matt murphy

T2 · manager / operator

Matt Murphy is a partner at Menlo Ventures who led the firm's seed investment in Anthropic and focuses on AI infrastructure, applications, and frontier model companies.

5 calls·5 names·100% bull·last heard 15 days ago·20VC
track record

no scored calls yet — needs a stated position or a categorical verdict, with a matured window vs SPY

top calls

highest conviction · one per company
1sthigh conviction
$OPENROUTEROpenRouterposition

OpenRouter's model routing marketplace hits wild profitability ahead of multi-model optimization wave

OpenRouter's developer-trusted inference marketplace intelligently routes API calls across the model efficiency frontier (price, reasoning, latency), positioning it as the essential optimization layer as enterprises adopt multi-model strategies at scale.

20VC2026-07
2ndhigh conviction
$LOVABLELovableposition

Lovable scales 0 to $300M ARR in year one, Menlo bets on creator economy vision

Lovable's unprecedented growth trajectory (0 to $300M ARR in 12 months) combined with Anton's vision to turn non-coders into creators via AI coding agents justifies aggressive investment despite low initial margins, with a credible path to 60-70% gross margins through model optimization and open-source substitution.

20VC2026-07
3rdhigh conviction
$LORRALorraposition

Lorra builds defensible legal AI through multi-party workflow complexity

Lorra's deep integration into legal workflows — spanning corporate counsel, law firms, and clients across organizational boundaries — creates a complex multi-constituent moat that generic frontier models cannot easily replicate, enabling expansion into adjacent professional services.

20VC2026-07
5 total
$OPENROUTER
OpenRouter
HIGHmatt murphy·20VC·15 days ago· position
OpenRouter's model routing marketplace hits wild profitability ahead of multi-model optimization wave
OpenRouter's developer-trusted inference marketplace intelligently routes API calls across the model efficiency frontier (price, reasoning, latency), positioning it as the essential optimization layer as enterprises adopt multi-model strategies at scale.
"Open Router has is like they've just got this ground swell of organic activity with developers who come to them because they they trust them. They know it's a great inference mark…"
23:19
$LOVABLE
Lovable
HIGHmatt murphy·20VC·15 days ago· position
Lovable scales 0 to $300M ARR in year one, Menlo bets on creator economy vision
Lovable's unprecedented growth trajectory (0 to $300M ARR in 12 months) combined with Anton's vision to turn non-coders into creators via AI coding agents justifies aggressive investment despite low initial margins, with a credible path to 60-70% gross margins through model optimization and open-source substitution.
"you see a company go from zero to something like 300 million in a year... this company is going to go from 0 to 300 in a year. Even if you assume it decelerates to whatever, you k…"
18:46
$CBRS
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Cerebras
MEDmatt murphy·20VC·15 days ago
Cerebras exemplifies high-risk spearfish bet on specialized AI compute architecture
Cerebras represents a classic venture spearfish: a highly specialized chip architecture targeting a narrow but potentially massive workload advantage, where the firm accepts binary outcome risk (zero or transformative) similar to Menlo's own Anthropic bet.
"every once in a while as a firm you can do something that's a little bit like there's something really special here. We might get a zero, but if this works, wow. And I'll that's,…"
44:13
$LORRA
Lorra
HIGHmatt murphy·20VC·15 days ago· position
Lorra builds defensible legal AI through multi-party workflow complexity
Lorra's deep integration into legal workflows — spanning corporate counsel, law firms, and clients across organizational boundaries — creates a complex multi-constituent moat that generic frontier models cannot easily replicate, enabling expansion into adjacent professional services.
"Max is special... they have lawyers and FDES getting in there and understanding these these workflows. Um, it's kind of like crosses organizational boundaries... I think there's j…"
30:48
$ANTHROPIC
Anthropic
HIGHmatt murphy·20VC·15 days ago· position
Menlo leads Anthropic seed and $500M SPV on compute efficiency and founder conviction
Anthropic's compute-efficient models (1/50th the capital of OpenAI for comparable performance) combined with Dario Amodei's unique technical leadership and researcher gravity create a durable frontier model alternative positioned for multi-cloud distribution.
"OpenAI is absolutely ripping the chat GPD taking off but Daario was the creator of that within OpenAI as you know the reason why he left is because basically he's like open AAI is…"
1:36