Semiconductor analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence covering equipment, foundry, and memory sectors; provides fundamental analysis on TSMC, ASML, and AI capex cycles.
no scored calls yet — needs a stated position or a categorical verdict, with a matured window vs SPY
TSMC beat across the board and raised revenue guidance but also signaled higher capital expenditures not just for this year but for the next three years, causing the market to question whether elevated AI spending justifies current valuations despite long-term demand visibility through 2029-2030.
ASML revised annual sales forecast upward for the second time this year and raised margin expectations to mid-55%, indicating incremental customer demand and capacity needs across both logic and memory that suggest the AI investment cycle is not ending anytime soon.