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mitesh agarwal

T3 · host / generalist

Chemical engineering background; co-founded Lambda (neocloud) with Stephen Balivan; joined Positron in early 2025 to commercialize memory-optimized inference chips. Raised $875M; deployed FPGA-based Atlas racks at Oracle; taping out custom ASIC for 2H27.

12 calls·9 names·50% bull·last heard 14 days ago·TBPN
track record

no scored calls yet — needs a stated position or a categorical verdict, with a matured window vs SPY

top calls

highest conviction · one per company
1sthigh conviction
$POSITRONPositron AIposition

Positron raises $875M to build inference chips using commodity memory to bypass HBM bottleneck

Mitesh Agarwal argues Positron's architecture solves the HBM/CoWoS supply constraint by using commodity LPDDR5X memory, enabling faster scaling to hundreds of megawatts for hyperscaler customers.

TBPN2026-09episode →
2ndhigh conviction
$POSITRON-AIPositron AIposition

Positron AI raises $875M to challenge Nvidia on inference with memory-optimized ASICs

Mitesh Agarwal reveals Positron has raised $875M, deployed FPGA-based first-gen at Oracle, and is taping out ASICs for 2027 production targeting hundreds of megawatts at hyperscalers by 2028, leveraging commodity memory to bypass HBM/CoWoS bottlenecks.

TBPN2026-09episode →
3rdhigh conviction
$ORCLOracle

Positron deploys 50 Atlas FPGA racks at Oracle as first production customer

Oracle's deployment of Positron's first-gen FPGA-based Atlas racks provides critical revenue and validation for the memory-centric inference architecture ahead of custom ASIC tape-out.

TBPN2026-09episode →

most discussed · click a bar to filter

  • $POSITRON
  • $POSITRON-AI
  • $ORCL
  • $GOOGL
  • $LAMBDA

recurring themes

  • AI Hardware & Chip Architecture4
  • AI Infrastructure4
  • Semiconductors3
  • Data Center Infrastructure2
  • Memory & Storage2
12 total
$POSITRON
Positron AI
HIGHmitesh agarwal·TBPN·14 days ago·Fruitfly Hard Takeoff, Parker's Vineyard, Personal Agents· position
Positron raises $875M to build inference chips using commodity memory to bypass HBM bottleneck
Mitesh Agarwal argues Positron's architecture solves the HBM/CoWoS supply constraint by using commodity LPDDR5X memory, enabling faster scaling to hundreds of megawatts for hyperscaler customers.
"Our big stories are you know like look HPM and then cos bottleneck you have Nvidia TPUs AMD is ahead of you in that line you know how do you get around that well again you know yo…"
96:00
$POSITRON-AI
Positron AI
HIGHmitesh agarwal·TBPN·14 days ago·Fruitfly Hard Takeoff, Parker's Vineyard, Personal Agents· position
Positron AI raises $875M to challenge Nvidia on inference with memory-optimized ASICs
Mitesh Agarwal reveals Positron has raised $875M, deployed FPGA-based first-gen at Oracle, and is taping out ASICs for 2027 production targeting hundreds of megawatts at hyperscalers by 2028, leveraging commodity memory to bypass HBM/CoWoS bottlenecks.
"we raised 230 million in series B uh in February of this year untouched right we still have all that capital uh part of it because we have been making revenue this year but we do…"
100:31
$POSITRON
Positron AI
HIGHmitesh agarwal·TBPN·14 days ago·Fruitfly Hard Takeoff, Parker's Vineyard, Personal Agents
Positron raises $875M to build inference chips using commodity memory
Positron targets the inference market with a differentiated architecture using commodity LPDDR5X memory to bypass HBM/CoWoS bottlenecks, has deployed FPGA-based Gen1 at Oracle and Jump Trading, is taping out ASIC Gen2 this year for 2027 production, and aims for hundreds of megawatts scale by 2028 to serve hyperscalers and frontier labs.
"we got our first gen product out with less than 20 people. Um and that's built on FPGA. So it's already pre-taped out silicon and we we're deploying and implementing architecture.…"
87:50
$POSITRON
Positron
HIGHmitesh agarwal·TBPN·14 days ago·Fruitfly Hard Takeoff, Parker's Vineyard, Personal Agents
Positron raises $875M to attack memory bottleneck in AI inference
Positron targets the memory bandwidth/capacity wall for inference with commodity memory architecture, aiming for gigawatt-scale deployments by 2028-2032 after tape-out this year.
"Memory uh is going to get a big part of the story for inference... we're taping out this year production kind of ramp up in second half of 2027 in 2028 we better have a plan of ho…"
98:50
$POSITRON
Positron AI
HIGHmitesh agarwal·TBPN·14 days ago·Fruitfly Hard Takeoff, Parker's Vineyard, Personal Agents· position
Positron raises $875M to build memory-optimized inference chips; first-gen FPGA deployed at Oracle, ASIC taping out 2026
Inference is becoming memory-bandwidth and capacity bound (video gen needs 4 H100s for 10-sec clip); Positron's architecture uses commodity LPDDR5X to bypass HBM bottlenecks, shipped FPGA-based Atlas racks to Oracle in 15 months with <20 people, and is taping out custom silicon for 2H27 production targeting hyperscaler gigawatt-scale demand.
"we got our first gen product out with less than 20 people. Um and that's built on FPGA. So it's already pre-taped out silicon and we we're deploying and implementing architecture.…"
90:51
$ORCL
···
Oracle
HIGHmitesh agarwal·TBPN·14 days ago·Fruitfly Hard Takeoff, Parker's Vineyard, Personal Agents
Positron deploys 50 Atlas FPGA racks at Oracle as first production customer
Oracle's deployment of Positron's first-gen FPGA-based Atlas racks provides critical revenue and validation for the memory-centric inference architecture ahead of custom ASIC tape-out.
"And our second gen those are the 50 atlas racks you have at Oracle. Oracle. Yeah. Those are FPGAs."
91:03
$GOOGL
···
Google
HIGHmitesh agarwal·TBPN·14 days ago·Fruitfly Hard Takeoff, Parker's Vineyard, Personal Agents
Google's VO video model requires 4 H100s for 10-second clip, exposing memory-bandwidth bottleneck
Video generation workloads are completely memory-bound on both bandwidth and capacity, validating the thesis that inference infrastructure must optimize for memory over raw compute.
"I remember looking at the Google VO model back and you know it needed four H100s to run like a 10-second clip. Was completely memory bound on bandwidth and capacity"
89:10
$LAMBDA
Lambda
MEDmitesh agarwal·TBPN·14 days ago·Fruitfly Hard Takeoff, Parker's Vineyard, Personal Agents
Positron's Mitesh Agarwal leaves Lambda (neocloud) after reasoning models and video gen reveal memory bottleneck
Lambda's hockey-stick growth coincided with the emergence of reasoning and video generation models that are severely memory-bound; Agarwal joined Positron to attack the memory wall at the silicon level rather than the cloud-services layer.
"lambda was just starting on its hockey stick growth then and I was like look I'm not leaving lambda uh started the company with uh Stephen there and lambda cloud but uh uh early 2…"
88:43
$VENTURE-TECH-ALLIANCE
Venture Tech Alliance
MEDmitesh agarwal·TBPN·14 days ago·Fruitfly Hard Takeoff, Parker's Vineyard, Personal Agents
Venture Tech Alliance on Positron cap table to secure TSMC fab capacity for gigawatt-scale roadmap
Strategic investors like VTA provide not just capital but supply-chain credibility; TSMC requires visibility into a startup's balance sheet and customer commitments before allocating leading-edge wafer capacity.
"when we speak with TSMC for fab capacity they're also wanting to know kind of like can you scale like you know do you have the the balance sheet to do that like the one of the rea…"
100:08
$NVDA
···
Nvidia
HIGHmitesh agarwal·TBPN·14 days ago·Fruitfly Hard Takeoff, Parker's Vineyard, Personal Agents
Positron CEO says Nvidia's 12-month chip cadence forces competitors to match pace or exit
Nvidia's annual silicon refresh cycle (Blackwell, Rubin, etc.) sets a brutal pace; any inference chip startup must demonstrate a credible path to volume production at gigawatt scale within 2-3 years to be taken seriously by hyperscalers, otherwise they cannot even enter the conversation.
"man new chip every 12 months. Nvidia is the absolute king and if they're coming out with a new silicon every 12 months, you better get in that game or or you know like you like do…"
90:19
9
AI Hardware & Chip Architecturetailwind
Positron targets inference TCO leadership with commodity-memory ASIC bypassing HBM bottleneck
Positron's Atlas chip uses LPDDR5X instead of HBM to avoid CoWoS constraints, achieving competitive inference TCO and interactivity; the team shipped FPGA-based Gen1 in 15 months with <20 people, has Gen2 at Oracle, and is taping out Gen3 ASIC for 2027 production targeting gigawatt-scale hyperscaler deployments.
9
AI Infrastructuretailwind
Positron targets inference with commodity memory, raises $875M to challenge HBM bottleneck
Positron AI uses FPGA-based first-gen and custom silicon second-gen (Atlas racks at Oracle) to run frontier models on commodity LPDDR5X memory, bypassing HBM/CoWoS supply constraints; they aim for hundreds of megawatts by 2028 and gigawatt-scale by 2032 to serve hyperscalers and quant finance, with software stack built on open-source SG Lang/VLLM plus co-optimization with frontier labs.
9
AI Infrastructuretailwind
Memory bandwidth emerges as the critical bottleneck for video generation and inference scaling
Video generation models are memory-bound on capacity and bandwidth; solving this with commodity memory architectures (LPDDR5X) enables new silicon entrants to scale without HBM/CoWoS constraints, creating a structural tailwind for memory-centric inference chips.
9
AI Hardware & Chip Architecturetailwind
Positron targets inference memory bottleneck with commodity LPDDR5X to circumvent HBM/CoWoS constraints
Positron's chip architecture uses commodity memory instead of HBM to solve the memory bandwidth/capacity bottleneck for inference workloads (video generation, reasoning models), enabling faster supply chain scaling and lower TCO for hyperscalers demanding gigawatt-scale deployments.
9
AI Hardware & Chip Architecturetailwind
Positron bets on commodity memory to bypass HBM bottleneck for inference
Positron's architecture uses commodity LPDDR5X memory instead of HBM to avoid the CoWoS packaging bottleneck that constrains Nvidia, AMD, and TPU supply; this enables faster scaling but requires solving the bandwidth gap through technical innovation, targeting inference workloads where memory capacity and cost matter more than training-scale interconnect.
9
Data Center Infrastructuretailwind
Hyperscalers demand gigawatt-scale silicon commitments before 2030
Frontier labs and hyperscalers now require silicon vendors to show credible paths to hundreds of megawatts by 2028 and gigawatts by 2032, forcing massive upfront capital ($875M raise) and supply-chain locking with TSMC/Blackstone-style project finance.
8
AI Infrastructuretailwind
Inference memory wall creates opening for non-Nvidia silicon at commodity memory price points
Video and reasoning models are memory-bandwidth and capacity bound (Google VO needs 4 H100s for 10s clip); Positron's architecture uses commodity LPDDR5X to bypass HBM supply constraints and cost, targeting a TCO advantage for inference workloads while accepting training irrelevance.
8
AI Hardware & Chip Architecturetailwind
Memory bandwidth bottleneck drives Positron's commodity-memory ASIC strategy to challenge Nvidia in inference
Mitesh Agarwal explains that inference is memory-bound on bandwidth and capacity, so Positron uses commodity LPDDR5X instead of HBM to bypass CoWoS packaging constraints, enabling faster scaling to hundreds of megawatts by 2028 without relying on TSMC advanced packaging bottlenecks.