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AI Superforecasting / Prediction Markets

avg score 7.0 · 1 pods
insights
1
net direction
100%
tail / head / mixed / risk
1/0/0/0

tailwind · 1

  • AI superforecasters (Cassie) to plug into capital markets, validating EMH
    alex wissner-gross · Peter H. Diamandis

headwind · 0

  • — no headwind insights —

all insights

AI Superforecasting / Prediction Markets
score 7/10
TAILalex wissner-gross·Peter H. Diamandis·2 months ago
AI superforecasters (Cassie) to plug into capital markets, validating EMH
AI models now match human superforecasters on ForecastBench. When hyper-forecasting connects to algo trading (already dominant by volume), markets will pre-price human collective actions faster than humans act, making the Efficient Market Hypothesis effectively true. Cassie (UK startup) leads.
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