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Macro & Rates · Soros: existential question is which currency to denominate in; Kaplan chose gold
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Gold entering massive bull market; $3K-5K target now exceeded, new target much higher
Kaplan predicted gold at $3,000-5,000/oz in 2007 when gold was ~$600. He now says we are in the 'foothills of a massive, massive bull market' and his price target has 'changed very consider…
Templeton's 'buy at maximum pessimism' drives Kaplan's cycle-based conviction
Kaplan adopts John Templeton's maxim to buy during periods of maximum pessimism. He seeks reversals with 10-100x potential (silver, platinum, oil) and waits years for 'metaphysical certitud…
Nationalization risk rising; gold/silver will be seized as strategic assets in most jurisdictions
Kaplan warns that if his gold/silver thesis is correct, these metals will be nationalized in most jurisdictions as they become viewed as strategic monetary assets. He repatriated all holdin…
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Soros: existential question is which currency to denominate in; Kaplan chose gold
Quoting George Soros, Kaplan says the existential question for an investor is the currency of denomination. He sold his energy company in 2007 to denominate in gold, viewing fiat as a Ponzi…
Called oil to $100 from $18 in early 2000s; sold Leor at $2.55B top in 2007
When consensus saw oil at $12-15, Kaplan's analysis said $100. He built Leor Exploration, made a monster Texas gas discovery, sold to Encana for $2.55B in Nov 2007 — timing the top before t…