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▶ 107:00 · $REGENT · Sea glider startup raises $240M Series B with $10B commercial backlog
episode briefing
TBPN

WE'RE BACK: Meta Addiction, Jalapeño, Tim Cook's Last Day, Flocked

2026-08-31 · 24 company · 16 thematic
sentiment
11 bull2 bear11 neu
speakers
actonide founder

Finance/software background who self-funded Actinide with >$1M after being challenged to work on 'humanity's hardest unsolved problem' — isotope separation. First startup to produce HALEU domestically using modernized Calutron technology.

billy falmer

Aviation background (pilot) who co-founded Regent to build electric sea gliders certified as vessels. Raised $240M Series B with $10B commercial backlog and $20M defense orders. Dual-use strategy with hybrid propulsion for military range.

aaron cannon

Aaron Cannon is the founder and CEO of Outset, an AI-moderated research platform that conducts scalable customer interviews. He previously worked in research and insights, then as VP of Product at a tech company before founding Outset in 2022 after LLMs emerged.

stephen

Co-founder of WOB (blob), an API-first platform enabling AI agents to programmatically run businesses—payments, ads, labor—via a new CLI.

john coogan

Co-host of TBPN, a live technology and business show focused on startups, venture capital and Silicon Valley.

jordan schneider

Runs ChinaTalk newsletter/podcast covering Chinese technology, AI, and geopolitics. Deep expertise in Chinese semiconductor ecosystem, AI labs, and industrial policy. Previously at Rhodium Group.

quote
“we just wrapped up our $240 million series B... we have about 10 billion in the backlog there... firm orders like actual orders, non-refundable deposits... over 10 million in the bank now that are backing our backlog... on the defense side…”
—billy falmer
now playing · $REGENT
$META···bullish· highjohn coogan
Meta's $122.7B settlement is only 2.4% of US revenue vs tobacco's 17.5%
The settlement is immaterial to Meta's financials (2.4% of US revenue vs tobacco's 17.5%), lacks inflation adjustment, and regulatory capture dynamics actually benefit incumbents…
$AAPL···bullish· mediumjohn coogan
Apple's AI strategy: skip neolabs, own the hardware layer for computer use agents
Apple doesn't need to acquire an AI lab; its strategy of building powerful on-device hardware (M6 chips, Mac minis) for computer use agents lets it capture value without massive d…
$CHARLESTON-AIneutral· lowjohn coogan
Local AI services franchise concept; founders answer phone via AI voice clone
Charleston AI offers in-person AI consulting for small businesses/freelancers; potential franchise model but only $3M valuation — too small for Apple acquisition.
$ANTHROPICneutral· lowjohn coogan
Anthropic rents Mac minis via AWS for AI training; on IPO path
Anthropic uses AWS Mac mini instances for computer use agent training, and is among the cohort of decacorns expected to IPO soon.
$NVDA···bearish· highjohn coogan
OpenAI's custom 'Jalapeno' inference chip beats Nvidia Blackwell on throughput/watt and latency
OpenAI's first-gen custom inference chip (Jalapeno) achieves 1.5-1.9x more useful inference throughput per watt than Nvidia GB200/GB300 while cutting end-to-end latency 1.7-3.6x,…
$AVGO···bullish· highjohn coogan
Broadcom lands 10GW OpenAI custom accelerator deal through 2029
Broadcom secured a massive 10-gigawatt manufacturing partnership for OpenAI-designed custom accelerators, with deployment starting H2 2026 — roughly 5x OpenAI's current compute ca…
$INSTINCTneutral· mediumjohn coogan
AI assistant startup raises $350M at $2.5B valuation in 4 months; sticky if privacy hurdle cleared
Instinct's always-on digital assistant with iMessage/Gmail access creates high switching costs once trust is established, but the $2.5B valuation at 4 months prices in massive suc…
$COGNITIONneutral· lowjohn coogan
Cognition acquired Pokey for $100-200M despite countless users
Cognition's acquisition of Pokey at $100-200M contrasts with Instinct's $2.5B valuation, raising questions about consumer AI agent monetization.
$CURSORneutral· lowjohn coogan
AI coding assistant Cursor valued at $60B in secondary market
Cursor's $60B valuation cited as example of frothy AI M&A market justifying billion-dollar seed rounds.
$OPENROUTERneutral· lowjohn coogan
OpenRouter valued at $8B; likely stock-heavy acquisition if sold
OpenRouter's $8B valuation mentioned in context of AI M&A wave; likely limited near-term liquidity if acquired by public company for stock.
$DAYCARTneutral· lowjohn coogan
Daycart valued at $6-7B in AI M&A wave
Daycart cited as another high-valuation private AI company in the current M&A cycle.
$SPCX···neutral· lowjohn coogan
SpaceX on IPO path alongside Anthropic, Databricks, Ramp, OpenAI
SpaceX listed among major private companies expected to go public in coming years, contributing to historic liquidity cycle for venture capital.
$DATABRICKSneutral· lowjohn coogan
Databricks on IPO path amid historic private market liquidity cycle
Databricks listed as a major private company expected to go public, part of a wave that justifies high seed valuations.
$INTERCOMneutral· lowjohn coogan
Intercom mentioned as M&A target in resilient unicorn/decacorn market
Intercom noted as a potential acquisition target in the active unicorn/decacorn M&A market driven by trillion-dollar buyers.
$HUGGING-FACEbullish· mediumjohn coogan
Hugging Face acquired by Nvidia; Kevin Durant made 467x on $100K seed investment
Hugging Face's acquisition by Nvidia generated a 467x return for early investor Kevin Durant ($100K → $46.7M), validating the open-source AI platform thesis.
$RACE···bullish· mediumjohn coogan
Ferrari Luche (EV) drives up prices of gas-powered classics as 'devil horn car'
The Ferrari Luche's announcement as the brand's EV future triggered collector demand for pure ICE models (458, 488), driving up prices — the 'devil horn car' effect makes enthusia…
$TSLA···neutral· lowjohn coogan
Model S Plaid performance (0-60 in 2s) at $60k resale creates reckless driver risk
Used Model S Plaids at $60k put extreme acceleration in inexperienced hands, but electronic stability systems mitigate actual crash data — no evidence EVs are more dangerous despi…
$DEEPSEEKbullish· mediumjordan schneider
Self-funded Chinese AI lab prioritizes research independence over commercialization
DeepSeek's founder Liang Wenfeng uses quant hedge fund profits to fund AGI research without investor pressure, keeping headcount small and avoiding perverse incentives — a unique…
$NVDA···bullish· highjordan schneider
Western AI chip ecosystem has 12-15x capacity advantage over China
The US/TSMC/Nvidia ecosystem has 12-15x more chip capacity than China's domestic semiconductor ecosystem, giving Western labs a decisive compute advantage for at least 5 years.
$FLOCK-SAFETYbearish· mediumjordi hays
Surveillance camera startup faces public backlash and physical destruction of devices
Flock Safety's license plate reader network sold to police faces grassroots opposition (buzz saw attacks, protests) due to privacy abuses (officers tracking ex-spouses), creating…
$ACTINIDEbullish· high· posactonide founder
First startup to produce HALEU fuel for next-gen reactors using Calutron tech
Actinide is the first private company to enrich uranium to HALEU (19.75% U-235) using modernized Calutron (electromagnetic isotope separation) technology, initially selling medica…
$REGENTbullish· high· posbilly falmer
Sea glider startup raises $240M Series B with $10B commercial backlog
Regent's electric sea gliders (certified as vessels, not aircraft) solve the range/training/certification barriers of eVTOLs, with $10B commercial backlog (ferry passengers = airl…
$OUTSETbullish· medium· posaaron cannon
AI digital twins for hard-to-reach B2B audiences; Microsoft, Google, Uber, Coinbase customers
Outset builds AI digital twins grounded in 75-minute paid interviews ($200) to simulate hard-to-reach decision-makers (CRM buyers, retailers) for product/pricing decisions, with c…
$LAMBDAbullish· high· posstephen
Data center provider argues AI factories are net-positive for US grid, jobs, and national security
Modern AI data centers use closed-loop water cooling (zero consumption), create high-paying jobs ($100k+), drive grid upgrades that enable industrial onshoring, and represent a na…