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david sacks

T2 · manager / operator

Co-founder of Craft Ventures and a co-host of the All-In podcast. Part of the PayPal mafia and founder of Yammer; active on AI and tech policy.

81 calls·31 names·53% bull·last heard 11 days ago·All-In Podcast
track recordleaderboard →
hit rate
100%
avg alpha
+7.8pp
scored
1

top calls

best measured alpha vs SPY, then highest conviction · one per company
1st+7.8pp vs SPY
$GOOGLAlphabet

Google uniquely positioned for agentic AI with data access and FCF

Google has outstanding position for open claw/agentic AI because it already has trusted access to calendar, documents, email; only company with enough free cash flow to run enterprise (GCP) and consumer chatbot as two separate segregated businesses.

All-In Podcast2026-03episode →
2ndhigh conviction
$SPCXSpaceXposition

Sacks: Elon is not selling SpaceX because it is his life's work

David Sacks argues the IPO did not change Elon's cash position and predicts he will hold far beyond the lockup because SpaceX is his life's work. The thesis is founder alignment and long-duration ownership.

All-In Podcast2026-06episode →
3rdhigh conviction
$ANTHROPICAnthropic

Anthropic quiet period violated by safety lead's viral endorsement of extinction claims

Evan Hubinger's co-sign of the resignation tweet with a specific >10% extinction probability constitutes a material disclosure during the IPO quiet period that the SEC will force into the S-1, demanding a massive risk discount from public investors.

All-In Podcast2026-09episode →

most discussed · click a bar to filter

  • $ANTHROPIC
  • $OPENAI
  • $SPCX
  • $NVDA
  • $CRM

recurring themes

  • AI Regulation & Policy18
  • AI Geopolitics & Export Controls9
  • AI Safety & Alignment6
  • Cybersecurity6
  • Open Source AI5
81 total
$ANTHROPIC
Anthropic
HIGHdavid sacks·All-In Podcast·13 days ago·AI Kills Everybody or Doomer Psyop? OpenAI’s Math Breakthrough, Nike’s $200B Collapse
Anthropic quiet period violated by safety lead's viral endorsement of extinction claims
Evan Hubinger's co-sign of the resignation tweet with a specific >10% extinction probability constitutes a material disclosure during the IPO quiet period that the SEC will force into the S-1, demanding a massive risk discount from public investors.
"The key tweet actually from a legal standpoint wasn't Jacob Coxin's tweet of resignation. It was Evan Hubinger's tweet... because this guy is still a senior executive or senior al…"
50:30
$CURSOR
Cursor
MEDdavid sacks·All-In Podcast·13 days ago·AI Kills Everybody or Doomer Psyop? OpenAI’s Math Breakthrough, Nike’s $200B Collapse
Sacks: Anthropic rugpulled major customer Cursor by launching competing Claude Code product
Anthropic released Claude Code and Claude Design, directly competing with Cursor, one of their largest customers, who felt 'rugpulled', exemplifying the conflict of interest in frontier model platforms.
"They released Claude code. They released Claude design. And that really pissed off Kurser who was one of the biggest customers that Anthropic had to date. And they felt they got r…"
77:54
$NBIS
···
Nebius
MEDdavid sacks·All-In Podcast·11 days ago·Jensen Huang: The Doomer Hoax, Superintelligence is Here, and The Future of AI (ft. President Trump)
Host: Nebius (NBS) highlighted as exemplary Neocloud partner for Nvidia
Nebius is cited as a standout Neocloud that Nvidia has partnered with, validating the Neocloud model as a scalable distribution channel for Nvidia GPUs.
"I think you introduced me to NBS. Superb, great, everything. They're amazing."
38:25
$Z-AI
Z.ai
LOWdavid sacks·All-In Podcast·11 days ago·Jensen Huang: The Doomer Hoax, Superintelligence is Here, and The Future of AI (ft. President Trump)
Host: Chinese lab Z.ai (GLM) raising $5B for recursive self-improvement AI runs
Chinese AI lab Z.ai has raised significant capital to pursue recursive self-improvement (RSI) techniques, signaling China's aggressive push in automated AI research.
"there is a Chinese lab, the makers of GLM, who are going to put three billion towards a recursive self-improvement run... zpoo.com the founder just raised 5 billion and said that…"
13:38
$ZHIPU
Zhipu AI
MEDdavid sacks·All-In Podcast·11 days ago·Jensen Huang: The Doomer Hoax, Superintelligence is Here, and The Future of AI (ft. President Trump)
David Sacks reveals Zhipu AI raised $5B for recursive self-improvement AI
Chinese AI lab Zhipu AI (makers of GLM) raised $5 billion to pursue recursive self-improvement where AI trains the next AI, signaling aggressive investment in autonomous AI development.
"there is a Chinese lab, the makers of GLM, who are going to put three billion towards a recursive self-improvement run. zpoo.com the founder just raised 5 billion and said that on…"
13:37
$NBS
NBS
MEDdavid sacks·All-In Podcast·11 days ago·Jensen Huang: The Doomer Hoax, Superintelligence is Here, and The Future of AI (ft. President Trump)
Host praises Neocloud NBS as superb but says industry needs hundreds more
Neocloud provider NBS is executing exceptionally, but the ecosystem requires massive scale-up to 50-1000 providers to meet volatile compute demand that hyperscalers cannot match in agility.
"I think you introduced me to NBS. Superb, great, everything. They're amazing. But we need like 50 of these guys. We need a hundred of them. We need a thousand of them."
38:04
$ANTHROPIC
Anthropic
HIGHdavid sacks·All-In Podcast·13 days ago·AI Kills Everybody or Doomer Psyop? OpenAI’s Math Breakthrough, Nike’s $200B Collapse
Anthropic IPO imperiled by orchestrated doomer campaign and internal safety team endorsement
Anthropic faces a fundamental contradiction: its safety lead endorsed a resignation tweet claiming >10% extinction risk, creating massive product liability exposure that cannot be disclosed in an S-1 without destroying valuation, yet disavowing it would trigger employee revolt because the doomer narrative is core to Anthropic's regulatory capture strategy.
"On the one hand, you're asking public market investors to underwrite your company to a value in the trillions. On the other hand, your own safety lead... is saying that your core…"
10:28
$HUGGING-FACE
Hugging Face
MEDdavid sacks·All-In Podcast·11 days ago·Jensen Huang: The Doomer Hoax, Superintelligence is Here, and The Future of AI (ft. President Trump)
David Sacks calls Nvidia's Hugging Face acquihire 'one of the most consequential acquisitions' in open-source AI
Nvidia is acquiring or acquihiring Hugging Face to strengthen its open-source model serving and development platform, positioning itself as the central hub for open-weight AI deployment.
"hugging face we we were communicating about this and I said it's going to be one of the most consequential acquisitions. I don't even want to call it a transaction because I think…"
16:07
$NKE
···
Nike
HIGHdavid sacks·All-In Podcast·13 days ago·AI Kills Everybody or Doomer Psyop? OpenAI’s Math Breakthrough, Nike’s $200B Collapse
Sacks: Nike destroyed $200B via woke marketing, DTC blunder, product decay
Nike abandoned its north star of mastery and excellence for woke political messaging, blew up retail partnerships with a flawed DTC strategy, and let product quality deteriorate, causing an 80% stock collapse and ejection from the S&P 100.
"I mean, this is the millionth example of go woke, go broke. You know, Nike was a brand that stood for great athletes, for amazing performance, for victory... Then you have the oth…"
81:48
$OPENAI
OpenAI
MEDdavid sacks·All-In Podcast·13 days ago·AI Kills Everybody or Doomer Psyop? OpenAI’s Math Breakthrough, Nike’s $200B Collapse
Sacks: Frontier models compete with customers; need stronger AI data privacy laws
Closed frontier labs (OpenAI, Anthropic) reserve the right to enter every vertical application, creating inherent conflict with API customers; current data privacy standards for AI chats are weaker than email, enabling IP leakage via 'deidentified' training data that captures proprietary problem-solving approaches.
"As long as we have a closed model duopoly of Frontier AI and they're reserving the right to get into every vertical application there is, they're declaring in advance they're goin…"
77:27
10
Space Economytailwind
Starlink subscription cash flow funds SpaceX's multi-trillion optionality
Starlink at 24M subs generates ~$40B revenue/$30B FCF; at 30x multiple implies $1T valuation within 18 months, fully funding Starship, AI data centers, and semiconductor fab as free options; direct-to-cell and Tesla integration could 10x addressable market.
9
AI Regulation & Policyheadwind
Sachs warns Anthropic's push for FDA-style AI regulation will cede leadership to China
Dario Amodei is advocating for a FINRA/FAA-style regulatory body that would conduct pre-release model testing and report to government, creating a 'DMV for AI' that slows US innovation; China's faster regulatory approval cycles (space, biotech) will let them win the AI race.
9
AI Regulation & Policyheadwind
Dario Amodei pushes FDA/FAA-style pre-approval regime; hosts warn of regulatory capture slowing US vs China
Anthropic's Dario Amodei advocates a FINRA/FAA-style regulatory body with pre-release model testing and government reporting, which Sachs and Chamath argue is regulatory capture that will create a 'DMV for AI' slowing US development while China moves faster with lighter oversight.
9
AI Regulation & Policyrisk
Doomer narrative exposed as coordinated regulatory capture campaign targeting open source
A tight-knit EA-funded network (Encode AI, AI Policy Network, AI Futures Project) orchestrated a viral resignation tweet storm — amplified within minutes by pre-aligned groups, briefed to WSJ under embargo, endorsed by Anthropic's own safety lead — to manufacture consent for a federal AI regulator (FDAI) that would ban open-source models by imposing unmeetable rollback/monitoring standards, creating a closed-model duopoly moat for Anthropic/OpenAI while granting politicians centralized control over AI speech.
9
AI Regulation & Policyheadwind
Doomer narrative exposed as coordinated regulatory capture campaign targeting open source
A network of EA-funded groups (Encode AI, AI Policy Network, AI Futures Project) orchestrated a viral resignation campaign to manufacture consent for a federal AI regulator (FDAI) that would effectively ban open source by imposing centralized monitoring standards impossible for open weights to meet, benefiting closed-model incumbents and politicians seeking control.
9
AI Regulation & Policymixed
FINRA-style SRO proposed as least-bad AI regulation; Anthropic pushes capture via state patchwork
Demis Hassabis proposes industry-led SRO with federal oversight to avoid government 'DMV for AI'; David Sacks endorses with 5 conditions (broad representation, frontier-only, catastrophic risk only, voluntary first, substitute not additive). Meanwhile Anthropic funds NGOs to drive state-by-state escalating regulations and push FAA-style licensing to entrench incumbents.
9
AI Safety & Alignmentrisk
Doomer narrative exposed as orchestrated psyop for regulatory capture of AI
The Jacob Coxin resignation tweet storm was amplified within minutes by three EA-funded groups (Encode AI, AI Policy Network, AI Futures Project) backed by Anthropic Series A investors Yan Talon and Dustin Moskovitz, suggesting a coordinated campaign to manufacture consent for a federal AI regulator (FDAI) that would ban open source and cement a closed-model duopoly.
9
Sovereign AItailwind
Enterprises must own models and data to avoid IP leakage to frontier labs competing vertically
Frontier labs (Anthropic, OpenAI) are vertically integrating into application layers, using customer data to build competing products. Enterprises must deploy open-source models on controlled hardware to retain sovereignty over their proprietary knowledge and avoid mortgaging their future.