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$TSLA · INFLUENCERS jugando a INVERSORES, SpaceX a 2 BILLONES y 3 MILLONES EN LLAMAS entre Socios -Tertulia
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$TSLA···bullish· medium· pospablo schfner
Pablo holds Tesla shares betting on Optimus humanoid ramp to $3T valuation
Tesla's Optimus humanoid (22 DOF hands, 50kg, 170cm) leverages AI and manufacturing scale; Bank of America projects 1.2M units by 2030 and 10M by 2035, potentially justifying $3T…
$HOLDEDbullish· medium· posunknown
SeedRocket portfolio company Holded promoted as all-in-one business management SaaS
Holded consolidates invoicing, HR, banking, treasury, and budgets into one platform; SeedRocket invested early, uses it across all portfolio companies, and cites upcoming VeriFact…
$BMBL···bearish· lowpablo schfner
Bumble valuation collapsed from $8B to $250M as dating app fatigue sets in
Dating app usage declining (Bumble down 97% from peak) reflects broader demographic shift: smartphone addiction reduces socialization, raising partner-finding friction; used as ev…
$BLUEbearish· mediumalberto bonoma
Blue Origin's private-only strategy yielded 50x smaller scale vs SpaceX's NASA flywheel
Blue Origin avoided NASA contracts to focus on private/tourism; result: 50x smaller than SpaceX. Gwynne Shotwell forced SpaceX to leverage NASA as anchor customer ($22B cumulative…
$XAIneutral· lowpablo schfner
xAI integration into SpaceX valuation via data center and Grok revenue streams
Musk's xAI (Grok, Colossus) folded into SpaceX narrative: $3B revenue line attributed to 'AI/Twitter/Grok/data centers'; orbital compute and Starlink distribution create vertical…
Anthropic partnership with SpaceX for orbital data centers (Colossus) cited as 10% revenue driver
SpaceX's Starshield orbital data center thesis relies on Anthropic's Colossus supercomputer partnership; space-based compute advantages (free cooling, abundant solar) could unlock…
$SPCX···neutral· highdavid baratec
SpaceX IPO at $1.75T valuation debated: Starlink cash cow vs. Mars optionality
SpaceX dominates launch with 60% market share and 90% cost reduction via vertical integration and reusability; Starlink at 10M subs and $11.4B revenue (50% margin) funds Starship…
$LMT···bearish· lowdavid baratec
Lockheed Martin legacy cost-plus model vulnerable to SpaceX disruption
Lockheed Martin operated under NASA cost-plus contracts with fixed fee, incentivizing cost inflation; SpaceX's vertical integration and fixed pricing broke the paradigm.
$BA···bearish· mediumdavid baratec
Boeing's cost-plus NASA model disrupted by SpaceX fixed-price vertical integration
Boeing charged $90M/seat to ISS under cost-plus contracts; SpaceX reduced to $55M via 80% vertical integration, 3D-printed engines, and reusability; Boeing managed only 5 launches…