TickerTain
TickerTain
NewsroomShortsPortfolioConvergence
NewsroomShortsPortfolioConvergence
$ANTHROPIC·$MA····$INTC····$BLUE-ORIGIN·$SPCX····$CRWV····$CRM····$MSFT····$NVDA····$ORCL····$CURSOR·$AAPL····$OPENAI·$AMZN····$UBER····$GOOGL····$META····$TSLA····$DATABRICKS·$PERPLEXITY·$LYFT····$NBIS····$TSM····$LITE····$ANDURIL·
$ANTHROPIC·$MA····$INTC····$BLUE-ORIGIN·$SPCX····$CRWV····$CRM····$MSFT····$NVDA····$ORCL····$CURSOR·$AAPL····$OPENAI·$AMZN····$UBER····$GOOGL····$META····$TSLA····$DATABRICKS·$PERPLEXITY·$LYFT····$NBIS····$TSM····$LITE····$ANDURIL·
←

nancy tengler

T2 · manager / operator

Nancy Tengler manages a fund with full allocation to memory sector via Micron; sees sustainable AI buildout with 3-5 year backlogs and is unconcerned about $350B data center capex given strong cash flows.

13 calls·13 names·92% bull·last heard 3 months ago·The Information+1
track recordleaderboard →
hit rate
33%
avg alpha
-8.7pp
scored
9

top calls

best measured alpha vs SPY · one per company
1st+12.8pp vs SPY
$METAMeta Platformsposition

Sold Meta; AI monetization too opaque vs Spotify's clearer upside

Meta's AI spend lacks clear monetization path; Laufer Tengler sold at lower levels, rotated into Spotify which outperformed, and remains on sidelines until AI revenue model clarifies.

The Information2025-11episode →
2nd+11.0pp vs SPY
$GOOGLAlphabetposition

Google leapfrogging from Mag 7 laggard to darling; owned in value and growth

Google was left for dead months ago but now leads Mag 7 rotation; Laufer Tengler added to value portfolio first, then growth, expecting leapfrogging among mega-caps to continue for years.

The Information2025-11episode →
3rd+6.0pp vs SPY
$SBUXStarbucksposition

Recently added Starbucks as consumer discretionary offset

Starbucks added recently as a consumer discretionary play benefiting from tax refund stimulus.

The Information2025-11episode →

most discussed · click a bar to filter

  • $SBUX
  • $AVGO
  • $SPOT
  • $META
  • $TJX

recurring themes

  • AI Infrastructure1
  • AI Bubble / Capex Debate1
  • Consumer Discretionary1
  • Robotics & Physical AI1
  • IPO Market1
13 total
$SBUX
···
Starbucks
MEDnancy tengler·The Information·10 months ago·OpenAI’s Vision of 220 Million Paid Users by 2030, Crypto Winter Will Be Different | Nov 26, 2025· position
Recently added Starbucks as consumer discretionary offset
Starbucks added recently as a consumer discretionary play benefiting from tax refund stimulus.
"We recently added to Starbucks. I I think that's um a good offset."
14:11
$AVGO
···
Broadcom
HIGHnancy tengler·The Information·10 months ago·OpenAI’s Vision of 220 Million Paid Users by 2030, Crypto Winter Will Be Different | Nov 26, 2025· position
Broadcom is largest TGLR ETF holder; designing Google TPUs
Broadcom is a primary beneficiary of custom silicon trend as Google's TPU design partner; positioned as a major winner alongside Nvidia in AI infrastructure.
"One of our largest holdings in our ETF TGLR is Broadcom and they are the ones that are designing and partnering with Gemini uh with Gemini uh Alphabet on on the TPUs."
9:32
$SPOT
···
Spotify
MEDnancy tengler·The Information·10 months ago·OpenAI’s Vision of 220 Million Paid Users by 2030, Crypto Winter Will Be Different | Nov 26, 2025· position
Bought Spotify over Meta; outperformed as AI beneficiary
Spotify chosen over Meta as AI-exposed consumer play; has outperformed significantly since rotation.
"We bought Spotify. This is the dilemma for every portfolio manager. You always look at what you sold and you go, 'Ah, but it it kept going up.' Well, Spotify went up a lot more."
15:10
$META
···
Meta Platforms
MEDnancy tengler·The Information·10 months ago·OpenAI’s Vision of 220 Million Paid Users by 2030, Crypto Winter Will Be Different | Nov 26, 2025· position
Sold Meta; AI monetization too opaque vs Spotify's clearer upside
Meta's AI spend lacks clear monetization path; Laufer Tengler sold at lower levels, rotated into Spotify which outperformed, and remains on sidelines until AI revenue model clarifies.
"We do not own Meta. We sold it um at lower levels than it is today... the monetization of their AI spend is a little bit more difficult for us to wrap our brain around. So, we've…"
15:04
$TJX
···
TJX Companies
MEDnancy tengler·The Information·10 months ago·OpenAI’s Vision of 220 Million Paid Users by 2030, Crypto Winter Will Be Different | Nov 26, 2025· position
Adding to TJX on $500B tax refund consumer tailwind
Consumer discretionary names benefit from $150B Q1 tax refunds ($500B total) from 'One Big Beautiful Bill Act' not yet priced in; TJX and Ulta are primary expressions.
"We've been adding to TJ Maxx, TJX, and Ulta, ULTA, and there's other names in the space we like... 150 billion in additional tax refunds should be paid to US taxpayers in the firs…"
13:39
$ULTA
···
Ulta Beauty
MEDnancy tengler·The Information·10 months ago·OpenAI’s Vision of 220 Million Paid Users by 2030, Crypto Winter Will Be Different | Nov 26, 2025· position
Adding to Ulta on consumer tax refund catalyst
Ulta Beauty positioned to capture consumer spending boost from $500B in tax refunds; added alongside TJX.
"We've been adding to TJ Maxx, TJX, and Ulta, ULTA, and there's other names in the space we like."
13:39
$ORCL
···
Oracle
HIGHnancy tengler·The Information·10 months ago·OpenAI’s Vision of 220 Million Paid Users by 2030, Crypto Winter Will Be Different | Nov 26, 2025· position
Oracle oversold at 30% drop; debt improving, RPO priced in, Ellison defends grade
Oracle's selloff overdone: debt/equity fell from 781% to 427%, property/equipment up 130% vs debt up only 9%, RPO backlog already reflected in price; Larry Ellison's 42% ownership ensures investment-grade defense.
"If you look at the debt to equity ratio at the end of the quarter, it was 427%. That was down uh from 781% in August of 2024... property and equipment up 130% year-over-year debt…"
10:53
$GOOGL
···
Alphabet
HIGHnancy tengler·The Information·10 months ago·OpenAI’s Vision of 220 Million Paid Users by 2030, Crypto Winter Will Be Different | Nov 26, 2025· position
Google leapfrogging from Mag 7 laggard to darling; owned in value and growth
Google was left for dead months ago but now leads Mag 7 rotation; Laufer Tengler added to value portfolio first, then growth, expecting leapfrogging among mega-caps to continue for years.
"Google was actually added in our value portfolio first and then we added it back into growth because remember it was left for dead just a few few short months ago. Nobody wanted t…"
9:58
$AMD
···
Advanced Micro Devices
MEDnancy tengler·The Information·10 months ago·OpenAI’s Vision of 220 Million Paid Users by 2030, Crypto Winter Will Be Different | Nov 26, 2025· position
AMD may be the real challenger to Nvidia, not Google
AMD, not Google's TPUs, is the most credible threat to Nvidia's dominance; Laufer Tengler owns AMD across strategies.
"It may in fact be AMD. But I I will point out Anita that during they also issued a similar statement after the Deep Seek situation."
8:48
$NVDA
···
Nvidia
HIGHnancy tengler·The Information·10 months ago·OpenAI’s Vision of 220 Million Paid Users by 2030, Crypto Winter Will Be Different | Nov 26, 2025· position
Nvidia's CUDA moat is years ahead; chip is just gateway to ecosystem
Nvidia's durable advantage is its CUDA software ecosystem — analogous to Apple's App Store — making the chip merely the entry point; competitors are years behind despite headline-driven market focus.
"Think of Nvidia chips as the entrance into the ecosystem. Their software CUDA is really what developers utilize to develop programs. It's much like Apple's app store where the sma…"
8:46
8
AI Infrastructuretailwind
Nvidia's CUDA moat years ahead; custom silicon (Broadcom/Google) emerging as parallel winner
Nvidia's software ecosystem (CUDA) creates an Apple App Store-like moat making the chip merely an entry point; meanwhile Broadcom's TPU partnership with Google shows custom silicon is a massive parallel market — both can win as AI infrastructure spend scales.
8
AI Bubble / Capex Debatetailwind
AI capex in early innings vs 1990s; 20% EPS growth justifies valuations
Unlike 1990s where growth names had declining earnings amid soaring valuations, today's AI leaders generate ~20% EPS growth; capex cycle just starting, not peaking — runway for years, not decades, with second/third derivative plays (robotics, automation) emerging.
7
Consumer Discretionarytailwind
$500B tax refund catalyst positions consumer discretionary for Q1 beat
One Big Beautiful Bill Act will deliver $150B in Q1 tax refunds ($500B total) — not yet factored into consensus; TJX, Ulta, Starbucks positioned as primary beneficiaries of discretionary spending surge.
7
Robotics & Physical AItailwind
Warehouse automation (Symbotic) at inflection with 100%+ earnings growth
Physical AI adoption in logistics/back-office automation just beginning; Symbotic's Walmart partnership demonstrates scalable robotics deployment with triple-digit earnings growth — early innings of industrial AI transformation.
7
IPO Markettailwind
Foreign AI firms tap US capital markets for valuation premium and talent access via ADR listings
Nancy Tengler and Nelson Griggs note US markets provide superior valuation for AI companies; ADR listings offer currency for US investments, talent attraction through stock options, and enhanced reporting standards; trend likely to expand with Samsung and Japanese firms considering similar listings.
6
Grid & Power Infrastructurerisk
Data center buildout constrained by 450K unfilled manufacturing jobs
AI data center construction requires 100-5,000 workers per site; 450,000 unfilled US manufacturing jobs create natural brake on capex deployment — Microsoft notes fungibility of data centers for other uses if AI demand slows.