▶ 17:18 · $KALSHI · Creating prediction markets (and suing the CFTC) with Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara

episode briefing

Creating prediction markets (and suing the CFTC) with Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara

2026-03-17 · 1 company · 6 thematic

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1 bull0 bear0 neu

speakers

Former trader and risk manager who grew up in Lebanon; co-founded Kalshi in 2018 to build a regulated 'everything exchange' for event contracts. Led the company through a multi-year regulatory battle including suing the CFTC and winning, achieving 95% US election market share. Mission-driven founder who views the company as a vehicle for the idea rather than an end in itself.

quote

“Volume in February was $10.4 billion. Dollars of contracts traded. And that's up 11x over 6 months... Fastest-growing company outside of AI... That has sort of dramatically outpaced the rest, our other sort of intermediary or broker busine…”

—tarek mansour

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Inside Kalshi's market making engine

Why Kalshi sued the CFTC

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$KALSHIbullish· high· postarek mansour

Kalshi hits $10.4B monthly volume, 11x growth in 6 months, eyes futures expansion

Kalshi's regulated exchange model with direct consumer adoption and peer-to-peer liquidity is scaling rapidly, expanding into institutional products like futures, swaps, and compu…