▶ 30:56 · $KALSHI · Kalshi valued at $5B, backed by a16z, partners with Coinbase for US-regulated prediction markets

episode briefing

Nvidia Bull vs. Bear, White House AI Executive Order & Coinbase Prediction Market | Nov 20, 2025

2025-11-21 · 11 company · 31 thematic

sentiment

5 bull3 bear3 neu

speakers

Senior analyst at Seapport Research, holds a sell rating on Nvidia (one of the only on Wall Street), brought on as the bear in the debate.

ben behar

CEO of Creative Strategies, a technology market research and consulting firm, with over 20 years attending Apple events and analyzing consumer technology markets including foldables and smartphones.

yui yang

Covers fintech, crypto, and private company financials for The Information.

quote

“Coinbase uh according to my reporting is set to launch their own prediction markets uh which they will unveil in their product event in mid December and they are going to work with Koshi which is a US regulated prediction markets to offer…”

—yui yang

episode shorts · 1

The NVIDIA Bull Case: Why AI's Massive Models Demand Unpreceden…

now playing · $KALSHI

$NVDA···bearish· high· posjay goldberg

Jay Goldberg maintains sell rating on Nvidia citing demand friction and rising competition

End demand is weakening as it gets harder to finance chip purchases; AMD is closing the hardware and software gap with competitive silicon and ROCm by 2027; hyperscalers are desig…

$AMD···bullish· mediumjay goldberg

Jay Goldberg sees AMD closing competitive gap with Nvidia by 2027 across silicon and software

AMD's roadmap shows competitive silicon and rack-level solutions; ROCm software stack has closed the gap considerably from years behind to near parity; by 2027 AMD will be fully c…

$GOOGL···bullish· mediumjay goldberg

Jay Goldberg argues Google TPU is superior to Nvidia for large classes of AI workloads

Google's custom TPU chips present a credible alternative to Nvidia GPUs for significant categories of AI training and inference workloads, representing a structural competitive th…

$NVDA···bullish· mediumben behar

Ben Behar argues Nvidia's architectural moat and hyperscaler demand justify bullish stance

Nvidia benefits from CUDA architectural compatibility across clouds and the largest installed GPU base, while hyperscalers are building 150+ GW of AI data center capacity ex-China…

$NVDA···bullish· highben behar

Ben Behar argues Nvidia's architectural moat and hyperscaler-driven demand justify premium valuation

Nvidia's CUDA ecosystem and massive installed GPU base create architectural lock-in for developers, while hyperscalers are building 150+ GW of AI data center capacity ex-China by…

$NVDA···bearish· high· posjay goldberg

Jay Goldberg maintains sell rating citing demand fragility, AMD/hyperscaler competition, and neocloud backstop discounts

End demand for Nvidia chips is becoming harder to finance as AMD closes the hardware/software gap (fully competitive by 2027), hyperscalers deploy custom silicon like Google TPU w…

$OPENAIbearish· highjay goldberg

Jay Goldberg flags OpenAI's trillion-dollar funding gap as key risk to Nvidia's long-term demand outlook

OpenAI represents a disproportionate share of Microsoft and Oracle's AI data center capacity, yet remains a cash-burning startup with uncertain trillion-dollar funding plans, maki…

$KALSHIneutral· mediumyui yang

Kalshi valued at $5B, backed by a16z, partners with Coinbase for US-regulated prediction markets

Kalshi is the largest US-regulated prediction market operator ($5B valuation, backed by Andreessen Horowitz) partnering with Coinbase to launch prediction markets, benefiting from…

$COIN···bullish· mediumyui yang

Coinbase launching prediction markets via Kalshi partnership to advance 'everything exchange' strategy

Coinbase is expanding into prediction markets through a partnership with US-regulated Kalshi, targeting a mid-December product launch as part of its strategy to become an 'everyth…

$POLYMARKETneutral· mediumyui yang

Polymarket valued at $8B after raising from NYSE owner, expanding into US post-CFTC settlement

Polymarket is the larger global prediction market operator ($8B valuation) that recently gained US regulatory approval by acquiring a licensed exchange and clearing house, setting…

$COIN···neutral· mediumyui yang

Coinbase building 'everything exchange' with prediction markets and tokenized stocks per The Information reporting

Coinbase is expanding beyond crypto trading into prediction markets (partnering with Kalshi for mid-December launch) and tokenized stocks (blockchain-based US equity exposure) to…

←

▶ 30:56 · $KALSHI · Kalshi valued at $5B, backed by a16z, partners with Coinbase for US-regulated prediction markets

episode briefing

The Information

Nvidia Bull vs. Bear, White House AI Executive Order & Coinbase Prediction Market | Nov 20, 2025

2025-11-21 · 11 company · 31 thematic

sentiment

5 bull3 bear3 neu

speakers

jay goldberg

Senior analyst at Seapport Research, holds a sell rating on Nvidia (one of the only on Wall Street), brought on as the bear in the debate.

ben behar

CEO of Creative Strategies, a technology market research and consulting firm, with over 20 years attending Apple events and analyzing consumer technology markets including foldables and smartphones.

yui yang

Covers fintech, crypto, and private company financials for The Information.

quote

“Coinbase uh according to my reporting is set to launch their own prediction markets uh which they will unveil in their product event in mid December and they are going to work with Koshi which is a US regulated prediction markets to offer…”

—yui yang

episode shorts · 1

The NVIDIA Bull Case: Why AI's Massive Models Demand Unpreceden…

now playing · $KALSHI

$NVDA···bearish· high· posjay goldberg

Jay Goldberg maintains sell rating on Nvidia citing demand friction and rising competition

End demand is weakening as it gets harder to finance chip purchases; AMD is closing the hardware and software gap with competitive silicon and ROCm by 2027; hyperscalers are desig…

$AMD···bullish· mediumjay goldberg

Jay Goldberg sees AMD closing competitive gap with Nvidia by 2027 across silicon and software

AMD's roadmap shows competitive silicon and rack-level solutions; ROCm software stack has closed the gap considerably from years behind to near parity; by 2027 AMD will be fully c…

$GOOGL···bullish· mediumjay goldberg

Jay Goldberg argues Google TPU is superior to Nvidia for large classes of AI workloads

Google's custom TPU chips present a credible alternative to Nvidia GPUs for significant categories of AI training and inference workloads, representing a structural competitive th…

$NVDA···bullish· mediumben behar

Ben Behar argues Nvidia's architectural moat and hyperscaler demand justify bullish stance

Nvidia benefits from CUDA architectural compatibility across clouds and the largest installed GPU base, while hyperscalers are building 150+ GW of AI data center capacity ex-China…

$NVDA···bullish· highben behar

Ben Behar argues Nvidia's architectural moat and hyperscaler-driven demand justify premium valuation

Nvidia's CUDA ecosystem and massive installed GPU base create architectural lock-in for developers, while hyperscalers are building 150+ GW of AI data center capacity ex-China by…

$NVDA···bearish· high· posjay goldberg

Jay Goldberg maintains sell rating citing demand fragility, AMD/hyperscaler competition, and neocloud backstop discounts

End demand for Nvidia chips is becoming harder to finance as AMD closes the hardware/software gap (fully competitive by 2027), hyperscalers deploy custom silicon like Google TPU w…

$OPENAIbearish· highjay goldberg

Jay Goldberg flags OpenAI's trillion-dollar funding gap as key risk to Nvidia's long-term demand outlook

OpenAI represents a disproportionate share of Microsoft and Oracle's AI data center capacity, yet remains a cash-burning startup with uncertain trillion-dollar funding plans, maki…

$KALSHIneutral· mediumyui yang

Kalshi valued at $5B, backed by a16z, partners with Coinbase for US-regulated prediction markets

Kalshi is the largest US-regulated prediction market operator ($5B valuation, backed by Andreessen Horowitz) partnering with Coinbase to launch prediction markets, benefiting from…

$COIN···bullish· mediumyui yang

Coinbase launching prediction markets via Kalshi partnership to advance 'everything exchange' strategy

Coinbase is expanding into prediction markets through a partnership with US-regulated Kalshi, targeting a mid-December product launch as part of its strategy to become an 'everyth…

$POLYMARKETneutral· mediumyui yang

Polymarket valued at $8B after raising from NYSE owner, expanding into US post-CFTC settlement

Polymarket is the larger global prediction market operator ($8B valuation) that recently gained US regulatory approval by acquiring a licensed exchange and clearing house, setting…

$COIN···neutral· mediumyui yang

Coinbase building 'everything exchange' with prediction markets and tokenized stocks per The Information reporting

Coinbase is expanding beyond crypto trading into prediction markets (partnering with Kalshi for mid-December launch) and tokenized stocks (blockchain-based US equity exposure) to…