no scored calls yet — needs a stated position or a categorical verdict, with a matured window vs SPY
Hyperscaler internal chips lack existential urgency: Google won't fail if TPUs fail, Meta won't fail if MTIA fails. Their FLOP density lags Nvidia's B300 because they only need 'similar enough' to avoid Nvidia tax, not best-in-class. Etched's singular focus on inference as its only product attracts deeper talent and supplier commitment.
AMD's interactivity-throughput curve is slightly worse than Blackwell's, yet AMD commands $800B market cap. Etched aims to shift the curve 'much further out,' implying order-of-magnitude improvement in tokens/watt/dollar could create outsized value capture in inference market.