rob

T2 · manager / operator
2 calls·2 names·0% bull·last heard last month·Invest Like The Best
track record

no scored calls yet — needs a stated position or a categorical verdict, with a matured window vs SPY

top calls

highest conviction · one per company
1stmedium conviction
$GOOGLAlphabet

Google TPU, Meta MTIA, Microsoft Maia, OpenAI Jalapeno are non-existential side projects vs Etched's existential focus

Hyperscaler internal chips lack existential urgency: Google won't fail if TPUs fail, Meta won't fail if MTIA fails. Their FLOP density lags Nvidia's B300 because they only need 'similar enough' to avoid Nvidia tax, not best-in-class. Etched's singular focus on inference as its only product attracts deeper talent and supplier commitment.

2ndlow conviction
$AMDAdvanced Micro Devices

AMD's inference curve slightly worse than Blackwell but still an $800B company — shifting curve further creates massive value

AMD's interactivity-throughput curve is slightly worse than Blackwell's, yet AMD commands $800B market cap. Etched aims to shift the curve 'much further out,' implying order-of-magnitude improvement in tokens/watt/dollar could create outsized value capture in inference market.

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2 total
$AMD
···
Advanced Micro Devices
LOWrob·Invest Like The Best·last month
AMD's inference curve slightly worse than Blackwell but still an $800B company — shifting curve further creates massive value
AMD's interactivity-throughput curve is slightly worse than Blackwell's, yet AMD commands $800B market cap. Etched aims to shift the curve 'much further out,' implying order-of-magnitude improvement in tokens/watt/dollar could create outsized value capture in inference market.
"You could see an AMD curve which is a little bit worse than Blackwells and it's still an $800 billion company. So if you think about what then the impacts are of shifting that cur…"
45:20
$GOOGL
···
Alphabet
MEDrob·Invest Like The Best·last month
Google TPU, Meta MTIA, Microsoft Maia, OpenAI Jalapeno are non-existential side projects vs Etched's existential focus
Hyperscaler internal chips lack existential urgency: Google won't fail if TPUs fail, Meta won't fail if MTIA fails. Their FLOP density lags Nvidia's B300 because they only need 'similar enough' to avoid Nvidia tax, not best-in-class. Etched's singular focus on inference as its only product attracts deeper talent and supplier commitment.
"It fundamentally is not existential for my company for this product to win for Google with TPUs like their revenue comes from search. Google won't fail if TPUs fail. That's right.…"
56:00