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ben bajarin

T3 · host / generalist

Longtime Apple analyst who has attended Apple events since 2001; leads research on consumer technology markets and supply chains.

1 call·1 name·0% bull·last heard 15 days ago·The Information
track record

no scored calls yet — needs a stated position or a categorical verdict, with a matured window vs SPY

top calls

highest conviction · one per company
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$AAPLApple

Bajarin: Foldable iPhone will double niche market but stay supply-constrained

Apple's entry will double the foldable smartphone market from a tiny base, but foldables will remain a small percentage of iPhone sales; complex hinge and dual-layer glass manufacturing will limit first-year production to 15-20M units and keep the product supply-constrained.

The Information2026-09episode →

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  • Advanced Manufacturing1
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Apple
MEDben bajarin·The Information·15 days ago·Apple's Foldable iPhone is Here and it's $1,999
Bajarin: Foldable iPhone will double niche market but stay supply-constrained
Apple's entry will double the foldable smartphone market from a tiny base, but foldables will remain a small percentage of iPhone sales; complex hinge and dual-layer glass manufacturing will limit first-year production to 15-20M units and keep the product supply-constrained.
"I think Apple immediately comes in and helps double the size of the foldable market, but again we're not talking we're still talking a small percentage of the overall iPhone sales…"
7:03
6
Advanced Manufacturingmixed
Foldable iPhone hinge and glass process caps first-year output at 15-20M
The novel manufacturing process for the foldable hinge and dual-layer glass creates a hard supply ceiling; Apple will likely remain supply-constrained on foldables for the foreseeable future, limiting near-term revenue contribution despite strong early-adopter demand.