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samir

T2 · manager / operator

Host of the Generating Alpha podcast interviewing top investors and operators about markets, economics, and investing.

15 calls·5 names·93% bull·last heard last month·TBPN+1
track record

no scored calls yet — needs a stated position or a categorical verdict, with a matured window vs SPY

top calls

highest conviction · one per company
1sthigh conviction
$DISCOVERY-LOOPDiscovery Loopposition

Venture firm co-leads Discovery Loop bet on recursive self-improvement AI for scientific discovery

Discovery Loop, founded by ex-Google leaders including Jeff Dean, focuses on recursive self-improvement (RSI) and world models to automate scientific experimentation, a market potentially as large as frontier LLMs ($100B revenue, $2T market cap), with private company advantage in focus and risk-taking.

Bloomberg Tech2026-08episode →
2ndhigh conviction
$COASTAL-VENTURESCoastal Venturesposition

Coastal Ventures: early-stage, technology-edge focus; rejects party rounds and pro-rata default

Fund strategy: bold early impactful investments with technology edge, no market risk, collaborative 5-day-office culture, no deal attribution; pro-rata only when max allocation or to support deserving follow-on, otherwise 3x or 1/3x pro-rata.

TBPN2026-08episode →
3rdhigh conviction
$RKLBRocket Labposition

Coastal Ventures: $5M for 1/3 at seed; 28% at IPO; now worth $30-40B

Exemplifies Coastal's early-ownership model: first investor in a New Zealand rocket company nobody watched, held 28% through IPO, now a multi-billion dollar public company. Validates their 'bold, early, impactful' thesis over party rounds.

TBPN2026-08episode →

most discussed · click a bar to filter

  • $DISCOVERY-LOOP
  • $COASTAL-VENTURES
  • $COMMONWEALTH-FUSION
  • $RKLB
  • $OPENAI

recurring themes

  • Venture Capital6
  • World Models & Simulation1
  • Frontier AI Models1
  • AI Drug Discovery1
  • Robotics & Physical AI1
15 total
$DISCOVERY-LOOP
Discovery Loop
HIGHsamir·TBPN·2 months ago·AI Viruses, Social Media Addiction, Mansion Section· position
Coastal Ventures co-leads Jeff Dean's AI-for-science startup betting on fast feedback loops
Discovery Loop applies AI to run millions of parallel scientific experiments (materials for fusion, better solar cells, batteries) with rapid validation cycles, unlike other neo-labs that lack a clear path to differentiable value capture.
"what Jeff and his team are doing first of all they're really that's a they're a a one team you look at what they've done it's amazing they've been at Google 27 years and now they…"
48:40
$COASTAL-VENTURES
Coastal Ventures
HIGHsamir·TBPN·2 months ago·AI Viruses, Social Media Addiction, Mansion Section· position
Coastal Ventures: early-stage, technology-edge focus; rejects party rounds and pro-rata default
Fund strategy: bold early impactful investments with technology edge, no market risk, collaborative 5-day-office culture, no deal attribution; pro-rata only when max allocation or to support deserving follow-on, otherwise 3x or 1/3x pro-rata.
"we've always been very consistent. You started the firm 20 almost 22 years ago. Bold, early impactful. You got to have a technology edge. We don't take market risk. If you have a…"
64:00
$DISCOVERY-LOOP
Discovery Loop
HIGHsamir·Bloomberg Tech·last month·Anthropic Preps for Blockbuster Public Listing | Bloomberg Tech 8/21/2026· position
Venture firm co-leads Discovery Loop bet on recursive self-improvement AI for scientific discovery
Discovery Loop, founded by ex-Google leaders including Jeff Dean, focuses on recursive self-improvement (RSI) and world models to automate scientific experimentation, a market potentially as large as frontier LLMs ($100B revenue, $2T market cap), with private company advantage in focus and risk-taking.
"WE BELIEVED IN WORLD MODELS. RSI WE BELIEVE WILL BE THE KEY TO ADVANCING SCIENCE... AI WILL DESIGN EXPERIENCE. IT WILL DESIGN THOUSANDS AND THOUSANDS OF PARALLEL EXPERIMENTS IN A…"
35:17
$DISCOVERY-LOOP
Discovery Loop
HIGHsamir·Bloomberg Tech·last month·Anthropic Preps for Blockbuster Public Listing | Bloomberg Tech 8/21/2026· position
Jeff Dean's new RSI-focused startup Discovery Loop raises mega-round led by Samir's fund
Discovery Loop, founded by ex-Google Chief Scientist Jeff Dean and team (80 collective years at Google), is pursuing Recursive Self-Improvement (RSI) for scientific discovery — designing thousands of parallel experiments in closed loops; Samir's fund co-led the round believing RSI could be as profound as frontier models ($100B revenue/$2T market cap potential), with private structure allowing more risk-taking than public labs.
"WHEN GUYS LIKE JEFF DEAN AND HIS TEAM ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR SO MANY INNOVATIONS THAT GOOGLE... THEY SAY WE ARE GOING TO LEAVE AFTER A COLLECTIVE 80 YEARS AT GOOGLE TO START A NEW CO…"
32:37
$OPENAI
OpenAI
MEDsamir·Bloomberg Tech·last month·Anthropic Preps for Blockbuster Public Listing | Bloomberg Tech 8/21/2026· position
Samir's fund was sole VC in OpenAI first round; sees $2T market cap potential
Samir's fund was the only venture investor in OpenAI's first round and maintains conviction that frontier model leaders like OpenAI and Anthropic could reach $100B revenue and $2T market cap, validating the scale of opportunity for RSI ventures.
"WE ARE THE ONLY VENTURE FIRM AT THE FIRST ROUND OF OPENAI. WE BELIEVED IN WORLD MODELS... ANTHROPIC AND OPENAI AND PIONEERING FRONTIER MODELS, IT HAS BEEN SPECULATED THAT 100 BILL…"
34:34
$DISCOVERY-LOOP
Discovery Loop
HIGHsamir·Bloomberg Tech·last month·Anthropic Preps for Blockbuster Public Listing | Bloomberg Tech 8/21/2026· position
VC co-leads Discovery Loop seed round betting on recursive self-improving AI for science
Samir's firm co-led the first round for Discovery Loop, founded by Jeff Dean (ex-Google Chief Scientist) and team, betting that recursive self-improvement (RSI) and world models will automate scientific experimentation — a $2T market cap opportunity if RSI matches frontier model impact.
"WE BELIEVED IN WORLD MODELS. RSI WE BELIEVE WILL BE THE KEY TO ADVANCING SCIENCE... IF YOU BELIEVE RSI IS EQUALLY AS PROFOUND AND IMPACTFUL... IT MAKES A RELATIVELY QUICK INVESTME…"
33:15
$DISCOVERY-LOOP
Discovery Loop
HIGHsamir·Bloomberg Tech·last month·Anthropic Preps for Blockbuster Public Listing | Bloomberg Tech 8/21/2026· position
VC co-leads Discovery Loop bet on world models and recursive self-improvement for scientific discovery
Discovery Loop, founded by former Google chief scientist Jeff Dean, aims to use world models and recursive self-improvement to design thousands of parallel experiments for materials science and battery technology, a frontier as profound as LLMs with potential for $100B revenue and $2T market cap.
"WE BELIEVED IN WORLD MODELS. RSI WE BELIEVE WILL BE THE KEY TO ADVANCING SCIENCE... RSI IS GREAT. AI WILL DESIGN EXPERIENCE. IT WILL DESIGN THOUSANDS AND THOUSANDS OF PARALLEL EXP…"
33:15
$COMMONWEALTH-FUSION
Commonwealth Fusion Systems
MEDsamir·TBPN·2 months ago·AI Viruses, Social Media Addiction, Mansion Section· position
Coastal Ventures helped incubate fusion energy startup
Coastal Ventures incubated Commonwealth Fusion from early stages, representing their deep-tech/hard-tech investment model — long time horizons, technical edge, company-building support rather than financial engineering.
"we uh did with Commonwealth Fusion uh you know helped incubate it, got it off the ground."
64:00
$RKLB
···
Rocket Lab
HIGHsamir·TBPN·2 months ago·AI Viruses, Social Media Addiction, Mansion Section· position
Coastal Ventures: $5M for 1/3 at seed; 28% at IPO; now worth $30-40B
Exemplifies Coastal's early-ownership model: first investor in a New Zealand rocket company nobody watched, held 28% through IPO, now a multi-billion dollar public company. Validates their 'bold, early, impactful' thesis over party rounds.
"Rocket Lab, we were the first investors. We put in I think $5 million for a third of the company. It was a company in New Zealand. No one was paying attention to it. And we owned…"
64:00
$DISCOVERY-LOOP
Discovery Loop
HIGHsamir·TBPN·2 months ago·AI Viruses, Social Media Addiction, Mansion Section· position
Coastal Ventures co-leads Jeff Dean's new AI-for-science venture
Discovery Loop applies AI to run millions of parallel scientific experiments for materials discovery (fusion magnets, solar cells, batteries), with rapid feedback loops similar to coding agents. Jeff Dean's 27-year Google legacy and team departure signal exceptional conviction.
"what Jeff and his team are doing first of all they're really that's a they're a a one team you look at what they've done it's amazing they've been at Google 27 years and now they…"
48:15
9
World Models & Simulationtailwind
World models and recursive self-improvement could unlock AI-driven scientific discovery at scale
Venture investor Samir believes world models and recursive self-improvement (RSI) will enable AI to design and run thousands of parallel experiments, advancing science in areas like battery materials and EV magnets, representing a frontier as profound as large language models.
9
Frontier AI Modelstailwind
Recursive self-improvement (RSI) and world models emerge as next frontier beyond LLMs
Discovery Loop, founded by Jeff Dean's team, is pursuing RSI — AI designing thousands of parallel experiments in closed loops to accelerate scientific discovery (batteries, magnets, materials) — a paradigm shift that could unlock $2T market cap if as profound as frontier models.
9
Venture Capitaltailwind
Coastal Ventures: avoid party rounds, own early in hard tech, enforce pro-rata discipline
Fund strategy rejects neo-lab acqui-hire bets and default pro-rata. Instead: incubate hard tech (fusion, space), take 20-30% ownership early, then either 3x pro-rata or 1/3 pro-rata — never passive. Private market froth creates 'debt' requiring eventual liquidity; only early ownership in technical outliers returns funds.
9
Venture Capitaltailwind
Party rounds and neolabs fail LPs; early ownership + pro-rata discipline wins
Coastal Ventures argues billion-dollar seed rounds in 'neolabs' produce aquihires where investors lose (Windsurf, Scale AI examples). Sustainable venture returns require 20%+ early ownership, concentrated bets, and proactive pro-rata decisions (3x when conviction high, 1/3x when cooling) — never default pro-rata. Rocket Lab 28% ownership at IPO validates model.
8
AI Drug Discoverytailwind
Recursive self-improvement AI aims to automate scientific discovery from batteries to diagnostics
Discovery Loop's focus on recursive self-improvement and world models could accelerate scientific experimentation in materials, batteries, and diagnostics, benefiting from favorable regulatory and reimbursement trends for AI-driven healthcare innovation.
7
Venture Capitaltailwind
VC valuations reset as 'unicorn' inflation makes $1B commonplace; RSI emerges as new frontier
With $20T in unicorn-value companies now funded weekly, early-stage valuations have detached from traditional benchmarks; Samir's fund bets Recursive Self-Improvement (RSI) for scientific discovery — led by Jeff Dean's team — could match frontier model economics ($100B revenue/$2T cap) with private structure enabling more risk-taking than public labs.
7
Robotics & Physical AItailwind
Investor interest surges in physical AI from Chinese robotics unicorns to scientific automation
A Chinese robotic startup seeking $3B valuation and Discovery Loop's RSI-driven scientific experimentation reflect growing capital allocation to physical AI applications in manufacturing, energy, and research.
7
Venture Capitalmixed
Seed valuations reset as 'unicorn' becomes weekly occurrence — $20T+ aggregate value
A decade after 'unicorn' was coined for $1B valuations, $20T+ of such companies exist and are funded weekly; venture firms must recalibrate return expectations for pre-revenue AI startups raising hundreds of millions at lofty valuations.