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$ASTS

AST SpaceMobile
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AST SpaceMobile is developing a satellite network to provide mobile broadband services globally.

sentiment mix
bull 67%bear 33%neu 0%

signal summary

latest high-conviction thesis
Short AST SpaceMobile: horrible satellite economics, Verizon keeps the margin▾

Multiple satellite providers, tiny addressable market for premium connectivity. Revenue-share deals (Verizon charges $10-20/mo, keeps $10, AST bears all capex). Satellites burn up in 3-5 years requiring perpetual replacement. Reminds of Plug Power collapse. Telecom is brutally hard for #2/#3 players.

unknownT2Asymmetric Investing2026-07-24
confidence 78 / 100impact High
key themes
  • Space Economy82%
  • AI Infrastructure36%
  • Autonomous Vehicles36%
  • Public Markets & Valuation36%
  • AI Applications27%

bull thesis · 8

63 / 100
  • •FCC Chair Carr: AST SpaceMobile among companies benefiting from faster direct-to-device approvals
  • •AST SpaceMobile's D2C satellite spectrum OS enables personalized compute workloads
  • •Space-based personalized spectrum enables compute at marginal cost for every device

bear thesis · 4

52 / 100
  • •Short AST SpaceMobile via long-dated puts: space-based telecom economics unlikely to work
  • •Short AST SpaceMobile: horrible satellite economics, Verizon keeps the margin
  • •Short AST SpaceMobile via long-dated puts: space telecom economics don't work

company research · 6 videos

mentions · 12

Asymmetric InvestingAsk Me Anything: July 2026 Edition1 mentions · 0▲ 1▼ 0○ · 2 months ago
0:0025:0050:001:15:001:40:00
Bloomberg TechAI Selloff, Apple vs. OpenAI & the Future of Defense Tech | Bloomberg Tech 7/13/20261 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 2 months ago
0:006:0012:0018:0025:00
TBPNBen Thompson Joins, 5.6 Sol Reactions, Coatue Bets Big on Blue Origin at $130B1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 3 months ago
0:003:007:0011:0015:00
Antonio LinaresI’m up 80x on AMD1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 5 months ago
0:003:007:0011:0015:00
Asymmetric InvestingAsymmetric Investing April AMA1 mentions · 0▲ 1▼ 0○ · 5 months ago
0:0017:0035:0052:001:10:00
Limitless PodcastThe Space Economy Is About To Explode1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 5 months ago
0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Asymmetric InvestingAsymmetric Investing AMA2 mentions · 0▲ 2▼ 0○ · 6 months ago
0:0016:0032:0048:001:05:00
Antonio LinaresEarly AMD Investor Explains: The Next Tech Stock Rally is Coming.1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 6 months ago
0:007:0015:0022:0030:00
Antonio Linares"ASTS Matters More to Physical AI Than Nvidia (And Nobody’s Watching)”1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 9 months ago
0:002:005:007:0010:00
Antonio Linares“A Silent Breakthrough Is Brewing… Watch This Space.”1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · 10 months ago
0:003:007:0011:0015:00
Michael SikandAST's $1T Masterplan To Win The Space Phone Race (AST Spacemobile)1 mentions · 1▲ 0▼ 0○ · last year
0:005:0010:0015:0020:00