Portfolio manager at Advisors Capital with deep semiconductor cycle expertise; focuses on durable moats in AI infrastructure and memory cycle risks.
no scored calls yet — needs a stated position or a categorical verdict, with a matured window vs SPY
Micron trades at 6x forward earnings but profits are driven by hundreds of percent price increases that are cyclical and unsustainable; three leading-edge players will collectively add excess capacity, causing prices and stocks to collapse well ahead of earnings turning negative.
Chip suppliers like Broadcom and Nvidia have more durable moats than AI model companies because they provide security, stability, reliability and data handling beyond just running models, sustaining profit margins as model margins compress.