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$ANTHROPIC · Immad projects Anthropic revenue could hit $100-150B next year on 20x multiple
now playing · $ANTHROPIC
Dave sees Anthropic IPO creating unprecedented dry powder for ecosystem acquisitions
Anthropic's IPO will generate massive capital concentrated among 5,000 employees, enabling thousands of billion-dollar acquisitions to build out the AI ecosystem.
Alex argues distribution moat beats model strength in frontier lab competition
Sam Altman explicitly chose a billion monthly active users over the strongest model, proving distribution is the decisive moat; OpenAI now has both distribution and the strongest…
$ANTHROPICbullish· highimmad wak
Immad projects Anthropic revenue could hit $100-150B next year on 20x multiple
Anthropic's current ~$50-60B revenue growing at extreme rates justifies a $1T+ valuation at 20x revenue, with potential to double revenue within a year given utility.
$SPCX···bullish· highdave blundin
Dave predicts SpaceX IPO will be massively oversubscribed with trillion-dollar demand
SpaceX and Anthropic IPOs will absorb trillions in capital demand; there's ~$1T seeking generative AI exposure that public markets must accommodate.
$MSFT···bearish· highalex wissner-gross
Alex declares Microsoft not in the frontier AI game with only mid-tier models
Microsoft's new in-house models are months behind Anthropic and OpenAI, compute- and talent-starved, and unlikely to catch up due to structural disadvantages versus frontier labs.
$MSFT···bearish· highimmad wak
Immad equates Microsoft AI to a good Chinese lab, not a frontier contender
Microsoft has specialized for office productivity rather than AGI, lacks the compute scale for massive MoE models, and its Maia chips aren't designed for frontier training.
$MSFT···bearish· mediumdave blundin
Dave frames Microsoft's AI struggle as a talent war lost to Zuckerberg and others
Microsoft cannot attract top AI researchers like Mark Chen because it lacks the will to win; corporate brand moats don't exist, only people matter.
$NVDA···neutral· mediumalex wissner-gross
Alex questions Nvidia's delayed entry into laptop CPUs despite 10x Intel valuation
Nvidia's N1/N1X ARM laptop chips arrive surprisingly late given its dominance; timing may relate to Vera Rubin data center CPU or consumer data acquisition for Jarvis.
$NVDA···bullish· mediumdave blundin
Dave theorizes Nvidia laptop play is about owning consumer contact for Jarvis
Nvidia wants direct consumer data via laptops as a testbed for AI-native OS, positioning for when AI disrupts Apple's ecosystem.
$NVDA···bullish· mediumalex wissner-gross
Alex posits Nvidia leverages TSMC frontier node priority to control laptop supply chain
Nvidia now commands majority of TSMC bleeding-edge transistors, giving it distribution leverage over laptop vendors who need frontier-node chips.
$NVDA···bullish· highimmad wak
Immad sees Nvidia blocking AMD's Strix Halo and owning home Jarvis via open source
Nvidia's RTX 5070-class laptop GPU can run 3B parameter models locally; combined with Cosmos/Neatron open source alliances, Nvidia aims to own edge intelligence and block AMD.
Alex bullish on New Limit's epigenetic reprogramming approach at $3.1B valuation
New Limit's $435M raise at $3.1B for partial epigenetic reprogramming targeting alcohol-related liver disease represents a tractable path to longevity escape velocity.
$VERV···bullish· highalex wissner-gross
Alex calls Verve's PCSK9 gene editing a Star Trek-level one-shot cure for heart disease
Verve-102's single infusion permanently knocks down PCSK9, cutting LDL 62% for 18+ months; combines CRISPR base editing with mRNA delivery to effectively cure atherosclerotic card…