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▶ 1:25 · $GOOGL · Max: Google should be embarrassed as Chinese startup Moonshot reaches frontier parity
episode briefing
SemiAnalysis

[Emergency Episode] Moonshot’s Kimi K3 has Arrived! China has a Frontier Model

2026-07-18 · 9 company · 11 thematic
sentiment
6 bull3 bear0 neu
speakers
max

Max founded Legora, a legal AI company that raised $600M in two weeks and pioneered consumption-based pricing to align token costs with customer value.

jordan

Co-host who shares Apple design reactions and WWDC observations from team members.

quote
“Google in particular I think should feel incredibly embarrassed right now. uh that at one point guys remember as as recent as like you know November December 2025 everyone thought that like the clear AI big three was Google Anthropic and o…”
—max
now playing · $GOOGL
$MOONSHOT-AIbullish· mediummax
Max/Jordan: Moonshot's Kimi K3 achieves frontier model status, third-best globally
Kimi K3 ranks top 3 globally on composite benchmarks, matching closed-source frontier models at 2.8T parameters with competitive API pricing.
$GOOGL···bearish· mediummax
Max: Google should be embarrassed as Chinese startup Moonshot reaches frontier parity
Moonshot's Kimi K3 matches frontier model performance at 2.8T parameters, exposing Google's loss of AI leadership despite massive resources.
$CRWV···bullish· lowmax
CoreWeave and neoclouds in licensing talks to serve Kimi K3 on GB300s
Neoclouds like CoreWeave are likely negotiating licensing deals with Moonshot to serve Kimi K3 on latest GB300 infrastructure, creating new revenue streams for GPU cloud providers…
$NBIS···bullish· lowmax
Nebius positioned to serve Kimi K3 via licensing deal on latest hardware
Nebius (referred to as 'nebuses') is among neoclouds negotiating to serve Kimi K3 on GB300s, leveraging their GPU infrastructure for open-source frontier model hosting as a differ…
$NVDA···bullish· mediumjordan
Jordan: Kimi K3 requires B300/GB300 chips, driving demand for Nvidia's latest generation
Frontier models like Kimi K3 (2.8T params) no longer fit on B200s, requiring B300/GB300 or MI355X, creating forced upgrade cycle for inference infrastructure.
$AMD···bullish· lowjordan
AMD MI355X positioned as alternative for serving 2.8T parameter models
AMD's MI355X is mentioned alongside Nvidia's latest chips as capable of serving frontier-scale models like Kimi K3 on a single server, indicating competitive positioning for high-…
$ANTHROPICbearish· mediumjordan
Jordan: US export controls kneecapping Anthropic, letting competitors catch up to frontier
US government restrictions forcing Anthropic to delay/limit model releases artificially narrows the gap with open-source and Chinese models, threatening pricing power.
$OPENAIbearish· mediumjordan
Jordan: OpenAI similarly restricted by US government, holding back frontier models
US government restrictions on OpenAI prevent release of best models (e.g., larger than GPT-4.5), allowing competitors to close the gap.
$HUAWEIbullish· mediumjordan
Huawei Ascend leads Chinese accelerator push for frontier model inference
As China prioritizes domestic AI compute, Huawei's Ascend chips are positioned as primary infrastructure for running frontier models like Kimi K3, benefiting from national policy…