samuel hom

T3 · host / generalist
4 calls·4 names·75% bull·last heard 2 months ago·TBPN
track record

no scored calls yet — needs a stated position or a categorical verdict, with a matured window vs SPY

top calls

highest conviction · one per company
1stmedium conviction
$SEMATIC-LABSSematic Labsposition

Sematic Labs automates systematic reviews for drug development: 2 years to 4 hours using AI

Systematic reviews (required regulatory step) take years manually. Sematic uses AI to automate literature screening, data extraction, and synthesis, reducing to hours. Product live with thousands of users across big pharma, academia, biotech. Raising pre-seed. Addresses core bottleneck in 9-10 year drug development timeline.

TBPN2026-06
2ndmedium conviction
$RVMDRevolution Medicines

Revolution Medicines' Daxib doubles pancreatic cancer survival (7 to 13 months), unlocks combo therapy path

Daxib (daraxonrasib) uses molecular glue to drug KRAS G12C, previously considered undruggable. Phase 2 shows median overall survival doubled vs chemo (13 vs 7 months) with fewer adverse events. Tango Therapeutics combo further improves survival. First meaningful advance in decades for metastatic pancreatic cancer (3% 5-year survival).

TBPN2026-06
3rdmedium conviction
$LLYEli Lilly

Biotech patent cliff prevents $100T valuations: Lilly at $1T but tirzepatide faces 95% revenue drop post-patent

Unlike tech, pharma faces patent cliffs where generics erode 95% of revenue after ~20 years. Tirzepatide doing $51B sales but will decline. Manufacturing scale for $50B drugs creates moat but also capex burden. 100T biotech valuation unlikely without patent reform or new modalities.

TBPN2026-06

most discussed · click a bar to filter

4 total
$RVMD
···
Revolution Medicines
MEDsamuel hom·TBPN·2 months ago
Revolution Medicines' Daxib doubles pancreatic cancer survival (7 to 13 months), unlocks combo therapy path
Daxib (daraxonrasib) uses molecular glue to drug KRAS G12C, previously considered undruggable. Phase 2 shows median overall survival doubled vs chemo (13 vs 7 months) with fewer adverse events. Tango Therapeutics combo further improves survival. First meaningful advance in decades for metastatic pancreatic cancer (3% 5-year survival).
"They used a very innovative creative approach to drug the molecule using a molecular glue... able to double the median overall survival versus the standard of care chemotherapy...…"
91:55
$SEMATIC-LABS
Sematic Labs
MEDsamuel hom·TBPN·2 months ago· position
Sematic Labs automates systematic reviews for drug development: 2 years to 4 hours using AI
Systematic reviews (required regulatory step) take years manually. Sematic uses AI to automate literature screening, data extraction, and synthesis, reducing to hours. Product live with thousands of users across big pharma, academia, biotech. Raising pre-seed. Addresses core bottleneck in 9-10 year drug development timeline.
"One of the essential steps in the regulatory process is something called a systematic review... takes years. Currently it's done manually. We used AI to automate many of the steps…"
91:55
$LLY
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Eli Lilly
MEDsamuel hom·TBPN·2 months ago
Biotech patent cliff prevents $100T valuations: Lilly at $1T but tirzepatide faces 95% revenue drop post-patent
Unlike tech, pharma faces patent cliffs where generics erode 95% of revenue after ~20 years. Tirzepatide doing $51B sales but will decline. Manufacturing scale for $50B drugs creates moat but also capex burden. 100T biotech valuation unlikely without patent reform or new modalities.
"The biggest drug in the world today is tirzepatide which did about $51 billion of sales already this year... as it goes off patent then the generics come through and it will dwind…"
91:55
$TNGX
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Tango Therapeutics
MEDsamuel hom·TBPN·2 months ago
Tango Therapeutics combo with Revolution's Daxib further extends pancreatic cancer survival
Tango's drug added on top of Daxib (daraxonrasib) shows further survival improvement in pancreatic cancer, validating combo therapy approach. Daxib establishes new baseline therapy enabling sequential combinations.
"There's a new drug from a company called Tango Therapeutics... they added their drug on top of Daramrazib and even improved the survival even further."
91:55