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$FOUNDERS-FUND · Founders Fund stays pure early-stage venture, adds Ryan Byermeister from OpenAI, rejects evergreen/public market strategies
now playing · $FOUNDERS-FUND
$SITUATIONAL-AWARENESS-LPbullish· high· posleopold aschenbrenner
Leopold Aschenbrenner takes full responsibility for -67% July drawdown, sells public book to Citadel to protect LP capital
Fund experienced extreme volatility in AI positions but took decisive action to remove all leverage and preserve private positions; Aschenbrenner remains fully invested alongside…
$ANTHROPICbullish· high· posleopold aschenbrenner
Situational Awareness turns down $3.5B Anthropic stake sale to Green Oaks and Sequoia, keeping position
Leopold's fund negotiated a $3.5B sale of its Anthropic stake but pulled out at the last minute to retain the position, signaling high conviction in Anthropic's long-term value de…
$NUMERAIbullish· high· posrichard craig
Numerai targets pure alpha via factor-neutral, low-volatility quant strategy
Numerai hedges thousands of risk factors to isolate true alpha, uses leverage to scale a low-volatility core strategy, aims for consistent 9% alpha annually rather than high-beta…
$NUMERA-AIbullish· high· posrichard craig
Richard Craig explains Numera.ai's pure alpha strategy: hedging thousands of factor risks with high leverage but low volatility
True alpha requires neutralizing all factor risks (market, momentum, sector) so returns are uncorrelated; Numera uses high leverage on a tightly risk-constrained portfolio to achi…
$AMZN···neutral· low· posrichard craig
Numerai founder bought Amazon calls personally, calls it a gamble not alpha
Richard bought Amazon call options based on friend's tip and AI tailwind, made 300%, but explicitly states this is not alpha—just a compensated risk bet that any investor could re…
$POLYCHAINneutral· medium· posrichard craig
Richard Craig invested in Polychain as crypto analog to high-volatility concentrated funds
Polychain represented the crypto version of a concentrated, high-volatility fund; Richard was first and largest LP but didn't expect 1000% returns to persist, viewing it as a risk…
$SPCX···neutral· medium· postrey stevens
SpaceX faces valuation reset as lockups loom, but remains generational company
SpaceX has reset to near IPO price with lockups not yet released; two-year overhang as shares unlock, but still a generational hard-tech success.
$ANDURILbullish· high· postrey stevens
Anduril builds Arsenal 1 factory in 18 months, rolls first Fury autonomous fighter, announces Thunder attack helicopter
Anduril has achieved rapid manufacturing scale (Arsenal 1 operational in 18 months) and is expanding from drones to autonomous fighter aircraft (Fury) and attack helicopters (Thun…
$ANDURILbullish· high· postrey stevens
Anduril scales manufacturing with Arsenal One, rolls out Fury and Thunder autonomous aircraft
Anduril is rapidly scaling domestic manufacturing (Arsenal One in Ohio), producing autonomous collaborative aircraft (Fury, Thunder) with 18-month factory build, leveraging govern…
$FOUNDERS-FUNDbullish· high· postrey stevens
Founders Fund stays pure early-stage venture, adds Ryan Byermeister from OpenAI, rejects evergreen/public market strategies
Founders Fund believes venture is a micro game focused on generational companies; Fund 2 may be the greatest in VC history, but the firm will not pursue evergreen funds, public ma…
$FOUNDERS-FUNDbullish· high· postrey stevens
Founders Fund stays venture-only, adds OpenAI alum Ryan Byermeister as partner
Fund 2 may be greatest in VC history; firm remains committed to early-stage venture despite macro bearishness, added Ryan Byermeister from OpenAI/Meta/Palantir, rejects evergreen/…
$BRINK-DRONESbullish· high· posblake resnick
Brink Drones raises $125M led by Motorola to put 911 response drones on every police and fire station roof in America
Brink targets 80,000 police/fire stations with automated drone-in-a-box systems (Responder, Guardian) featuring battery-swap recharging, Starlink connectivity, and thermal/visual…
$BRINC-DRONESbullish· high· posblake resnick
Brinc raises $125M led by Motorola to put 911 response drones on every station roof
Brinc targets 80k police/fire stations with automated drone-in-a-box systems (Responder, Guardian), raised $125M from strategic partner Motorola Solutions to accelerate go-to-mark…
$MSI···bullish· highblake resnick
Motorola Solutions leads Brink Drones $125M round, provides distribution to every police/fire department and product integration
Motorola is the #1 public safety vendor with pre-existing contracts and relationships at every potential Brink customer; integration includes emergency radio button triggering dro…
$MSI···bullish· highblake resnick
Motorola Solutions leads Brinc round, provides distribution and software integration moat
Motorola dominates public safety radios/software with relationships at every potential customer; integration with Brinc enables automated drone dispatch via 911 CAD and emergency…
$SITUATIONAL-AWARENESS-LPneutral· highjohn coogan
Situational Awareness LP sells public book to Citadel after 67% July drawdown, stays hybrid
Fund took excessive volatility on concentrated AI bets, faced bank-run-like dynamics, sold public equity to Citadel to deleverage, retains private positions (Anthropic, etc.), pla…
$ANTHROPICbullish· mediumjohn coogan
Situational Awareness retains Anthropic stake after pulling $3.5B secondary sale
Leopold's fund tried to sell $3.5B Anthropic stake to Green Oaks/Sequoia but pulled out to keep the position, signaling high conviction in Anthropic as core private holding alongs…