TickerTain
TickerTain
NewsroomShortsPortfolioConvergence
NewsroomShortsPortfolioConvergence
$ANTHROPIC·$MA····$INTC····$BLUE-ORIGIN·$SPCX····$CRWV····$CRM····$MSFT····$NVDA····$ORCL····$CURSOR·$AAPL····$OPENAI·$AMZN····$UBER····$GOOGL····$META····$TSLA····$DATABRICKS·$PERPLEXITY·$LYFT····$NBIS····$TSM····$LITE····$ANDURIL·
$ANTHROPIC·$MA····$INTC····$BLUE-ORIGIN·$SPCX····$CRWV····$CRM····$MSFT····$NVDA····$ORCL····$CURSOR·$AAPL····$OPENAI·$AMZN····$UBER····$GOOGL····$META····$TSLA····$DATABRICKS·$PERPLEXITY·$LYFT····$NBIS····$TSM····$LITE····$ANDURIL·
←

eric ries

T3 · host / generalist

Entrepreneur and author of The Lean Startup, which popularized iterative product development and validated learning. He previously co-founded IMVU.

14 calls·10 names·79% bull·last heard 4 months ago·Y Combinator+1
track recordleaderboard →
hit rate
50%
avg alpha
-5.7pp
scored
4

top calls

best measured alpha vs SPY, then highest conviction · one per company
1st+2.5pp vs SPY
$PMPhilip Morris

Philip Morris shows shareholder primacy creates $600B/year in hidden external costs

Philip Morris generates $8B net income but imposes $600B/year in US healthcare costs and lost productivity; the shareholder primacy model treats these externalities as irrelevant, creating a business model where 'the tobacco industry makes $6,000 from every customer when it dies.'

Y Combinator2026-05episode →
2nd+2.3pp vs SPY
$NVONovo Nordisk

Industrial foundation structure saved GLP-1 program, creating $600B value vs $20B merger

Novo Nordisk's non-profit foundation trustees blocked a value-destroying merger that would have canceled the GLP-1 research program; the structure has delivered 6x higher 50-year survival rates (60% vs 10%) and created a company worth more than Denmark's GDP.

Y Combinator2026-05episode →
3rdhigh conviction
$LONG-TERM-STOCK-EXCHANGELong-Term Stock Exchangeposition

LTSE petitions SEC to replace quarterly reporting with semi-annual plus richer disclosure

Academic research from natural experiments shows quarterly reporting destroys ~5% of equity value because managers optimize for the quarterly report rather than long-term value creation; LTSE's SEC petition proposes semi-annual reporting paired with a more fulsome disclosure framework to realign companies with long-term investors.

TBPN2026-05episode →

most discussed · click a bar to filter

  • $ANTHROPIC
  • $COST
  • $KR
  • $TWLO
  • $ZEISS

recurring themes

  • AI Regulation & Policy2
  • Mission-Controlled Governance1
  • GLP-1 & Metabolic Drugs1
  • AI Safety & Alignment1
  • AI Economics & Business Models1
14 total
$ANTHROPIC
Anthropic
HIGHeric ries·Y Combinator·4 months ago·How The Best Companies Defend Against Mediocrity And Rot
PBC + long-term benefit trust gives structural defense for AI safety mission
Anthropic's public benefit corporation structure combined with a perpetual purpose trust (long-term benefit trust) creates mission sovereignty that attracts top talent, enables courageous decisions like turning down a $200M contract, and provided structural strength to withstand cap table chaos including SBF's bankruptcy auction.
"They had this structural strength to stand up for what they believe. And if you notice, when companies stand up and do the right thing, we live in such a polarized time. It's like…"
45:05
$KR
···
Kroger
MEDeric ries·Y Combinator·4 months ago·How The Best Companies Defend Against Mediocrity And Rot
Kroger's 'best practice' governance produced 'Costco in reverse' underperformance
Kroger's embrace of standard corporate governance best practices — independent directors, shareholder primacy — resulted in materially worse long-term performance versus Costco's mission-controlled structure, demonstrating that 'best practice equals Kroger practice.'
"Costco came under attack in the early 2000s for having these non-standard governance practices. In fact, Costco routinely gets the worst possible governance rating from governance…"
20:15
$TWLO
···
Twilio
HIGHeric ries·Y Combinator·4 months ago·How The Best Companies Defend Against Mediocrity And Rot
Expiring super-voting shares enabled founder firing despite revenue growth
Twilio's adoption of standard governance 'best practice' — 7-year sunset on founder super-voting shares — led to Jeff Lawson's firing 199 days after expiration despite revenue being up from IPO; the pattern shows how shareholder primacy governance destroys founder-led value creation.
"Jeff Lawson at Twilio built that company from nothing to $4 billion in, you know, actual revenue, like stock up 390% since IPO. I mean, by all accounts, you know, smash, rip-roari…"
8:20
$ZEISS
Zeiss
MEDeric ries·Y Combinator·4 months ago·How The Best Companies Defend Against Mediocrity And Rot
Zeiss industrial foundation structure since 1885 validates 100+ year mission control model
Zeiss has operated under an industrial foundation structure since 1885, providing century-plus evidence that mission-controlled governance enables extreme longevity; part of a dataset showing such companies are 6x more likely to survive 50 years.
"The the German optics company Zeiss had the structure in 1885. So, it's not even that new. There's enough of these companies that we have a data set to see how they perform. Compa…"
41:15
$VICARIOUS
Vicarious
LOWeric ries·Y Combinator·4 months ago·How The Best Companies Defend Against Mediocrity And Rot
Early AI lab Vicarious adopted PBC structure to prevent paperclip maximizer outcomes
Scott Phoenix founded Vicarious as a PBC from day one to structurally prevent AGI from being captured by shareholder value maximization ('paperclip maximizer'), pioneering the governance model later used by Anthropic.
"The first time I ever heard of a PBC actually was from my friend Scott Phoenix. Uh he started a AI lab called Vicarious and he very explicitly said, 'I'm going to do it as a PBC.…"
45:05
$COST
···
Costco
HIGHeric ries·Y Combinator·4 months ago·How The Best Companies Defend Against Mediocrity And Rot
Costco's 'worst governance' rating masks mission-controlled outperformance vs Kroger
Costco's industrial foundation structure protects its customer-first mission, enabling 50+ year longevity and superior returns despite governance rating agencies giving it the worst possible scores; Kroger's adoption of 'best practice' governance produced 'Costco in reverse' underperformance.
"Costco routinely gets the worst possible governance rating from governance rating people. And Kroger decided to go all in on best practices. So, we have this like natural experime…"
12:00
$NVO
···
Novo Nordisk
HIGHeric ries·Y Combinator·4 months ago·How The Best Companies Defend Against Mediocrity And Rot
Industrial foundation structure saved GLP-1 program, creating $600B value vs $20B merger
Novo Nordisk's non-profit foundation trustees blocked a value-destroying merger that would have canceled the GLP-1 research program; the structure has delivered 6x higher 50-year survival rates (60% vs 10%) and created a company worth more than Denmark's GDP.
"The trustees say no. Merger over. Yeah. People are so pissed at them cuz like this is going to be like a $20 billion merger. It was going to make a lot of money for a lot of peopl…"
35:00
$PM
···
Philip Morris
HIGHeric ries·Y Combinator·4 months ago·How The Best Companies Defend Against Mediocrity And Rot
Philip Morris shows shareholder primacy creates $600B/year in hidden external costs
Philip Morris generates $8B net income but imposes $600B/year in US healthcare costs and lost productivity; the shareholder primacy model treats these externalities as irrelevant, creating a business model where 'the tobacco industry makes $6,000 from every customer when it dies.'
"$600 billion, yeah. $300 billion in direct health care costs. Yeah, so when people say that Philip Morris is profitable, in order to call it profitable, you have to take this incr…"
14:15
$MNDR
Mandreon
MEDeric ries·TBPN·4 months ago·Ferrari EV, Enhanced Games, Pope's Encyclical, Alcohol & Podcasting
Mandreon: 90K-employee worker cooperative conglomerate proves alternative governance scales
Network of 80-90 independent worker co-ops self-governs via congress; any co-op can exit. Employing 90K in Europe with diversified industrial/grocery ops, it violates every 'best practice' yet thrives — evidence that mission-locked constellations can scale.
"Mandreon is this gigantic company that employs 90,000 people in Europe, one of Spain's largest companies, makes elevators and and they have a a grocery store chain... It is a netw…"
116:00
$ANTHROPIC
Anthropic
MEDeric ries·TBPN·4 months ago·Ferrari EV, Enhanced Games, Pope's Encyclical, Alcohol & Podcasting
Anthropic's Long-Term Benefit Trust governance structure is 5x more likely to survive 50 years
PBC plus external mission guardian trust (not founder-controlled) aligns incentives for long-term value; data shows such structures dramatically outperform on longevity and value creation. Eric Ries advised on this design.
"They created something called the long-term benefit trust which is like a multibranch government right? So you have the the the for-profit PPC and then you have the board of direc…"
114:00
9
Mission-Controlled Governancetailwind
Mission-controlled companies with industrial foundation structures outperform on longevity and value
Companies using two-tier industrial foundation structures (non-profit trustees controlling for-profit) — like Costco, Novo Nordisk, Zeiss — are 6x more likely to survive 50 years (60% vs 10%) and create superior long-term value by protecting mission from shareholder primacy pressure; 'best practice' governance (independent directors, sunsetting super-voting shares) systematically destroys founder-led value.
9
AI Regulation & Policytailwind
PBCs, mission trusts, and employee ownership outperform shareholder primacy on longevity and value
Eric Ries presents meta-study of 55K companies showing employee ownership has dose-response relationship with commercial success (10%<50%<100%). Anthropic's Long-Term Benefit Trust and Costco's customer fiduciary duty demonstrate structural resistance to financial engineering. Pope's encyclical reinforces human dignity as governance principle.
8
GLP-1 & Metabolic Drugstailwind
Novo Nordisk's foundation governance preserved GLP-1 research through 13-year 'valley of death'
Non-profit trustees blocked a merger that would have canceled Novo Nordisk's GLP-1 program in year 11 of 13 despite zero efficacy evidence; the resulting drugs created a company briefly worth more than Denmark's GDP, demonstrating how mission-controlled governance enables breakthrough R&D that shareholder-primacy boards would terminate.
8
AI Safety & Alignmenttailwind
PBC + perpetual purpose trust structure enables AI labs to resist commercial pressure
Anthropic's governance structure — public benefit corporation with long-term benefit trust — creates structural sovereignty for AI safety mission, enabling talent attraction, courageous commercial decisions (turning down $200M contract), and defense against cap table instability; early commercial success (Claude #1) suggests mission alignment drives performance.
7
AI Regulation & Policytailwind
Leading AI companies reject standard governance as too dangerous for transformative tech
Every major AI company (OpenAI, Anthropic, Cohere, Palantir, Google, Meta) uses non-standard governance structure because they view AI as too dangerous for standard shareholder-primacy models; this creates a precedent where mission guardians and benefit trusts become the norm for high-stakes technology, potentially reshaping governance expectations across sectors.
7
AI Economics & Business Modelstailwind
AI founders increasingly choosing PBC structure to avoid paperclip maximizer outcomes
A growing cohort of AI companies (Vicarious, Anthropic) are incorporating as public benefit corporations from day one to structurally prevent AGI from being captured by pure profit maximization; Eric Ries calls PBC 'an absolute must do' and 'utter no-brainer' for AI startups, requiring only a two-page Delaware filing.
7
Venture Capitalheadwind
10-year VC fund cycles misaligned with 20-year company building timelines
Standard 10-year LP fund structures force premature exits and governance decisions that destroy long-term value; companies like Stripe stay private to avoid this pressure, while founders need governance structures (industrial foundations, perpetual trusts) that outlive fund cycles and protect mission across decades.
7
AI Talent & Labor Markettailwind
AI disruption forces labor-capital alliance; employee ownership data shows commercial advantage
Samsung workers struck for AI profit sharing. Ries argues AI makes collective action problems solvable: companies that treat labor as ally (not cost) gain competitive advantage. Meta-study of 55K firms shows employee ownership dose-response on revenue growth. Mission-locked structures align incentives for long-term human-AI collaboration.