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george ferguson

T3 · host / generalist

Bloomberg Intelligence analyst covering telecom and space. Notes SpaceX connectivity grew 50% revenue/46% profit but AI segment costs rose 6x. Skeptical of SpaceX taking major carrier share without price fight.

5 calls·1 name·0% bull·last heard 2 months ago·Bloomberg Tech
track record

no scored calls yet — needs a stated position or a categorical verdict, with a matured window vs SPY

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highest conviction · one per company
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$SPCXSpaceX

Connectivity segment growing 50% revenue, 46% profit but AI segment costs rising 6x vs 1.3x revenue

George Ferguson notes Starlink connectivity is the cash cow with 50% revenue growth and 46% profit growth, while the new AI segment saw costs rise 6x against only 1.3x revenue growth, making it 'kind of hard to win at that.'

Bloomberg Tech2026-08episode →

most discussed · click a bar to filter

  • $SPCX

recurring themes

  • Space Economy3
5 total
$SPCX
···
SpaceX
MEDgeorge ferguson·Bloomberg Tech·2 months ago·Chip Selloff, SpaceX, and Apple's $5 Trillion Milestone | Bloomberg Tech 7/28/2026
SpaceX valuation tied to AI business success, not Starship
SpaceX's valuation depends on its AI business executing, with Starship merely a facilitator for orbital data centers; the stock moves with hyperscaler sentiment.
"I THINK THE SLIDE IS ALL A FUNCTION OF A.I. THE MODEL WE BUILT OUT ON SPACEX JUST SHOWED THAT IF THE A.I. BUSINESS WORKED, IT COULD POTENTIALLY GROW INTO VALUATIONS THAT WERE SIMI…"
27:19
$SPCX
···
SpaceX
MEDgeorge ferguson·Bloomberg Tech·2 months ago·SpaceX's AI Push, Uber's Next Move and Zoox's Milestone | Bloomberg Tech 8/5/2026
Bloomberg Intelligence sees connectivity strength but AI segment burning cash 6x faster than revenue
Connectivity grew revenue 50% and profit 46% but margins deteriorated slightly; AI segment revenue rose 1.3x while costs rose 6x, making profitability difficult; skeptical SpaceX can conquer major carrier customers without a price fight.
"I THINK THE CONNECTIVITY BUSINESS, THEY GREW REVENUES 50%. THEY GREW PROFIT 46%. MARGINS, A LITTLE BIT DETERIORATED. AI, THEY REALLY RAISED A LOT OF REVENUE. I THINK IT WAS LIKE 1…"
42:33
$SPCX
···
SpaceX
MEDgeorge ferguson·Bloomberg Tech·2 months ago·Chip Selloff, SpaceX, and Apple's $5 Trillion Milestone | Bloomberg Tech 7/28/2026
SpaceX selloff driven by AI/hyperscaler sentiment, not Starship
SpaceX's post-IPO slide is a function of the broader AI/hyperscaler selloff because the market values SpaceX primarily as an AI play; Starship progress is merely a facilitator for orbital AI data centers.
"I THINK THE SLIDE IS ALL A FUNCTION OF A.I. THE MODEL WE BUILT OUT ON SPACEX JUST SHOWED THAT IF THE A.I. BUSINESS WORKED, IT COULD POTENTIALLY GROW INTO VALUATIONS THAT WERE SIMI…"
27:15
$SPCX
···
SpaceX
MEDgeorge ferguson·Bloomberg Tech·2 months ago·SpaceX's AI Push, Uber's Next Move and Zoox's Milestone | Bloomberg Tech 8/5/2026
Bloomberg Intelligence warns AI segment costs rising 6x vs revenue 1.3x, sees price fight with carriers
George Ferguson notes SpaceX's AI segment costs rose sixfold while revenue only grew 1.3x, and believes Starlink will initially fill coverage gaps rather than directly conquer major carrier customers, setting up a price war.
"AI, THEY REALLY RAISED A LOT OF REVENUE. I THINK IT WAS LIKE 1.3 TIMES. BUT COSTS ROSE SIX TIMES. KIND OF HARD TO WIN AT THAT. I DON'T THINK THOSE CARRIERS WILL ROLL OVER AND GIVE…"
42:53
$SPCX
···
SpaceX
HIGHgeorge ferguson·Bloomberg Tech·2 months ago·SpaceX's AI Push, Uber's Next Move and Zoox's Milestone | Bloomberg Tech 8/5/2026
Connectivity segment growing 50% revenue, 46% profit but AI segment costs rising 6x vs 1.3x revenue
George Ferguson notes Starlink connectivity is the cash cow with 50% revenue growth and 46% profit growth, while the new AI segment saw costs rise 6x against only 1.3x revenue growth, making it 'kind of hard to win at that.'
"I THINK THE CONNECTIVITY BUSINESS, THEY GREW REVENUES 50%. THEY GREW PROFIT 46%... AI, THEY REALLY RAISED A LOT OF REVENUE. I THINK IT WAS LIKE 1.3 TIMES. BUT COSTS ROSE SIX TIMES."
43:13
7
Space Economymixed
SpaceX valuation tethered to AI narrative; Starship progress secondary
SpaceX's stock moves with AI/hyperscaler sentiment because its prospectus centered on AI (orbital data centers, enterprise software); Starship successes are merely enablers for that AI thesis, not independent value drivers.
7
Space Economymixed
SpaceX valuation hinges on AI business, not launch success
SpaceX's post-IPO slide reflects its AI-centric prospectus; Starship progress is merely a facilitator for orbital data centers, making the stock a proxy for hyperscaler sentiment.
7
Space Economytailwind
Starlink aims to disrupt $600B US telecom market with direct-to-cell and terrestrial integration
SpaceX President Gwynne Shotwell stated intent to acquire customers from AT&T, Verizon, T-Mobile by eliminating dead zones via satellites, but Bloomberg Intelligence expects initial focus on coverage gaps and a price fight rather than immediate market conquest.