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greg jensen

T2 · manager / operator

Greg Jensen has spent 30 years at Bridgewater, joining straight from Dartmouth in 1996. As Co-CIO, he manages Pure Alpha and a separate AI-native investment entity. He was an early personal investor in OpenAI (2016) and led the first check into Anthropic. He architected Bridgewater's 'secure garden' system for compounding institutional knowledge into algorithms.

12 calls·12 names·58% bull·last heard 10 months ago·In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen
track recordleaderboard →
hit rate
100%
avg alpha
+6.9pp
scored
1

top calls

best measured alpha vs SPY, then highest conviction · one per company
1st+6.9pp vs SPY
$NVDANvidia

Nvidia uses vendor financing to lock in ecosystem and block competitors like Google

Nvidia's vendor financing deals are not bubble dynamics but a deliberate Standard Oil-style strategy to control the AI ecosystem by locking in partners who won't develop alternative chips, defending against Google's full-stack threat.

In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen2025-11episode →
2ndhigh conviction
$OPENAIOpenAIposition

Greg Jensen invested personally in OpenAI's first round in 2016 to access reasoning research

Jensen invested in OpenAI's first funding round around 2016 because they were uniquely pursuing the reasoning capabilities he believed were necessary for AI to surpass human intuition, and he wanted direct exposure to the research trajectory.

In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen2025-11episode →
3rdhigh conviction
$ANTHROPICAnthropicposition

Jensen wrote the first check into Anthropic when top scientists left OpenAI

Jensen led Anthropic's initial funding after key OpenAI scientists founded it, seeing their mission-driven approach as a unique advantage for retaining top AI talent in a competitive market.

In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen2025-11episode →

most discussed · click a bar to filter

  • $AMZN
  • $META
  • $MSFT
  • $OPENAI
  • $NVDA

recurring themes

  • Public Markets & Valuation4
  • Macro & Rates2
  • Geopolitics & Trade1
  • AI Infrastructure1
  • AI Bubble / Capex Debate1
12 total
$AMZN
···
Amazon
LOWgreg jensen·In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen·10 months ago·Greg Jensen - Co-CIO of Bridgewater | Podcast | In Good Company | Norges Bank Investment Management
Amazon building its own AI ecosystem alongside Nvidia and Google
Amazon is developing a partial AI ecosystem as a third pole in the infrastructure land grab, though less fully described than Nvidia's or Google's.
"there's somewhat of an Amazon ecosystem and then there's an Nvidia controlled ecosystem that has let's say open AI certain models on the top and goes all the way through all the s…"
16:14
$META
···
Meta
LOWgreg jensen·In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen·10 months ago·Greg Jensen - Co-CIO of Bridgewater | Podcast | In Good Company | Norges Bank Investment Management
Meta uses chip and power advantage to recruit scarce AI scientists
Meta compensates for talent deficits by leveraging its compute and power resources to attract the fewer than 1,000 cutting-edge AI scientists globally.
"if you're meta and you don't feel like you have the scientists, but you have the chips and the power, you get the scientists, right? you're seeing this actually really"
16:58
$MSFT
···
Microsoft
MEDgreg jensen·In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen·10 months ago·Greg Jensen - Co-CIO of Bridgewater | Podcast | In Good Company | Norges Bank Investment Management
Microsoft secured prime grid-connected land for data centers early in the power land grab
Microsoft has executed a superior land grab by acquiring all the best grid-connected land for data center power, forcing competitors to seek off-grid power solutions.
"Microsoft's got all the land where you can get power on the grid. They've they've done a great job of getting that land. Other people need to figure out places off the grid to get…"
11:58
$OPENAI
OpenAI
HIGHgreg jensen·In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen·10 months ago·Greg Jensen - Co-CIO of Bridgewater | Podcast | In Good Company | Norges Bank Investment Management· position
Greg Jensen invested personally in OpenAI's first round in 2016 to access reasoning research
Jensen invested in OpenAI's first funding round around 2016 because they were uniquely pursuing the reasoning capabilities he believed were necessary for AI to surpass human intuition, and he wanted direct exposure to the research trajectory.
"I was in the first round of investors in OpenAI because they were doing unique things. That was I think it was about 2016. Elon Musk had just stepped aside and they needed funding…"
7:57
$NVDA
···
Nvidia
HIGHgreg jensen·In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen·10 months ago·Greg Jensen - Co-CIO of Bridgewater | Podcast | In Good Company | Norges Bank Investment Management
Nvidia uses vendor financing to lock in ecosystem and block competitors like Google
Nvidia's vendor financing deals are not bubble dynamics but a deliberate Standard Oil-style strategy to control the AI ecosystem by locking in partners who won't develop alternative chips, defending against Google's full-stack threat.
"Nvidia is now in this position and this goes to vendor financing. People look at this vendor financing and think it's because of normal bubble dynamics. This is how they're going…"
15:15
$THINKING-MACHINES
Thinking Machines
LOWgreg jensen·In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen·10 months ago·Greg Jensen - Co-CIO of Bridgewater | Podcast | In Good Company | Norges Bank Investment Management
Jensen impressed by Thinking Machines' talent but notes it's too early to judge
Thinking Machines has assembled a strong team of AI scientists, but as a new entrant its ability to retain talent and achieve breakthroughs remains unproven.
"I'm I'm very impressed with thinking machines. I think they have great people there but they just got there and who knows."
18:19
$ANTHROPIC
Anthropic
HIGHgreg jensen·In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen·10 months ago·Greg Jensen - Co-CIO of Bridgewater | Podcast | In Good Company | Norges Bank Investment Management· position
Jensen wrote the first check into Anthropic when top scientists left OpenAI
Jensen led Anthropic's initial funding after key OpenAI scientists founded it, seeing their mission-driven approach as a unique advantage for retaining top AI talent in a competitive market.
"that that journey brought me to Open AI. I was in the first round of investors in OpenAI... which brought me to anthropic later on when some of the best scientists I knew started…"
8:32
$GOOGL
···
Google
MEDgreg jensen·In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen·10 months ago·Greg Jensen - Co-CIO of Bridgewater | Podcast | In Good Company | Norges Bank Investment Management
Google is Nvidia's true competitor pursuing full-stack AI down to custom chips
Google's vertical integration from chips to models makes it the only credible threat to Nvidia's ecosystem control, driving Nvidia's defensive vendor financing strategy.
"Their problem is Google is a true competitor. Google's trying to go the whole stack all the way down to the chips. They don't want Google to win or they don't want Google to be th…"
15:43
$BABA
···
Alibaba
MEDgreg jensen·In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen·10 months ago·Greg Jensen - Co-CIO of Bridgewater | Podcast | In Good Company | Norges Bank Investment Management
China rehabilitating Alibaba to mobilize private sector for existential AI competition
Beijing has reversed its crackdown on tech giants like Alibaba because it needs a functioning equity market and private sector innovation to compete with the US in AI, which it now views as existential.
"They've shifted. You've seen the shift bringing Alibaba back in. bringing saying okay we've got to go do this and um and they need the equity market to function to do it they know…"
34:06
$GLD
···
Gold
MEDgreg jensen·In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen·10 months ago·Greg Jensen - Co-CIO of Bridgewater | Podcast | In Good Company | Norges Bank Investment Management
Gold reflecting geopolitical fragmentation and loss of US goodwill
Gold prices are rising as a barometer of geopolitical stress, capturing the shift to mercantilism and the collapse in global support for the US-led order.
"If you look at gold as another example where you're seeing the geopolitics play out."
5:23
9
Geopolitics & Tradeheadwind
Modern mercantilism replacing neoliberal order, driving inflation and fragmentation
The West has shifted from free trade to mercantilist policies — tariffs, industrial policy, zero-sum trade views — as a political reaction to China's rise and middle-class hollowing. This is structurally inflationary via supply chain reshoring and military spending, and will provoke populist retaliation globally.
9
AI Infrastructuretailwind
AI entering dangerous resource grab phase for power, chips, and scientists
AI investment has moved from 'nobody knows what's hitting them' to a physical resource grab: grid-connected land, multi-year chip allocations, and fewer than 1,000 cutting-edge scientists. Exponential compute scaling (50-60% annually) is hitting physical constraints, forcing ecosystem lock-in strategies.
9
Macro & Ratesmixed
Structural inflation at 2.5-3% from mercantilism and fiscal expansion, AI disinflation later
Tariffs, reshoring, and military spending create immediate inflationary pressure (base 2.5-3% CPI), while AI investment is currently low-labor-intensity and disinflationary only on a J-curve. Central bank independence erosion adds upside risk. Bonds lose diversification value as fiscal limits bind.
8
AI Bubble / Capex Debatemixed
AI bubble is ahead not behind; currently in resource grab phase with depreciation risk
The AI capex cycle is driven by existential competition among trillion-dollar players, not normal profit motives, so spending will continue far beyond typical cycles. However, AI self-improvement (chip design, protein folding) may rapidly depreciate current infrastructure assets, creating a future bubble bust risk.
8
Grid & Power Infrastructuretailwind
Severe power shortage for data centers triggering global land grab
Cheap, reliable power is the binding constraint for AI buildout. Microsoft has secured prime grid-connected sites; others are forced off-grid or to places like Abu Dhabi. China faces different dynamics. Power scarcity is not overhyped because actors believe AGI confers geopolitical dominance.
8
Semiconductorstailwind
Nvidia using vendor financing as Standard Oil-style ecosystem moat against Google
Nvidia's financing deals are not bubble froth but a deliberate strategy to lock in customers who won't develop rival chips, defending its monopoly position against Google's full-stack vertical integration. This creates a three-ecosystem landscape: Google, Amazon, and Nvidia-led.
8
Macro & Ratestailwind
Jensen: Systematic macro framework scales fundamental cause-effect logic globally for diversified alpha
Bridgewater translates qualitative macro reasoning — why buy a bond, why buy a currency — into algorithms applicable across all countries, enabling massive diversification and compounding understanding over 50 years.
8
AI Talent & Labor Marketheadwind
Extreme scientist scarcity (<1,000) driving mercenary culture and slowing breakthroughs
The pool of researchers capable of advancing frontier AI is tiny, triggering a transfer-market dynamic where labs poach talent with compensation rather than mission. This short-termism undermines the multi-year team cohesion needed for major breakthroughs, though mission-driven labs like Anthropic retain better.