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miguel

T3 · host / generalist

Engineering lead at Factorial driving the company's AI-native transformation. Led the cultural shift to zero-code experiments, standardization of AI tooling, and adoption of auto-research agents. Strong views on Software 2.0 transition and model provider economics.

3 calls·3 names·33% bull·last heard 6 months ago·itnig
track record

no scored calls yet — needs a stated position or a categorical verdict, with a matured window vs SPY

top calls

highest conviction · one per company
1stmedium conviction
$ANTHROPICAnthropic

Anthropic subsidizing Claude Code 10-13x below API cost to win developers

Anthropic is aggressively subsidizing Claude Code usage (13x cheaper than API pricing) to drive adoption, leveraging vertical integration of model and product to undercut competitors like Cursor who must buy tokens at wholesale.

itnig2026-04episode →
2ndmedium conviction
$CURSORCursor

Cursor trapped between model providers who are also competitors

Cursor resells tokens from Anthropic and OpenAI but those same providers now offer competing coding products (Claude Code, ChatGPT Canvas) and can subsidize inference 10-13x, putting Cursor in an untenable cost position.

itnig2026-04episode →
3rdlow conviction
$PENCILPencil

Pencil open-source AI design tool with multi-cursor agents, free now but paywall likely

Pencil is an open-source design tool where agents place components on canvas with multiple cursors. Currently free as a distribution strategy, but expected to add a paywall once viral adoption is achieved via agent-driven discovery.

itnig2026-04episode →

most discussed · click a bar to filter

  • $PENCIL
  • $ANTHROPIC
  • $CURSOR

recurring themes

  • AI Infrastructure1
  • AI Economics & Business Models1
  • AI Coding Agents1
  • Developer Tools1
3 total
$PENCIL
Pencil
LOWmiguel·itnig·6 months ago·AI debate with Factorial engineers | itnig discussion
Pencil open-source AI design tool with multi-cursor agents, free now but paywall likely
Pencil is an open-source design tool where agents place components on canvas with multiple cursors. Currently free as a distribution strategy, but expected to add a paywall once viral adoption is achieved via agent-driven discovery.
"Tienes pencil, que ahora es gratis, a ver cuánto tiempo es gratis, ¿sabes? Pensil. Pencil es para diseñar con agentes, saca cursores y empieza a tirar componentes en pantalla con…"
73:03
$ANTHROPIC
Anthropic
MEDmiguel·itnig·6 months ago·AI debate with Factorial engineers | itnig discussion
Anthropic subsidizing Claude Code 10-13x below API cost to win developers
Anthropic is aggressively subsidizing Claude Code usage (13x cheaper than API pricing) to drive adoption, leveraging vertical integration of model and product to undercut competitors like Cursor who must buy tokens at wholesale.
"Cloud Code está como subsidiando a 10 veces más lo que les cuesta realmente... 13x, sí. 1 tr. Sí, por eso como compar si tú compras max y si tú comparas con el precio que tú vas a…"
17:13
$CURSOR
Cursor
MEDmiguel·itnig·6 months ago·AI debate with Factorial engineers | itnig discussion
Cursor trapped between model providers who are also competitors
Cursor resells tokens from Anthropic and OpenAI but those same providers now offer competing coding products (Claude Code, ChatGPT Canvas) and can subsidize inference 10-13x, putting Cursor in an untenable cost position.
"Cursor ha sacado su nuevo modelo porque están en una posición muy mala porque no pueden competir con coste. Bueno, están en una posición mala porque dependen de los proveedores qu…"
17:01
9
AI Infrastructuretailwind
Software 2.0 transition: codebases becoming prompts + context + skills
The industry is transitioning from Software 1.0 (deterministic code) to Software 2.0 (prompts, skills, context files executed by LLMs). Companies will maintain prompt/skill repositories instead of traditional codebases, and open-source value shifts from code to shared prompts, skills, and training data.
8
AI Economics & Business Modelstailwind
Model providers subsidizing inference 10-13x to own the application layer
Anthropic (Claude Code) and likely OpenAI are pricing consumer coding products far below API costs (13x subsidy) to drive adoption and lock in developers. This vertically integrated model threatens middle-layer tools like Cursor that must buy tokens at wholesale rates.
8
AI Coding Agentstailwind
Code review becoming the bottleneck as AI generates 10x more PRs
AI coding agents have shifted the bottleneck from code generation to code review. Factorial sees 150+ PRs pending review (up from 30) because human review doesn't scale. They are investing in automated review agents with persistent memory to handle 50-70% of reviews within a month.
7
Developer Toolstailwind
Auto-research agents running nightly optimization experiments across entire codebase
Factorial is deploying 'Auto Research' (inspired by Karpathy's repo) where agents run hundreds of parallel experiments overnight (performance, structure validation, etc.) and submit PRs with improvements. This turns compute into a continuous optimization loop while engineers sleep.