is building a company called Pika, like building video models. Um, so I just think very highly of of that team as well. So we probably put them in there"
65:43
$ETCHED
Etched
MEDjesse zhang·Invest Like The Best·last year·The Future of AI Agents | Jesse Zhang Interview
Etched represents high-variance hardware layer bet
Specialized AI hardware startups like Etched offer asymmetric upside despite early-stage risk.
"last time we were talking about etched, like companies like that. I think you probably put one of those in there. Uh, still on the earlier side, but yeah, obviously very high pote…"
65:33
$ANTHROPIC
Anthropic
MEDjesse zhang·Invest Like The Best·last year·The Future of AI Agents | Jesse Zhang Interview
Anthropic lacks consumer data flywheel vs ChatGPT
Without a strong consumer-facing product like ChatGPT, Anthropic misses the continuous real-world data loop needed to improve models long-term.
"something like you know Anthropic for example where they haven't done as much as well on the consumer side you know compared to like a chatbt I think longterm you do need that con…"
64:24
$CURSOR
Cursor
MEDjesse zhang·Invest Like The Best·last year·The Future of AI Agents | Jesse Zhang Interview
Cursor in hypothetical portfolio: coding agent leader
Cursor's strong team and product in AI-assisted coding warrant a portfolio slot alongside Cognition.
"Cursor also, uh, I'm actually kind of interested in like where those might run into each other in the future"
65:22
$META
···
Meta Platforms
LOWjesse zhang·Invest Like The Best·last year·The Future of AI Agents | Jesse Zhang Interview
Meta has consumer data advantage but execution uncertain
Meta possesses similar consumer data scale to Google, but its new superintelligence lab's ability to capitalize remains unproven.
"you could say that you know meta Facebook also has that element and so yeah maybe their new super intelligence lab will will be able to to make it work"
64:13
$OPENAI
OpenAI
MEDjesse zhang·Invest Like The Best·last year·The Future of AI Agents | Jesse Zhang Interview
OpenAI API business model threatened by low switching costs
Model APIs face intense competition and near-zero switching costs (one line of code), pushing labs toward applications where they can capture more value.
"That's why I think the open AIs of the world will continue to move towards applications because it's quite hard for them to make money long term on like their API for example beca…"
72:55
$PHYSICAL-INTELLIGENCE
Physical Intelligence
MEDjesse zhang·Invest Like The Best·last year·The Future of AI Agents | Jesse Zhang Interview
Physical Intelligence in portfolio: robotics foundation models
Embodied AI / robotics foundation models represent a high-potential frontier worth a portfolio slot.
"or even I would put uh you know Locky's company physical like those I think those are very exciting"
66:21
$GOOGL
···
Alphabet
HIGHjesse zhang·Invest Like The Best·last year·The Future of AI Agents | Jesse Zhang Interview
Jesse Zhang bullish on Google: consumer data moat critical for AI
Google's massive consumer touchpoints generate the data flywheel essential for long-term AI model improvement, giving it a structural advantage over pure B2B model providers.
"I'm very bullish on Google actually um I just think that with AI use cases having the having individual like consumers is like so important because that's where all the data comes…"
63:55
9
AI Infrastructuretailwind
Customer service is the killer enterprise AI use case today
Customer service offers quantifiable ROI (deflection rates), natural escalation paths for risk mitigation, and existing infrastructure — making it the fastest enterprise adoption vector.
9
AI Agentstailwind
AI agents will eat human labor spectrum from both ends
Agents will simultaneously augment highest-paid knowledge workers (coding) and replace lowest-cost repetitive labor (customer service), driven by ROI clarity at both extremes.
8
AI Infrastructuretailwind
AI agents become the universal brand front-end replacing apps/websites
Conversational agents will unify sales, support, and commerce into a single persistent interface with full user context, becoming the primary brand touchpoint.
8
AI Infrastructuremixed
Voice-to-voice is the next frontier but hallucination rates 8x higher
Voice is the natural human UI, but voice-to-voice models currently suffer ~8x higher hallucination rates than text, requiring hybrid architectures for enterprise deployment.
8
AI Economics & Business Modelstailwind
Conversation data flywheels create compounding moats for agent companies
LLMs can ingest 100% of customer interactions to auto-generate evals, detect gaps, and improve agents continuously — creating a data advantage that compounds with tenure.
8
AI Infrastructuretailwind
Exponential cost/performance improvements make early margins irrelevant
Model inference costs drop exponentially; application-layer companies should prioritize market share and product quality over unit economics today.
8
AI Infrastructuretailwind
Application layer captures most value; model APIs face commoditization
Solving the end-user business problem allows application companies to command pricing power, while model providers face low switching costs and intense competition.
7
AI Infrastructuretailwind
Enterprise AI adoption requires top-down mandate and half-sentence ROI
Board-level pressure drives AI initiatives; vendors must articulate clear cost savings or revenue uplift in a single sentence to get prioritized.