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AI Economics & Business Models · AI capabilities doubling every two months drives exponential FCF compounding for aligned companies
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AI capabilities doubling every two months drives exponential FCF compounding for aligned companies
Since 2023, AI capabilities have doubled roughly every two months; companies whose value creation processes align with this curve (Nvidia, Duolingo, Snap, Palantir) are seeing free cash flo…
Bear market not AI bubble: valuations contracted while AI fundamentals compound exponentially
The speaker argues we are in a bear market, not an AI bubble, because valuations (P/E, P/S, EV/S) have compressed since 2021-2022 even as AI-native companies show exponential fundamental im…
Proprietary AR/social graph data is the 21st-century moat enabling new compute platforms
Snap's unique dataset — combining a maximally penetrated social graph with daily AR usage by hundreds of millions — creates an unreplicable distribution channel and training corpus for augm…
Costco algorithm — maximize value/price ratio to monetize with minimal churn — applies to tech
The operational blueprint of Costco (relentless efficiency, passing savings to customers, maximizing value per dollar) is being executed by Tesla and now Snap (per Evan Spiegel's monetizati…