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nancy tangler

T2 · manager / operator

CEO and CIO of Lafer Tangler Investments; manages ETF TGLR and multiple strategies; former portfolio manager in the 1990s; focuses on old economy companies embracing new technologies.

15 calls·15 names·73% bull·last heard 10 months ago·The Information
track recordleaderboard →
hit rate
30%
avg alpha
-10.2pp
scored
10

top calls

best measured alpha vs SPY · one per company
1st+10.6pp vs SPY
$METAMeta Platformsposition

Sold Meta; AI monetization unclear, rotated into Spotify which outperformed

Meta's AI spend monetization is difficult to model; firm sold Meta at lower levels and bought Spotify instead, which appreciated more.

The Information2025-11episode →
2nd+8.2pp vs SPY
$SBUXStarbucksposition

Recently added Starbucks as consumer discretionary hedge

Starbucks added recently as a good offset within consumer discretionary exposure.

The Information2025-11episode →
3rd+1.2pp vs SPY
$AAPLAppleposition

Apple held across strategies as ecosystem play

Apple is owned in multiple strategies for its ecosystem moat, analogous to Nvidia's CUDA lock-in.

The Information2025-11episode →

most discussed · click a bar to filter

  • $WMT
  • $OPENAI
  • $MSFT
  • $AMD
  • $SPOT

recurring themes

  • AI Infrastructure1
  • AI Bubble / Capex Debate1
  • Robotics & Physical AI1
  • Data Center Infrastructure1
  • Macro & Rates1
15 total
$WMT
···
Walmart
HIGHnancy tangler·The Information·10 months ago·Unpacking the Latest Big Tech Market Moves· position
Walmart is largest holding; old economy embracing new tech, sees only 1% inflation
Walmart exemplifies the firm's theme of old economy companies adopting new technologies; held 8-9 years, management reports only 1% purchasing inflation, providing insight on Fed policy.
"one of our largest holdings is Walmart. And I think Walmart is interesting on so many levels. We bought it about I don't know eight or nine years ago. Uh it has become the poster…"
6:21
$OPENAI
OpenAI
MEDnancy tangler·The Information·10 months ago·Unpacking the Latest Big Tech Market Moves
Oracle's perceived OpenAI dependence a risk; OpenAI has high burn, low revenue
Oracle's stock risk stems from market perception of overdependence on OpenAI, which has a high burn rate and very low revenue; if OpenAI falters, it impacts the entire AI infrastructure space.
"What I am concerned about is the overd dependence in this market or the perceived overdependence to open AI and that's something that I think is worth worrying about uh because th…"
4:18
$MSFT
···
Microsoft
LOWnancy tangler·The Information·10 months ago·Unpacking the Latest Big Tech Market Moves
Microsoft says data centers are fungible, can be repurposed
Satya Nadella indicated data center capacity can be used for other workloads if AI demand slows, reducing stranded asset risk.
"Microsoft, Satia, and Nadella had said the these data centers are funible. We can use them for other things."
5:13
$AMD
···
Advanced Micro Devices
LOWnancy tangler·The Information·10 months ago·Unpacking the Latest Big Tech Market Moves· position
AMD seen as more credible Nvidia competitor than Google TPUs
AMD may be the company that eventually challenges Nvidia's dominance, rather than internally developed chips like Google's TPUs.
"I don't think it's necessarily Google. it may in fact be AMD."
0:53
$SPOT
···
Spotify
MEDnancy tangler·The Information·10 months ago·Unpacking the Latest Big Tech Market Moves· position
Bought Spotify instead of Meta; Spotify outperformed significantly
Rotated from Meta into Spotify based on clearer monetization; Spotify has appreciated more since the switch.
"We bought Spotify. This is the dilemma for every portfolio manager. You always look at what you sold and you go, "Ah, but it it kept going up." Well, Spotify went up a lot more."
7:11
$NVDA
···
Nvidia
MEDnancy tangler·The Information·10 months ago·Unpacking the Latest Big Tech Market Moves· position
Nvidia's CUDA moat keeps it years ahead of rivals; TPU threat overstated
Nvidia's chips are the gateway to its CUDA software ecosystem, creating a durable moat similar to Apple's App Store; competitors like Google's TPUs or AMD are not closing the gap meaningfully.
"think of Nvidia chips uh as um the the entrance into the ecosystem. Their software CUDA is really what uh developers utilize to uh you know to develop programs. It's much like App…"
0:53
$AAPL
···
Apple
MEDnancy tangler·The Information·10 months ago·Unpacking the Latest Big Tech Market Moves· position
Apple held across strategies as ecosystem play
Apple is owned in multiple strategies for its ecosystem moat, analogous to Nvidia's CUDA lock-in.
"we own Apple and we own Google. So, uh we own them in different strategies for different reasons."
2:01
$ULTA
···
Ulta Beauty
MEDnancy tangler·The Information·10 months ago·Unpacking the Latest Big Tech Market Moves· position
Adding to Ulta Beauty on consumer discretionary tailwind from tax refunds
Ulta Beauty benefits from the same consumer discretionary boost driven by $500B in tax refunds from the new tax bill.
"we've been adding to TJ Maxx, TJX, and Ulta, ULTA, and there's other names in the space we like."
6:09
$SYM
···
Symbotic
HIGHnancy tangler·The Information·10 months ago·Unpacking the Latest Big Tech Market Moves· position
Symbotic owned in thematic portfolio; 100%+ earnings growth, warehouse automation early innings
Symbotic powers Walmart's backroom automation; reported strong earnings with stock up 20%; earnings growth over 100%; robotics and logistics automation adoption just beginning.
"One of the names that we own in our thematic portfolio is Symbotic, which has done all of the backroom automation for Walmart. They reported yesterday the stock was up 20%. Don't…"
8:55
$TJX
···
TJX Companies
MEDnancy tangler·The Information·10 months ago·Unpacking the Latest Big Tech Market Moves· position
Adding to TJ Maxx on consumer discretionary tailwind from tax refunds
The 'One Big Beautiful Bill' will deliver $150B in Q1 tax refunds ($500B total), boosting consumer discretionary spending; TJX is a direct beneficiary.
"we've been adding to TJ Maxx, TJX, and Ulta, ULTA, and there's other names in the space we like."
6:09
8
AI Infrastructuretailwind
Nvidia's CUDA ecosystem creates durable moat; custom silicon room for multiple winners
Nvidia's software ecosystem (CUDA) is the true moat, not just hardware; Broadcom benefits as Google's TPU partner; multiple winners can coexist in AI infrastructure buildout.
8
AI Bubble / Capex Debatetailwind
Not an AI bubble like 1990s; today's leaders generate 20% EPS growth, capex just starting
Unlike the 1990s when growth stocks had declining earnings, today's AI leaders generate ~20% EPS growth; capex spend in the 1990s soared for the entire decade, while current cycle is just beginning.
8
Robotics & Physical AItailwind
Warehouse automation early innings; Symbotic shows 100%+ earnings growth
Robotics and logistical automation adoption is just starting; Symbotic's backroom automation for Walmart demonstrates the trajectory with over 100% earnings growth.
7
Data Center Infrastructuremixed
Data center buildout constrained by labor shortages, not demand; assets are fungible
Data center construction requires 10-5,000 workers per site; 450,000 manufacturing jobs unfilled may naturally slow buildout; Microsoft says data centers are fungible and can be repurposed, reducing stranded asset risk.
7
Macro & Ratestailwind
Tax bill to deliver $500B refunds, boosting consumer discretionary; Walmart sees only 1% inflation
The 'One Big Beautiful Bill' will pay $150B in Q1 tax refunds ($500B total), creating a consumer tailwind; Walmart management reports only 1% purchasing inflation, suggesting Fed may have room to cut.