TickerTain
TickerTain
NewsroomShortsPortfolioConvergence
NewsroomShortsPortfolioConvergence
←
▶ 0:13 · $NKE · Nike Stock Is Still Broken | Here's Why You Should Avoid It
episode briefing
Asymmetric Investing

Nike Stock Is Still Broken | Here's Why You Should Avoid It

2026-04-10 · 4 company · 1 thematic
sentiment
2 bull2 bear0 neu
speakers
travis hoium

Travis Hoium hosts the Asymmetric Investing podcast/YouTube channel and manages the Asymmetric portfolio. He conducts fundamental research using Fiscal AI and focuses on platform business models, healthcare technology, and consumer subscription businesses. He discloses holding Hims & Hers as one of his largest positions.

quote
“You can see from this chart if you would have invested $10,000 in Nike 10 years ago, you would have less than $9,000 today. That is how bad things have gotten at Nike and I don't think they're getting any better. Their recently reported qu…”
—travis hoium
now playing · $NKE
$NKE···bearish· hightravis hoium
Nike losing market share to On and Hoka with collapsing margins and expensive valuation
Nike's failed DTC strategy ceded shelf space to competitors; gross margins fell from 46% to 41%, revenue is flat, yet stock trades at 29x P/E and 62x P/FCF — a valuation appropria…
$ONON···bullish· high· postravis hoium
On Holding taking share with 33%+ DTC growth, 63% rising gross margins, and high-end positioning
On is growing both DTC (39.9% currency neutral) and wholesale (32.6%) simultaneously while expanding gross margins to 63%, proving it can capture the premium consumer without the…
$DECK···bullish· mediumtravis hoium
Deckers' Hoka brand gaining share with stable 58% gross margins as Nike falters
Hoka is taking shelf space from Nike with a similar premium trajectory to On, and Deckers maintains ~58% gross margins while Nike's collapse, showing the competitive advantage of…
$LULU···bearish· lowtravis hoium
Lululemon losing pricing power with declining gross margins amid sector shift
Even Lululemon, a premium peer, sees gross margins falling, signaling broader pressure on brands that cannot maintain high-end differentiation — though less severe than Nike's col…