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$META · Big Tech is Crushing It. What's the Catch?
now playing · $META
$META···bullish· medium· posjosh kale
Meta beats EPS by 53% with AI-driven ad conversion gains; stock down 9% creates buying opportunity
Meta's AI integration into advertising delivery beat expectations (revenue +33% YoY) and is beating Google at search advertising. Market oversold at 16x forward PE due to advertis…
$GOOGL···bullish· highjosh kale
Google Cloud backlog hits $462B with compute-constrained demand driving 2027 CapEx acceleration
Google Search grew 20% to $60B debunking AI cannibalization fears, while Cloud has $462B in locked-in backlog orders and is compute-constrained not demand-constrained. Sundar guid…
$ANTHROPICbullish· mediumjosh kale
Anthropic valuation markups driving GAAP earnings for Google and Amazon; circular AI investment economy
Hyperscalers' strategic investments in Anthropic generating massive unrealized gains (Google $37B of $62B net income; Amazon $16.8B of $30B). Creates circular dynamic where CapEx…
$AMZN···bullish· highjosh kale
AWS growth re-accelerates to 28% with $200B CapEx and OpenAI partnership via Bedrock
AWS hit $150B run rate growing 28% (fastest in 15 quarters) with 40% margins, compute-constrained not demand-constrained. Amazon spending $200B CapEx (exceeds US oil & gas industr…
$MSFT···neutral· mediumjosh kale
Azure grows 40% but AI product execution lags; OpenAI stake worth 10x but Copilot adoption failing
Cloud infrastructure (Azure) printing money at 40% growth with $190B CapEx, but AI application layer (Copilot) losing to Anthropic/OpenAI/Google. Mustafa Suleyman not delivering;…
$OPENAIneutral· mediumjosh kale
Microsoft's 27% OpenAI stake worth 10x cost but partnership fracture creates long-term IP risk
Microsoft invested $13B for 27% stake now worth $132B (10x), but lost exclusive cloud provider status to Amazon Bedrock. IP control expires in 3-4 years; if Microsoft hasn't built…
$AAPL···neutral· lowjosh kale
Apple earnings upcoming; WWDC Apple Intelligence key for on-device AI distribution
Apple controls the device layer where all AI infrastructure ultimately gets served (iPhones, MacBooks). WWDC June and Apple Intelligence rollout will determine if they capture val…
$CURSORbullish· highjosh kale
Cursor releases agent harness API creating moat; xAI acquires purchase option
Cursor's agent harness (prompt orchestration + dev environment + API integration) makes base models 10x better per eval benchmarks. Sam Altman confirmed harness equals model in va…
$ELEVENLABSbullish· mediumjosh kale
Eleven Labs pays $11M to voice creators building AI music royalty infrastructure
Audio AI leader paying creators directly for voice licensing, bypassing traditional music industry middlemen. $11M paid to small creator base vs Spotify's near-zero per-stream. Tr…
$BE···bullish· highejaaz
Bloom Energy up 1,400% YTD as data center power beneficiary; Leopold 13F shows position 3x to $2.7B
Hyperscaler CapEx flowing into data center energy infrastructure. Bloom Energy captures fuel cell/power generation for AI data centers, up 24% on earnings day. Smart money (Leopol…
$SNDK···bullish· highejaaz
SanDisk 30x return in 2 years as memory supply constraint drives pricing power
Memory (NAND/DRAM) identified as critical supply constraint across all four hyperscaler earnings calls. One company added $25B CapEx just for memory cost increases. SanDisk as pur…
$SPCX···bullish· mediumejaaz
SpaceX markup contributes billions to Google earnings; pre-IPO valuation inflection approaching
SpaceX shares marked up in Google's portfolio contributing to $37B unrealized gains. Pre-IPO secondary valuations implying PE ratios approaching dot-com peak levels (Cisco/Microso…