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Nuclear Energy · Domestic uranium enrichment is the critical bottleneck for US nuclear renaissance

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Nuclear Energytailwindscore 9/10scott nolan

Domestic uranium enrichment is the critical bottleneck for US nuclear renaissance

US has zero commercial enrichment capacity; Russia supplies ~25% of enriched uranium. 2028 import ban creates hard supply cliff for both HALEU (advanced reactors) and LEU (existing fleet).…

Grid & Power Infrastructuretailwindscore 8/10scott nolan

Energy consumption per capita is the strongest proxy for GDP per capita; US stagnation since 1990s threatens competitiveness

Cross-country R-squared >0.8 between energy/capita and GDP/capita. China tripled US total energy production since 2010. AI/data center demand now forces US to build new baseload or lose ind…

Nuclear Energytailwindscore 8/10scott nolan

Three-tier reactor market emerging: gigawatt for grid, SMR for data centers, microreactor for remote

Advanced reactors segment by size/application: 1 GW AP1000 for grid baseload; 100-300 MW SMRs for behind-the-meter data centers (5-10 yr horizon); 1 MW microreactors for remote diesel displ…

Nuclear Energymixedscore 7/10scott nolan

Nuclear should be cheapest energy on physics (fuel energy density) but hasn't been due to lost learning-by-doing; advanced reactors + domestic fuel aim to flip cost curve

Uranium pellet equals ~1 ton coal; first-principles cost should beat fossils. Historical cost escalation came from stopping construction (lost iteration). Advanced reactor factories + domes…

Grid & Power Infrastructuretailwindscore 7/10scott nolan

BYOE (Bring Your Own Energy): data centers will co-locate nuclear to secure power and win community approval

Data centers face multi-year grid interconnection queues. Building dedicated nuclear (SMR) behind-the-meter solves speed-to-power, avoids ratepayer impact, and can feed surplus to local gri…