Founder and chief investment officer of Bornite Capital, a hedge fund focused on commodities, industrials and natural resources. Previously an investor at 3G Capital and Goldman Sachs.
no scored calls yet — needs a stated position or a categorical verdict, with a matured window vs SPY
Silver runs a structural ~200M oz annual deficit (consume 1.2B oz, supply 1.0B) with only ~600M oz of above-ground inventory left, implying a stockout within roughly three years; photovoltaic and space-based solar demand intensifies the squeeze.
A demand shock (AI data centers, electrification, EVs, defense) collides with a supply shock (depleting century-old mines, 7-12 year build times, almost no new tier-one mines); meeting GDP-only growth requires as much copper in 18 years as mined in 10,000, so the price should easily double.