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carmen

T2 · manager / operator

Analyst covering SpaceX and private market liquidity events.

5 calls·2 names·20% bull·last heard last month·Bloomberg Tech
track record

no scored calls yet — needs a stated position or a categorical verdict, with a matured window vs SPY

top calls

highest conviction · one per company
1stmedium conviction
$NVDANvidia

Nvidia's last four of five earnings reports fell despite strong results; sentiment fragile

Nvidia remains the largest S&P 500 stock but earnings have not been a positive catalyst recently — four of last five quarterly reports saw shares fall post-results despite strong numbers, making sentiment and forward guidance the key drivers.

Bloomberg Tech2026-08episode →
2ndmedium conviction
$SPCXSpaceX

SpaceX shares surge 35% post-lockup as insider selling fears prove overblown

SpaceX defied lockup expiry fears with 35% rally adding $500B market cap, though further lockups (including Elon Musk's shares next summer) will test volatility.

Bloomberg Tech2026-08episode →

most discussed · click a bar to filter

  • $NVDA
  • $SPCX
5 total
$SPCX
···
SpaceX
MEDcarmen·Bloomberg Tech·last month·Anthropic in Talks for $6 Billion AI Infrastructure Bet | Bloomberg Tech 8/13/2026
SpaceX shares surge 35% post-lockup as insider selling fears prove overblown
SpaceX defied lockup expiry fears with 35% rally adding $500B market cap, though further lockups (including Elon Musk's shares next summer) will test volatility.
"SpaceX shares surged 35% post lockup expiry through yesterday's close, adding roughly 500 billion dollars market value and defying fears that insider selling would pressure the st…"
20:50
$NVDA
···
Nvidia
MEDcarmen·Bloomberg Tech·last month·The Rising Price of the AI Race | Bloomberg Tech 8/24/2026
Nvidia's last four of five earnings reports fell despite strong results; sentiment fragile
Nvidia remains the largest S&P 500 stock but earnings have not been a positive catalyst recently — four of last five quarterly reports saw shares fall post-results despite strong numbers, making sentiment and forward guidance the key drivers.
"THE THING THAT IS INTERESTING HERE IS EARNINGS HAVE NOT BEEN A POSITIVE CATALYST FOR NVIDIA STOCK FOR SOME TIME SO I THINK IT IS THE LAST FOUR OUT OF FIVE EARNINGS REPORTS THIS YE…"
2:34
$NVDA
···
Nvidia
MEDcarmen·Bloomberg Tech·last month·The Rising Price of the AI Race | Bloomberg Tech 8/24/2026
Nvidia's weight moves entire market; last 4 of 5 earnings reports saw stock fall despite strong results
Nvidia remains the largest S&P 500 stock and its moves drive the index; sentiment around earnings has turned negative with the stock falling after 4 of the last 5 reports despite strong numbers, making forward guidance and demand commentary the key catalyst.
"NVIDIA STILL THE LARGEST STOCK IN THE S&P 500 AND THE NASDAQ. MCMAHON'S MAJOR AMOUNT OF WEIGHT AND HOW IT MOVES CAN MOVE THE ENTIRE MARKET. THE THING THAT IS INTERESTING HERE IS E…"
2:34
$NVDA
···
Nvidia
MEDcarmen·Bloomberg Tech·last month·The Rising Price of the AI Race | Bloomberg Tech 8/24/2026
Bloomberg analyst: Nvidia earnings no longer a positive catalyst, sentiment fragile
Nvidia's last four of five earnings reports saw the stock fall despite strong results. Investors are focused on forward demand signals and the next AI wave rather than current numbers. Memory stocks are the biggest laggards, signaling broader infrastructure concern.
"THE THING THAT IS INTERESTING HERE IS EARNINGS HAVE NOT BEEN A POSITIVE CATALYST FOR NVIDIA STOCK FOR SOME TIME SO I THINK IT IS THE LAST FOUR OUT OF FIVE EARNINGS REPORTS THIS YE…"
2:42
$SPCX
···
SpaceX
MEDcarmen·Bloomberg Tech·last month·Anthropic in Talks for $6 Billion AI Infrastructure Bet | Bloomberg Tech 8/13/2026
SpaceX shares surge 35% post lockup expiry, but Elon Musk's shares loom next summer
SpaceX's first major lockup expiration saw minimal selling pressure and a 35% rally, but larger unlocks including Elon Musk's shares next year could create volatility.
"SPACEX SHARES SEARCHED 35% POST LOCKUP EXPIRY THROUGH YESTERDAY'S CLOSE, ADDING ROUGHLY 500 BILLION DOLLARS MARKET VALUE... THE FIRST YEAR OF POST IPO IS SO VOLATILE... NEXT SUMME…"
19:53
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