no scored calls yet — needs a stated position or a categorical verdict, with a matured window vs SPY
Hunter Douglas owns the customer relationship with no concentrated suppliers or buyers, has $70B TAM, #1 market position, custom made-to-measure products with billions of permutations, 100-year history, and benefits from climate-driven energy efficiency demand.
The Heinz portion returned 3x but Kraft's commoditized portfolio was overly exposed to private label share gains from powerful retailers (Walmart, Costco, Amazon); historical financials didn't reveal this disintermediation risk, teaching 3G to avoid customer concentration and better assess disruption.