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kunjan sobhani

T3 · host / generalist

Covers semiconductor industry with focus on server design, data center infrastructure, memory cycles, and sovereign AI spending trends.

9 calls·5 names·44% bull·last heard 17 days ago·Bloomberg Tech
track record

no scored calls yet — needs a stated position or a categorical verdict, with a matured window vs SPY

top calls

highest conviction · one per company
1sthigh conviction
$QCOMQualcomm

Qualcomm lands $60B Amazon deal validating data center entry

Multi-generation custom chip deal with Amazon starting with connectivity and expanding to AI inference validates Qualcomm as a credible data center contender against Nvidia, AMD, and Intel, with multiple other hyperscalers in pipeline.

Bloomberg Tech2026-09episode →
2ndmedium conviction
$MDTKFMediaTek

Analyst: MediaTek deal helps XPU time-to-market but won't make them a broad chip seller

The Nvidia partnership solves software/network ecosystem closure for custom XPU makers, accelerating deployment, but MediaTek remains constrained by Nvidia's closed ecosystem and won't become a merchant supplier to the whole industry.

Bloomberg Tech2026-08episode →
3rdmedium conviction
$NVDANvidia

Bloomberg Intelligence calls Nvidia "Bank of Jensen" flexing muscle with strategic cash deployment

Nvidia's massive cash generation enables strategic investments like MediaTek that yield higher returns than buybacks or dividends, turning the balance sheet into a competitive moat-building tool.

Bloomberg Tech2026-08episode →

most discussed · click a bar to filter

  • $QCOM
  • $ARM
  • $NVDA
  • $MDTKF
  • $MRVL

recurring themes

  • Semiconductors3
  • Sovereign AI1
9 total
$QCOM
···
Qualcomm
HIGHkunjan sobhani·Bloomberg Tech·17 days ago·Amazon, Qualcomm Deal Broadens the AI Chip Race | Bloomberg Tech 9/08/2026
Qualcomm lands $60B Amazon deal validating data center entry
Multi-generation custom chip deal with Amazon starting with connectivity and expanding to AI inference validates Qualcomm as a credible data center contender against Nvidia, AMD, and Intel, with multiple other hyperscalers in pipeline.
"THIS DEAL VALIDATES THEIR ENTRY. THERE WERE A LOT OF DOUBTS WHETHER THEM COMING IN SOLID, COMPETING WITH THE LIKES OF NVIDIA AND AMD AND INTEL, WITH A REALLY BE ABLE TO GAIN SHARE…"
3:59
$ARM
···
Arm Holdings
MEDkunjan sobhani·Bloomberg Tech·2 months ago·SK Hynix Slips Ahead of Big Tech Results | Bloomberg Tech 7/29/2026
Arm's data center licensing story shields it from smartphone weakness
Majority of revenue still from smartphones but downside priced in; data center licensing momentum provides immunity from handset negativity if licensing numbers hold.
"THE MAJORITY OF THE REVENUE IS STILL COMING FROM SMART PHONES. WE KNOW THOSE MARKETS ARE NOT DOING THAT WELL. MOST OF THE DOWNSIDE IS PRICED IN. THE GOOD NEWS FOR THEM IS, BECAUSE…"
41:05
$QCOM
···
Qualcomm
MEDkunjan sobhani·Bloomberg Tech·2 months ago·SK Hynix Slips Ahead of Big Tech Results | Bloomberg Tech 7/29/2026
Qualcomm's data center narrative belies worsening Android China handset exposure
Near-term stock reflects data center optimism but next two quarters highly exposed to handset weakness; Android China sell-through deteriorating across tiers, Apple modem transition removes September quarter tailwind, automotive still too small to offset.
"NEAR-TERM INVESTORS ARE BELIEVING A STORY ABOUT DATA CENTERS, AND THAT IS SHOWING UP IN THE STOCK. HOWEVER, THERE IS NOTHING THEY CAN DO FOR THIS QUARTER AND NEXT QUARTER. THEY WI…"
41:49
$MDTKF
···
MediaTek
MEDkunjan sobhani·Bloomberg Tech·25 days ago·Nvidia Deepens Chip Ties With $3.5 Billion MediaTek Bet | Bloomberg Tech 8/31/2026
Analyst: MediaTek deal helps XPU time-to-market but won't make them a broad chip seller
The Nvidia partnership solves software/network ecosystem closure for custom XPU makers, accelerating deployment, but MediaTek remains constrained by Nvidia's closed ecosystem and won't become a merchant supplier to the whole industry.
"THE CHALLENGE XPU'S HAVE, ESPECIALLY WITH EXTERNAL PARTIES, IT IS A VERY CLOSED ECOSYSTEM FROM A SOFTWARE AND NETWORK PERSPECTIVE. THIS HELPS THEM GET TIME TO MARKET, BUT I WOULD…"
42:28
$MRVL
···
Marvell Technology
LOWkunjan sobhani·Bloomberg Tech·25 days ago·Nvidia Deepens Chip Ties With $3.5 Billion MediaTek Bet | Bloomberg Tech 8/31/2026
Nvidia's prior Marvell deal cited as template for MediaTek XPU partnership model
Nvidia has executed similar ecosystem partnerships with Marvell for custom silicon integration, suggesting a repeatable playbook for MediaTek.
"NVIDIA HAD A SIMILAR DEAL WITH MARVELL. WE ARE SEEING THIS HAPPENING IN AWS. SUDDENLY, AWS HAS BEEN THE BIGGEST NVIDIA GPU CUSTOMER. READ WHAT YOU WILL IN THERE, BUT THIS IS A GRE…"
41:50
$NVDA
···
Nvidia
MEDkunjan sobhani·Bloomberg Tech·25 days ago·Nvidia Deepens Chip Ties With $3.5 Billion MediaTek Bet | Bloomberg Tech 8/31/2026
Bloomberg Intelligence calls Nvidia "Bank of Jensen" flexing muscle with strategic cash deployment
Nvidia's massive cash generation enables strategic investments like MediaTek that yield higher returns than buybacks or dividends, turning the balance sheet into a competitive moat-building tool.
"THIS IS SORT OF THE BANK OF JENSEN, THE BANK OF NVIDIA FLEXING ITS MUSCLE. THE AMOUNT OF CASH THEY ARE GENERATING, WHAT CAN THEY GO AHEAD AND DO? ... WE THINK THIS USE OF CASH WIL…"
43:05
$QCOM
···
Qualcomm
MEDkunjan sobhani·Bloomberg Tech·2 months ago·SK Hynix Slips Ahead of Big Tech Results | Bloomberg Tech 7/29/2026
Qualcomm's data center diversification story faces near-term smartphone headwinds, especially Android in China
Near-term investors buying data center story but next two quarters highly exposed to handset weakness; Android China sell-through deteriorating across tiers; Apple modem transition removes September quarter tailwind; automotive growing but still small.
"NEAR-TERM INVESTORS ARE BELIEVING A STORY ABOUT DATA CENTERS, AND THAT IS SHOWING UP IN THE STOCK. HOWEVER, THERE IS NOTHING THEY CAN DO FOR THIS QUARTER AND NEXT QUARTER. THEY WI…"
41:29
$ARM
···
Arm Holdings
MEDkunjan sobhani·Bloomberg Tech·2 months ago·SK Hynix Slips Ahead of Big Tech Results | Bloomberg Tech 7/29/2026
Arm's data center licensing story must offset smartphone weakness; most handset downside priced in
Majority revenue still from weak smartphone markets, but chip version upgrades limit near-term impact; data center licensing momentum is the key bull case — if licensing numbers hold, stock immune to handset negativity.
"THE MAJORITY OF THE REVENUE IS STILL COMING FROM SMART PHONES. WE KNOW THOSE MARKETS ARE NOT DOING THAT WELL. MOST OF THE DOWNSIDE IS PRICED IN. ... AS LONG AS A LICENSING NUMBERS…"
40:33
$NVDA
···
Nvidia
MEDkunjan sobhani·Bloomberg Tech·3 months ago·AI Chip Selloff Spreads Across Global Markets | Bloomberg Tech 7/07/2026
Nvidia shifting away from HBM as memory bottleneck evolves
Nvidia, Qualcomm and Cerebras are moving away from HBM dependence, which could smooth the traditional boom-bust memory cycle by reducing peak demand pressure.
"WE ARE SEEING A LOT OF FOCUS FROM NVIDIA BUT ALSO QUALCOMM AND CERBERUS, GOING AWAY FROM HBM. THIS COULD HELP SLOW DOWN THE PEAKS AND TROUGHS OF THE MEMORY CYCLE."
7:00
8
Sovereign AItailwind
Government AI spending extends capex cycle beyond hyperscalers
South Korea's $307B AI plan (part of ~$880B tracked sovereign spending) creates sticky, long-term demand for memory fabs and data centers, reducing reliance on quarterly hyperscaler decisions and pressuring other regions like EU to increase their commitments.
7
Semiconductorsmixed
Smartphone semiconductor exposure diverges: Arm insulated by data center licensing, Qualcomm vulnerable to Android China weakness
Arm's smartphone revenue declining but data center licensing momentum provides immunity; Qualcomm's data center story long-dated while near-term earnings hostage to deteriorating Android China sell-through and Apple modem transition.
7
Semiconductorsmixed
Handset weakness fully priced for Arm; Qualcomm's China Android exposure deteriorating
Arm's smartphone revenue majority but downside priced; data center licensing is key watch. Qualcomm's near-term data center narrative contradicted by worsening monthly Android China sell-through across tiers and Apple modem loss.
7
Semiconductorstailwind
Strategic investments replace buybacks as Nvidia deploys cash to lock in ecosystem partners
With buybacks yielding only single-digit percentage impact, Nvidia is using its cash generation for convertible bond investments in partners like MediaTek that secure roadmap alignment and expand the AI factory supply chain.