TickerTain
TickerTain
NewsroomShortsPortfolioConvergence
NewsroomShortsPortfolioConvergence
$ANTHROPIC·$MA····$INTC····$BLUE-ORIGIN·$SPCX····$CRWV····$CRM····$MSFT····$NVDA····$ORCL····$CURSOR·$AAPL····$OPENAI·$AMZN····$UBER····$GOOGL····$META····$TSLA····$DATABRICKS·$PERPLEXITY·$LYFT····$NBIS····$TSM····$LITE····$ANDURIL·
$ANTHROPIC·$MA····$INTC····$BLUE-ORIGIN·$SPCX····$CRWV····$CRM····$MSFT····$NVDA····$ORCL····$CURSOR·$AAPL····$OPENAI·$AMZN····$UBER····$GOOGL····$META····$TSLA····$DATABRICKS·$PERPLEXITY·$LYFT····$NBIS····$TSM····$LITE····$ANDURIL·
←

tammie qiu

T3 · host / generalist

Semiconductor analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence covering equipment, foundry, and memory sectors; provides fundamental analysis on TSMC, ASML, and AI capex cycles.

4 calls·2 names·75% bull·last heard 2 months ago·Bloomberg Tech
track record

no scored calls yet — needs a stated position or a categorical verdict, with a matured window vs SPY

top calls

highest conviction · one per company
1stmedium conviction
$ASMLASML

ASML raises guidance second time, margins up, signaling AI capex cycle far from over

ASML's revised revenue and margin guidance reflects incremental customer demand across logic and memory, confirming AI infrastructure buildout continues for years.

Bloomberg Tech2026-07episode →
2ndmedium conviction
$TSMTSMC

TSMC raises sales outlook but higher capex through 2030 sparks market recalibration

AI demand will extend through 2029-2030, driving sustained capex that benefits equipment makers, though near-term profit-taking pressures shares.

Bloomberg Tech2026-07episode →

most discussed · click a bar to filter

  • $ASML
  • $TSM

recurring themes

  • AI Infrastructure2
  • Geopolitics & Trade1
4 total
$ASML
···
ASML
MEDtammie qiu·Bloomberg Tech·2 months ago·TSMC's Market Jolt, Saronic's Texas Bet and GameStop's eBay Bid | Bloomberg Tech 7/16/2026
ASML raises guidance second time, margins up, signaling AI capex cycle far from over
ASML's revised revenue and margin guidance reflects incremental customer demand across logic and memory, confirming AI infrastructure buildout continues for years.
"ASML'S EARNINGS YESTERDAY HAS BEEN AMAZING IN TERMS OF HOW THEY REVISED THE GUIDANCE FOR THE SECOND TIME THIS YEAR. BESIDES REVENUE, I WOULD POINT OUT ASML ALSO REVISED UP MARGIN…"
7:08
$TSM
···
TSMC
MEDtammie qiu·Bloomberg Tech·2 months ago·TSMC's Market Jolt, Saronic's Texas Bet and GameStop's eBay Bid | Bloomberg Tech 7/16/2026
TSMC raises sales outlook but higher capex through 2030 sparks market recalibration
AI demand will extend through 2029-2030, driving sustained capex that benefits equipment makers, though near-term profit-taking pressures shares.
"TSMC CAUGHT THAT THE A.I. INDUSTRY IS NEW AND DEMAND WILL GO ALL THE WAY INTO 2029-2030 WHICH IS A POSITIVE SIGN IN MY VIEW FOR THE INDUSTRY. BUT AT THE SAME TIME WE DO WANT TO SE…"
5:02
$TSM
···
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company
MEDtammie qiu·Bloomberg Tech·2 months ago·TSMC's Market Jolt, Saronic's Texas Bet and GameStop's eBay Bid | Bloomberg Tech 7/16/2026
TSMC raises sales outlook but increases multi-year capex, sparking valuation concerns
TSMC beat across the board and raised revenue guidance but also signaled higher capital expenditures not just for this year but for the next three years, causing the market to question whether elevated AI spending justifies current valuations despite long-term demand visibility through 2029-2030.
"TSMC CAUGHT THAT THE A.I. INDUSTRY IS NEW AND DEMAND WILL GO ALL THE WAY INTO 2029-2030 WHICH IS A POSITIVE SIGN IN MY VIEW FOR THE INDUSTRY. BUT AT THE SAME TIME WE DO WANT TO SE…"
4:48
$ASML
···
ASML Holding
MEDtammie qiu·Bloomberg Tech·2 months ago·TSMC's Market Jolt, Saronic's Texas Bet and GameStop's eBay Bid | Bloomberg Tech 7/16/2026
ASML raises guidance second time, lifts margins, signaling sustained AI capex cycle
ASML revised annual sales forecast upward for the second time this year and raised margin expectations to mid-55%, indicating incremental customer demand and capacity needs across both logic and memory that suggest the AI investment cycle is not ending anytime soon.
"ASML'S EARNINGS YESTERDAY HAS BEEN AMAZING IN TERMS OF HOW THEY REVISED THE GUIDANCE FOR THE SECOND TIME THIS YEAR. BESIDES REVENUE, I WOULD POINT OUT ASML ALSO REVISED UP MARGIN…"
6:42
8
AI Infrastructuretailwind
Multi-year AI capex cycle confirmed by TSMC and ASML guidance raises
Both TSMC and ASML have raised forward guidance for multiple years, with TSMC signaling capex elevation through 2027+ and ASML revising margins up to mid-55%, confirming that AI infrastructure investment is extending through 2029-2030 driven by unprecedented chip demand from data centers, though near-term profit taking has pressured shares.
8
AI Infrastructuretailwind
AI chip demand visibility extends to 2030, sustaining capex supercycle
TSMC and ASML guidance indicate AI-driven semiconductor demand persists through 2029-2030 across logic and memory, with equipment backlogs to 2028 and margin expansion confirming structural not cyclical growth.
7
Geopolitics & Tradetailwind
Tariff pressure accelerates TSMC US diversification, reshaping semiconductor geography
Trump administration tariffs compelled TSMC to expand Arizona commitment from $65B to $265B total; political pressure to manufacture in major economies drives geographic diversification beyond Taiwan.