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pablo schffner

T3 · host / generalist

Active investor at SeedRocket and Foro Founders. Focuses on real-world problems (sexual health, GLP-1 metabolic drugs). Portfolio includes Tupcal (pivoted to white-label Ozempic) and Codorníu (alcohol). Tracks consumer behavior shifts and technology adoption waves.

8 calls·8 names·63% bull·last heard 4 months ago·SeedRocket TV
track recordleaderboard →
hit rate
100%
avg alpha
+8.5pp
scored
2

top calls

best measured alpha vs SPY, then highest conviction · one per company
1st+11.1pp vs SPY
$NVONovo Nordisk

GLP-1 drugs creating structural shift: 25% of Americans on Ozempic/Wegovy, recurring revenue for life

GLP-1 agonists (Ozempic, Wegovy, Mounjaro) used by 25% of Americans heading to 35%, $250/month recurring for life with documented 15-20% weight loss and metabolic benefits. Disrupting alcohol, junk food, creating adjacent markets (telemedicine, protein foods, smaller portions). Portfolio company Tupcal pivoted to white-label GLP-1 subscription doing tens of millions ARR with 5 people.

SeedRocket TV2026-06episode →
2nd+6.0pp vs SPY
$LLYEli Lilly

Eli Lilly's Mounjaro/Zepbound capturing GLP-1 market share alongside Novo Nordisk

Eli Lilly's tirzepatide (Mounjaro/Zepbound) is the other major GLP-1/GIP dual agonist driving the metabolic drug wave, with same recurring revenue dynamics and market disruption as Novo Nordisk's semaglutide.

SeedRocket TV2026-06episode →
3rdhigh conviction
$TUPCALTupcalposition

Portfolio company pivoted to white-label GLP-1 subscription, 5 people doing tens of millions ARR

Tupcal pivoted from AI weight-loss tracker via WhatsApp to white-label Ozempic subscription model, went to US to validate, now doing tens of millions ARR with 5 people. Exemplifies catching the GLP-1 wave at right time.

SeedRocket TV2026-06episode →

most discussed · click a bar to filter

  • $TUPCAL
  • $MSFT
  • $GOOGL
  • $CODORNÍU
  • $NVO

recurring themes

  • GLP-1 & Metabolic Drugs1
  • AI Applications1
  • AI Infrastructure1
8 total
$TUPCAL
Tupcal
HIGHpablo schffner·SeedRocket TV·4 months ago·Anthropic vs. ChatGPT, Ozempic Shakes the US Economy, and the Controversial Mythos Case | Roundtable· position
Portfolio company pivoted to white-label GLP-1 subscription, 5 people doing tens of millions ARR
Tupcal pivoted from AI weight-loss tracker via WhatsApp to white-label Ozempic subscription model, went to US to validate, now doing tens of millions ARR with 5 people. Exemplifies catching the GLP-1 wave at right time.
"Nosotros aquí gracias a David y Marenat invertimos en una compañía de en Tupcal, ¿no? De que hemos hecho un podcast, todavía no está público, lo grabaremos. De invertimos en una c…"
47:37
$MSFT
···
Microsoft
LOWpablo schffner·SeedRocket TV·4 months ago·Anthropic vs. ChatGPT, Ozempic Shakes the US Economy, and the Controversial Mythos Case | Roundtable
Microsoft's OpenAI/Azure lock-in creates opening for Anthropic's multi-cloud approach
OpenAI tied to Azure; Anthropic's multi-cloud flexibility (AWS, GCP, Azure) lets them optimize cost/performance. Microsoft also secured Pentagon deal after Anthropic refused.
"Open AI se vincula con Azure, Microsoft para utilizar eh sus data centers y ellos dicen, 'Oye, yo utilizo varios Google, Amazon, los que haga falta, ¿vale?'"
16:31
$GOOGL
···
Alphabet (Google)
MEDpablo schffner·SeedRocket TV·4 months ago·Anthropic vs. ChatGPT, Ozempic Shakes the US Economy, and the Controversial Mythos Case | Roundtable
Google invested $2B in Anthropic, now launching Fitbit Air to compete in health wearables with data play
Google is a key Anthropic investor ($2B) enabling multi-cloud strategy, but also launching Fitbit Air ($99, no subscription) targeting mass Android users with Google Health integration to capture health data at scale. Different target than Whoop's elite athletes.
"La siguiente ronda, esto también va a ser importante, va a explicar por qué ganan. La segunda ronda ya se le ha metido Google, le puso 2,000 millones y Amazon 3,000 millones. Esto…"
16:17
$CODORNÍU
Codorníu
MEDpablo schffner·SeedRocket TV·4 months ago·Anthropic vs. ChatGPT, Ozempic Shakes the US Economy, and the Controversial Mythos Case | Roundtable· position
Codorníu stuck with high-inventory alcohol stock as GLP-1 reduces consumption
Spanish alcohol producer Codorníu (Foro Founders portfolio) holding excess high-proof inventory; GLP-1 adoption reduces alcohol cravings, making it bad time to sell. Alcohol giants stocked up post-COVID, now facing demand destruction.
"De hecho no sé si Codor Newnew está participada por Carl y ha [__] la venta de la compañía porque no es el mejor momento porque todos los gigantes del mundo del alcohol, especialm…"
46:40
$NVO
···
Novo Nordisk
HIGHpablo schffner·SeedRocket TV·4 months ago·Anthropic vs. ChatGPT, Ozempic Shakes the US Economy, and the Controversial Mythos Case | Roundtable
GLP-1 drugs creating structural shift: 25% of Americans on Ozempic/Wegovy, recurring revenue for life
GLP-1 agonists (Ozempic, Wegovy, Mounjaro) used by 25% of Americans heading to 35%, $250/month recurring for life with documented 15-20% weight loss and metabolic benefits. Disrupting alcohol, junk food, creating adjacent markets (telemedicine, protein foods, smaller portions). Portfolio company Tupcal pivoted to white-label GLP-1 subscription doing tens of millions ARR with 5 people.
"Los americanos consumían más o menos unas 1000 calorías de más cada día y ahora ha desde, o sea, se ha creado una una nueva industria gracias a el GLP1. Hoy en día el 25% de los a…"
42:19
$LLY
···
Eli Lilly
HIGHpablo schffner·SeedRocket TV·4 months ago·Anthropic vs. ChatGPT, Ozempic Shakes the US Economy, and the Controversial Mythos Case | Roundtable
Eli Lilly's Mounjaro/Zepbound capturing GLP-1 market share alongside Novo Nordisk
Eli Lilly's tirzepatide (Mounjaro/Zepbound) is the other major GLP-1/GIP dual agonist driving the metabolic drug wave, with same recurring revenue dynamics and market disruption as Novo Nordisk's semaglutide.
"El GLP1 es el OEPC. El Ozen Pic. el el ilili, el, o sea, el mount jaro y todo eso, o sea, básicamente es la nosotros cuando comemos eh nuestro destino genera una hormona, o sea, n…"
43:13
$ANTHROPIC
Anthropic
HIGHpablo schffner·SeedRocket TV·4 months ago·Anthropic vs. ChatGPT, Ozempic Shakes the US Economy, and the Controversial Mythos Case | Roundtable
Anthropic winning enterprise AI with coding focus and safety branding
Anthropic captures 40% of enterprise AI spend vs OpenAI's 27% by focusing exclusively on enterprise-first APIs and coding (Claude Code), leveraging constitutional AI safety branding to win trust, and using multi-cloud (Amazon Trainium chips) to achieve 70% margins. Revenue grew from $87M to $45B ARR in 2 years.
"Básicamente es porque son los líderes en enterprise, voy a hacer un producto solo para empresas y luego se ha centrado un segmento muy claro que es el del código y pasa en 6 meses…"
6:03
$AMZN
···
Amazon
MEDpablo schffner·SeedRocket TV·4 months ago·Anthropic vs. ChatGPT, Ozempic Shakes the US Economy, and the Controversial Mythos Case | Roundtable
Amazon's $3B Anthropic investment and Trainium chips enable 70% margins via multi-cloud
Amazon invested $3B in Anthropic and provides cheaper Trainium chips vs Nvidia, allowing Anthropic multi-cloud flexibility and 70% margins. Anthropic can choose best price/performance across AWS, GCP, Azure.
"Amazon ya no utilizan, o sea, utiliza, comienzan a utilizar chips que no sé cómo se llaman, Trinidium o no sé qué, pero que no son los de Nvidia y son más baratos. Y dos ya no sol…"
16:17
10
GLP-1 & Metabolic Drugstailwind
GLP-1 adoption at 25% of US adults creates structural demand destruction for alcohol and junk food
25% of Americans on GLP-1 agonists (heading to 35%) at $250/mo recurring for life. Documented 15-20% weight loss plus metabolic benefits. Causing plant closures (Pepsi, Frito-Lay), alcohol inventory gluts, and creating adjacent markets: telemedicine, protein foods, smaller portions, white-label prescription platforms (Tupcal doing tens of millions ARR with 5 people).
9
AI Applicationstailwind
Anthropic wins enterprise AI by focusing on coding agents and safety branding
Anthropic's enterprise-first strategy (40% share vs OpenAI 27%) and coding-specific product (Claude Code) drove revenue from $87M to $45B ARR in 2 years. Constitutional AI and safety positioning build trust for enterprise adoption.
8
AI Infrastructuretailwind
Multi-cloud strategy and Amazon Trainium chips give Anthropic 70% margin advantage
Anthropic avoids vendor lock-in by using AWS (Trainium), GCP, and Azure, negotiating better pricing. Amazon's custom chips cheaper than Nvidia enable 70% margins. OpenAI locked to Azure creates structural cost disadvantage.