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emil michael

T2 · manager / operator

Emil Michael served as White House Fellow under Secretary Gates (2009), led global business growth at Uber during its hypergrowth phase, and now serves as Under Secretary of War for Research and Engineering (CTO of Department of Defense), overseeing critical technology areas, DARPA, DIU, and Office of Strategic Capital.

14 calls·10 names·79% bull·last heard 2 months ago·Joe Lonsdale+1
track recordleaderboard →
hit rate
0%
avg alpha
-12.4pp
scored
2

top calls

highest conviction · one per company
1sthigh conviction
$UBERUberposition

Emil Michael remains bullish Uber shareholder citing durable business model

Michael holds Uber stock because the business model fundamentally works — solving transportation needs profitably with positive externalities like reduced drunk driving and improved urban mobility.

Kleiner Perkins2026-03episode →
2ndhigh conviction
$OFFICE-OF-STRATEGIC-CAPITALOffice of Strategic Capitalposition

DoD's Office of Strategic Capital deploys hundreds of billions in low-cost loans for critical minerals

The Office of Strategic Capital uses low-cost loans to crowd in private venture capital for domestic critical minerals and battery production, addressing supply chain vulnerabilities through an investment philosophy focused on national security needs.

Kleiner Perkins2026-03episode →
3rdhigh conviction
$SPCXSpaceX

SpaceX had to sue Pentagon for first contract, proving prime contractor lockout

SpaceX, Palantir, and Anduril all had to sue the government for their first major contracts because prime contractors were sophisticated at blocking competition — a dynamic the Pentagon is now structurally reforming.

Joe Lonsdale2026-07episode →

most discussed · click a bar to filter

  • $SPCX
  • $GOOGL
  • $ANDURIL
  • $AFWERX
  • $UBER

recurring themes

  • Defense Tech5
  • Critical Minerals & Supply Chain4
  • Robotics & Physical AI3
  • Space Economy3
  • Advanced Manufacturing3
14 total
$SPCX
···
SpaceX
HIGHemil michael·Joe Lonsdale·2 months ago·America’s $700 Billion Defense Tech Rebuild
SpaceX had to sue Pentagon for first contract, proving prime contractor lockout
SpaceX, Palantir, and Anduril all had to sue the government for their first major contracts because prime contractors were sophisticated at blocking competition — a dynamic the Pentagon is now structurally reforming.
"I use Palantir and Roll and SpaceX. All had to sue the government for their first big contract cuz the primes were sophisticated at selling, sophisticated protecting their interes…"
20:10
$GOOGL
···
Google
MEDemil michael·Joe Lonsdale·2 months ago·America’s $700 Billion Defense Tech Rebuild
Google providing baseline AI access to Pentagon for corporate and intelligence use cases
The Pentagon's applied AI strategy starts with Google providing basic AI access to all personnel for familiarity, then extends to intelligence analysis and warfighting applications.
"the Google one was was just getting everyone the basic uh access to AI so they could get familiar using it and understanding it. Then we're going to do it then I would say that's…"
11:33
$SPCX
···
SpaceX
MEDemil michael·Joe Lonsdale·2 months ago·America’s $700 Billion Defense Tech Rebuild
SpaceX cited as model for commercial-first defense procurement
SpaceX, along with Palantir and Anduril, had to sue the government for its first major contract, proving the old prime-dominated system is broken and validating the new commercial-first mandate.
"I use Palantir and Roll and SpaceX. All had to sue the government for their first big contract cuz the primes were sophisticated at selling, sophisticated protecting their interes…"
20:10
$AFWERX
AFWERX
MEDemil michael·Kleiner Perkins·6 months ago·AI Policy Clash: Anthropic and the U.S. Government | DoW Emil Michael· position
AFWERX provides billion-dollar scaling fund for defense production lines
AFWERX complements DIU by funding new production lines to scale proven prototypes, addressing the manufacturing valley of death for defense tech startups.
"And then we have something called AFWERX, which is another billion dollars, which is, okay, you have a product you want to use, now I want you to build a new production line cuz I…"
31:01
$UBER
···
Uber
HIGHemil michael·Kleiner Perkins·6 months ago·AI Policy Clash: Anthropic and the U.S. Government | DoW Emil Michael· position
Emil Michael remains bullish Uber shareholder citing durable business model
Michael holds Uber stock because the business model fundamentally works — solving transportation needs profitably with positive externalities like reduced drunk driving and improved urban mobility.
"Yeah, I'm I'm still a shareholder. I mean, the the thing about I still love Uber as a product, as a business. You're not salty about Uber. It's the It was the investor base. No, I…"
6:15
$OFFICE-OF-STRATEGIC-CAPITAL
Office of Strategic Capital
HIGHemil michael·Kleiner Perkins·6 months ago·AI Policy Clash: Anthropic and the U.S. Government | DoW Emil Michael· position
DoD's Office of Strategic Capital deploys hundreds of billions in low-cost loans for critical minerals
The Office of Strategic Capital uses low-cost loans to crowd in private venture capital for domestic critical minerals and battery production, addressing supply chain vulnerabilities through an investment philosophy focused on national security needs.
"we have the Office of Strategic Capital here which is where we have you know, a bunch of money to go put in critical minerals companies to encourage them to do things in the US an…"
11:51
$ANDURIL
Anduril
MEDemil michael·Kleiner Perkins·6 months ago·AI Policy Clash: Anthropic and the U.S. Government | DoW Emil Michael
Anduril cited as rare defense tech startup breaking prime contractor dominance
Anduril is one of the few new defense entrants successfully penetrating the procurement system, demonstrating that clean-sheet designs can compete with legacy primes.
"Like it's really hard. And you know, like still to this day, I imagine minus maybe Anduril and a few others, like the incumbents, the primes, are probably winning most of the cont…"
29:51
$ANTHROPIC
Anthropic
HIGHemil michael·Kleiner Perkins·6 months ago·AI Policy Clash: Anthropic and the U.S. Government | DoW Emil Michael
Government clashes with Anthropic over policy restrictions beyond law
The Department of Defense wants unrestricted lawful use of Anthropic's models for national security, but Anthropic imposes its own policy preferences (rooted in effective altruism) that hinder US competitiveness versus Chinese adversaries who face no such constraints.
"I think you're pretty far off in that I'll give you I'll give you an example. It's like if you buy the Microsoft Office Suite, they don't tell you what you could write in a Word d…"
13:25
$DEFENSE-INNOVATION-UNIT
Defense Innovation Unit
MEDemil michael·Kleiner Perkins·6 months ago·AI Policy Clash: Anthropic and the U.S. Government | DoW Emil Michael· position
DIU operates multi-billion dollar rapid contracting vehicle from Mountain View
The Defense Innovation Unit, based in Mountain View with a couple billion dollars, bridges commercial prototypes to military adoption through rapid contracting, acting as a front door for Silicon Valley defense tech.
"I've got the Defense Innovation Unit, for example. It's a relatively new unit. It's based in Mountain View, California. It has a couple billion dollars, and it's it spends it in r…"
30:36
$SPCX
···
SpaceX
MEDemil michael·Joe Lonsdale·9 months ago·Pentagon Chief: 6 Weapons That Will Prevent WW3
SpaceX cited as model for commercial-first defense procurement
SpaceX, along with Palantir and Anduril, had to sue the government for its first major contract; now referenced as proof that commercial-first procurement must change to avoid years of litigation for innovative defense companies.
"I use Palantir, Anduril, and SpaceX all had to sue the government for their first big contract because the primes were sophisticated at selling, sophisticated at protecting their…"
18:46
9
Defense Techtailwind
Pentagon narrows critical tech focus to six areas with $200B funding
Emil Michael reduced 14+ critical technology areas to six focused priorities (Applied AI, Biomanufacturing, Quantum & Battlefield Info Dominance, Scaled Hypersonics, Scaled Directed Energy, Contested Logistics) backed by $200B Office of Strategic Capital ($100B defense industrial base, $100B critical minerals) to accelerate procurement and reduce China dependencies.
9
Defense Techtailwind
Pentagon narrows to six critical technologies and $200B Office of Strategic Capital to rebuild industrial base
The Under Secretary of Defense for Research & Engineering consolidated 14 critical technology areas down to six (applied AI, contested logistics, biomanufacturing, quantum/battlefield info dominance, scaled hypersonics, scaled directed energy) and launched a $200B Office of Strategic Capital — $100B for defense industrial base components (solid rocket motors, brushless motors, batteries) and $100B for critical minerals — using government loans at Treasury+100bps to crowd in private capital and eliminate adversary dependencies.
9
Defense Techtailwind
Pentagon narrows critical technologies to six focus areas for 2025-2026
The DoD reduced 14 critical technology areas to six (Applied AI, Contested Logistics, Biomanufacturing, Quantum & Battlefield Info Dominance, Scaled Hypersonics, Scaled Directed Energy) to align R&D spending with the Pacific threat environment and enable daily mission focus.
9
AI Regulation & Policyheadwind
Government asserts sovereign authority over AI use cases vs. corporate policy guardrails
The DoD argues that democratically elected government — not AI companies — should set boundaries for lawful AI use in national security; corporate policy layers (rooted in effective altruism) create asymmetric disadvantage versus Chinese adversaries who face no such constraints.
9
Defense Techtailwind
Office of Strategic Capital deploys $200B to rebuild defense industrial base and critical minerals supply chains
The Pentagon's new Office of Strategic Capital provides $100B for defense industrial base components (solid rocket motors, batteries, brushless motors) and $100B for domestic/allied critical minerals, crowding in private capital and reducing adversary dependency.
8
AI Geopolitics & Export Controlstailwind
Great power rivalry with China driving urgent Pentagon modernization
China's clean-sheet military investment during US counterterrorism focus created capability gaps; Pentagon now racing to catch up in AI, hypersonics, quantum sensing, and space with commercial-first approach to deter conflict through strength.
8
AI Infrastructuretailwind
DoD deploying frontier AI models across classification levels at scale
Pentagon is moving beyond basic AI access to deploying frontier models (Google Gemini) across classification levels, combining intelligence data for warfighter use cases — representing massive government AI infrastructure demand.
8
Defense Techtailwind
New defense entrants with clean-sheet designs gaining traction via DIU/AFWERX/Strategic Capital pathways
A wave of El Segundo-based defense startups building cheaper, more manufacturable systems from first principles are being accelerated through three dedicated government funding vehicles (DIU for prototypes, AFWERX for production, Strategic Capital for supply chain), creating a structural tailwind for non-prime contractors.