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ray wong

T2 · manager / operator

Technology analyst and CEO of Constellation Research; provides equity research-style analysis on AI infrastructure, semiconductors, and cloud computing.

5 calls·4 names·100% bull·last heard 28 days ago·The Information
track record

no scored calls yet — needs a stated position or a categorical verdict, with a matured window vs SPY

top calls

highest conviction · one per company
1sthigh conviction
$NVDANvidia

Nvidia guides 70% revenue growth, layering demand through AI factories and startup investments

Nvidia's 70% forward guidance reassures markets that AI demand is structural; the company is systematically locking in future revenue by investing in AI factories, neocloud partnerships, open-weight models, and making chips an asset class.

The Information2026-08episode →
2ndmedium conviction
$CRWVCoreWeave

Neoclouds like CoreWeave will sustain premium valuations through differentiation and latest-chip access

Neoclouds are not a commodity play; CoreWeave and Nebius differentiate by offering turnkey, industry-tuned, burst-capacity solutions with guaranteed latest-generation GPUs, creating durable demand beyond raw supply/demand dynamics.

The Information2026-08episode →
3rdmedium conviction
$NBISNebius

Nebius differentiated neocloud model justifies sustained premium over commodity cloud

Like CoreWeave, Nebius builds custom, turnkey GPU clusters with latest hardware access, creating a defensible niche that won't collapse when GPU supply normalizes.

The Information2026-08episode →

most discussed · click a bar to filter

  • $NVDA
  • $CRWV
  • $NBIS
  • $SAMBANOVA-SYSTEMS

recurring themes

  • AI Infrastructure1
  • Neoclouds & Cloud Computing1
  • AI Hardware & Chip Architecture1
  • Semiconductors1
5 total
$NVDA
···
Nvidia
HIGHray wong·The Information·28 days ago·Inside Nvidia’s $12.9B Hugging Face Buy, Nvidia Q2 Sales Double to $96.2B, Salesforce Shares Jump
Nvidia guides 70% revenue growth, layering demand through AI factories and startup investments
Nvidia's 70% forward guidance reassures markets that AI demand is structural; the company is systematically locking in future revenue by investing in AI factories, neocloud partnerships, open-weight models, and making chips an asset class.
"What was really standing out was not the results. We all expected good numbers. It was the guidance. 70% revenue growth, Colette said, versus 45 46% was the expectation. I think t…"
11:44
$NVDA
···
Nvidia
HIGHray wong·The Information·28 days ago·Inside Nvidia’s $12.9B Hugging Face Buy, Nvidia Q2 Sales Double to $96.2B, Salesforce Shares Jump
Nvidia PE compression to 23x earnings is irrational given growth trajectory
Nvidia trading at 23x P/E (below market average of 24x) despite 70% growth guidance makes no sense; compression reflects low volatility and lack of swing trading, not fundamentals, and the multiple should re-rate to the 30s.
"This PE compression, the fact that Nvidia is trading at a multiple at 23 which is below the average of 24, right? Like that makes no freaking sense... On earnings. Yeah, price to…"
21:13
$CRWV
···
CoreWeave
MEDray wong·The Information·28 days ago·Inside Nvidia’s $12.9B Hugging Face Buy, Nvidia Q2 Sales Double to $96.2B, Salesforce Shares Jump
Neoclouds like CoreWeave will sustain premium valuations through differentiation and latest-chip access
Neoclouds are not a commodity play; CoreWeave and Nebius differentiate by offering turnkey, industry-tuned, burst-capacity solutions with guaranteed latest-generation GPUs, creating durable demand beyond raw supply/demand dynamics.
"I would liken this to the housing supply shortage that we have today... There's always going to be demand in these Neo clouds for something that's an empty shell that I can build…"
19:27
$NBIS
···
Nebius
MEDray wong·The Information·28 days ago·Inside Nvidia’s $12.9B Hugging Face Buy, Nvidia Q2 Sales Double to $96.2B, Salesforce Shares Jump
Nebius differentiated neocloud model justifies sustained premium over commodity cloud
Like CoreWeave, Nebius builds custom, turnkey GPU clusters with latest hardware access, creating a defensible niche that won't collapse when GPU supply normalizes.
"you're looking at what Core Weave and Nebius are doing in terms of getting down to the details like you can custom build something out of the box and the fact that they're always…"
19:55
$SAMBANOVA-SYSTEMS
SambaNova Systems
LOWray wong·The Information·28 days ago·Inside Nvidia’s $12.9B Hugging Face Buy, Nvidia Q2 Sales Double to $96.2B, Salesforce Shares Jump
SambaNova cited as on-prem AI alternative for trillion-parameter models at 1/10th cost
SambaNova offers air-gapped, on-premises trillion-parameter model deployment at fraction of cloud cost, representing a differentiated niche in AI infrastructure.
"if you want a trillion parameters for onetenth the cost on premises, you'd go to Sabonova systems and to be able to do that before and that's air gap that's protected."
20:30
9
AI Infrastructuretailwind
Nvidia layering AI factories, open-weight models, and chip asset class to lock in structural demand
Nvidia's investments in AI factories (Lancium, SP Energy), open-weight model partnerships (Nemotron), and framing chips as an asset class create a self-reinforcing demand flywheel that de-risks forward revenue visibility.
8
Neoclouds & Cloud Computingtailwind
Neoclouds will sustain premium valuations via differentiation, not just GPU arbitrage
Ray Wong argues neoclouds like CoreWeave and Nebius are building defensible, turnkey, industry-specific GPU clusters with guaranteed latest-chip access, creating durable demand that won't collapse when supply normalizes — contrary to bearish commodity-cloud thesis.
7
AI Hardware & Chip Architecturetailwind
Per-gigawatt revenue metric signals Nvidia's pricing power from performance-per-watt gains
Nvidia's $40B/gigawatt target for Rubin chips reflects ability to charge more for chips that deliver higher performance per watt, letting customers justify upgrades through TCO savings — a new framing for semiconductor pricing power.
7
Semiconductorsrisk
China lithography breakthrough is the true existential threat to Nvidia, not custom silicon
Custom silicon from hyperscalers (Google TPU, OpenAI Jalapeno) are drops in the bucket vs. total AI demand; the real risk is China mastering advanced lithography to build chips outperforming Nvidia, prompting US export crackdowns.