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ian

T2 · manager / operator

Covers semiconductors and technology from San Francisco, focusing on memory market dynamics, capacity cycles, and US-China tech competition.

6 calls·5 names·67% bull·last heard 6 days ago·Bloomberg Tech+1
track record

no scored calls yet — needs a stated position or a categorical verdict, with a matured window vs SPY

top calls

highest conviction · one per company
1sthigh conviction
$RADIANTRadiant Nuclearposition

Kantos invested in Radiant Nuclear; behind-the-meter data center demand emerges as massive pull

Military microreactors now pulled by AI data center energy demand; 30 years of flat grid growth reversed; technology commoditizes from data center use.

TBPN2026-06→
2ndhigh conviction
$CASTELLIONCastellionposition

Kantos leads seed for Castellion missile defense tech; company graduates from El Segundo to Texas for testing

Defense tech companies start in LA/El Segundo, move to Torrance/Hawthorne, then Texas/Tennessee/New Mexico for testing; vertical integration of missile systems.

TBPN2026-06→
3rdhigh conviction
$000660.KSSK Hynix

SK Hynix rags-to-riches story with revenue tripling and 80% gross margins

SK Hynix transformed from near-bankruptcy to HBM market leader with revenue tripling and 80% gross margins. Korean government's $880B sovereign backing over multiple years mirrors TSMC model, creating insurmountable barriers to new memory entrants.

Bloomberg Tech2026-07→

most discussed · click a bar to filter

recurring themes

6 total
$AMD
···
AMD
MEDian·Bloomberg Tech·6 days ago
Analyst says data center business to more than double but street wants magnitude; CPU demand strong
Ian notes AMD guided data center sales to more than double but investors wanted specificity on magnitude (60% vs 2% more than double), while CPU demand remains robust with AMD taking share from Intel.
"EVERYBODY KIND OF KNOWS THEY ARE GOING TO DO WELL SO ARE WE GOING TO EXPECT THE DATA CENTER BUSINESS TO MORE THAN DOUBLE, WHAT DO YOU MEAN MORE THAN? 60% MORE THAN, 2% MORE THAN?…"
23:57
$AMD
···
Advanced Micro Devices
MEDian·Bloomberg Tech·6 days ago
Data center business to more than double, new accelerator better than Nvidia but timing uncertain
Ian notes AMD guided Q3 data center sales at $13.3B (more than doubling), with latest accelerator claimed better than Nvidia's offering, but street wants specificity on timing and magnitude. CPU demand remains strong with AMD taking share from Intel.
"EVERYBODY KIND OF KNOWS THEY ARE GOING TO DO WELL SO ARE WE GOING TO EXPECT THE DATA CENTER BUSINESS TO MORE THAN DOUBLE, WHAT DO YOU MEAN MORE THAN? 60% MORE THAN, 2% MORE THAN?.…"
23:31
$MU
···
Micron Technology
MEDian·Bloomberg Tech·last month
Micron boosts US capex to $250B as AI infrastructure devours memory chips
Micron increasing US investment commitment from $200B to $250B reflects insatiable AI-driven memory demand. However, industry's historical inability to balance supply/demand cycles creates oversupply risk if massive capacity comes online too quickly.
"THE BIG STORY, AND THIS IS WHAT TIES SK TO SAMSUNG AND MICRON, HOW MUCH CAPACITY WILL BE PUT IN PLACE AND MORE IMPORTANTLY, HOW QUICKLY? NO DEMAND -- NO DOUBT THAT DEMAND IS VERY…"
4:06
$000660.KS
···
SK Hynix
HIGHian·Bloomberg Tech·last month
SK Hynix rags-to-riches story with revenue tripling and 80% gross margins
SK Hynix transformed from near-bankruptcy to HBM market leader with revenue tripling and 80% gross margins. Korean government's $880B sovereign backing over multiple years mirrors TSMC model, creating insurmountable barriers to new memory entrants.
"IT IS A RED'S TO RICHES STORY, THE COMPANY WAS IN TROUBLE AND CAME CLOSE TO BEING BOUGHT BY ITS COMPETITOR, MICRON. SAMSUNG REFUSED TO BUY IT AS WELL. IT HAS COME AN INCREDIBLY LO…"
3:16
$RADIANT
Radiant Nuclear
HIGHian·TBPN·last month· position
Kantos invested in Radiant Nuclear; behind-the-meter data center demand emerges as massive pull
Military microreactors now pulled by AI data center energy demand; 30 years of flat grid growth reversed; technology commoditizes from data center use.
"When I when I first invested in Radiant, we were we were talking about military applications. Totally. And the behind the meter application for data centers is not even really on…"
176:12
$CASTELLION
Castellion
HIGHian·TBPN·last month· position
Kantos leads seed for Castellion missile defense tech; company graduates from El Segundo to Texas for testing
Defense tech companies start in LA/El Segundo, move to Torrance/Hawthorne, then Texas/Tennessee/New Mexico for testing; vertical integration of missile systems.
"Grant led Castellian seed round when he was at Entreason and the first thing he said when he joined Kantos was, "Hey, I know they're about to raise a big series A but Yeah, but le…"
162:56