bill gurley

T1 · high-signal investor

General partner at Benchmark and one of Silicon Valley's best-known venture investors. His investments have included Uber, Zillow and Stitch Fix.

5 calls·5 names·40% bull·last heard 2 months ago·All-In Podcast+1
track record

no scored calls yet — needs a stated position or a categorical verdict, with a matured window vs SPY

top calls

highest conviction · one per company
1sthigh conviction
$ANTHROPICAnthropic

Gurley: Anthropic midwifing a deity, not writing software

Bill Gurley argues Anthropic's leadership believes they are creating a superior species/deity (Dr. Frankenstein theory), evidenced by their Constitutional AI framework and Dario Amodei's 'Machines of Loving Grace' vision of AI systems allocating resources to humans via computational reward functions. He also sees aggressive state-level lobbying as regulatory capture to moat their position.

2ndmedium conviction
$CURSORCursor

Gurley: Cursor building own model, forced to reckon with frontier labs moving up stack

Bill Gurley notes application-layer companies like Cursor are being forced to develop proprietary models as frontier labs (Anthropic, OpenAI) move up the stack into applications, creating competitive tension.

3rdmedium conviction
$CRWVCoreWeave

Nvidia backstop obscures CoreWeave's true demand signal

Nvidia's promise to buy CoreWeave's unsold capacity supports financing but makes it harder for investors to distinguish organic demand from vendor-backed utilization.

BG2 Pod2025-10

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5 total
$CURSOR
Cursor
MEDbill gurley·All-In Podcast·2 months ago
Gurley: Cursor building own model, forced to reckon with frontier labs moving up stack
Bill Gurley notes application-layer companies like Cursor are being forced to develop proprietary models as frontier labs (Anthropic, OpenAI) move up the stack into applications, creating competitive tension.
"we already you know watched what cursor is doing and playing with their own model and being forced to kind of reckon with the fact that they're coming up the stack fast."
44:00
$ANTHROPIC
Anthropic
HIGHbill gurley·All-In Podcast·2 months ago
Gurley: Anthropic midwifing a deity, not writing software
Bill Gurley argues Anthropic's leadership believes they are creating a superior species/deity (Dr. Frankenstein theory), evidenced by their Constitutional AI framework and Dario Amodei's 'Machines of Loving Grace' vision of AI systems allocating resources to humans via computational reward functions. He also sees aggressive state-level lobbying as regulatory capture to moat their position.
"I call it the Dr. Frankenstein theory... the more I dig, I've met people who I who I dare say think it's their responsibility and they're excited about building a species that's t…"
28:10
$BABA
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Alibaba
MEDbill gurley·BG2 Pod·last year
Alibaba commoditizes AI models to neutralize platform threats
Backing multiple open-source model efforts lets Alibaba commoditize a potential competitive threat, protecting the value of its cloud and application distribution rather than relying on proprietary model rents.
"if you're not confident you're going to win on offense, you want to play defense. And so for any large tech company, commoditizing a potential threat is actually quite valuable...…"
17:39
$CRWV
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CoreWeave
MEDbill gurley·BG2 Pod·10 months ago
Nvidia backstop obscures CoreWeave's true demand signal
Nvidia's promise to buy CoreWeave's unsold capacity supports financing but makes it harder for investors to distinguish organic demand from vendor-backed utilization.
"Nvidia has promised to buy any of CoreWeave's service availability that they can't sell to anyone else. That is very unusual... as a investor, we don't know what's going on with r…"
16:58
$BYDDY
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BYD
MEDbill gurley·BG2 Pod·last year
BYD combines global EV scale with unmatched cost aggression
BYD's four-million-vehicle scale and battery heritage let it compete aggressively at the low end without preventing expansion into differentiated, high-end vehicles.
"BYD is the largest EV manufacturer in the world at about 4 million vehicles... they have cars at 10 to 15 grand price point on the entry side... they're very aggressive from a cos…"
14:10