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▶ 0:06 · $SNDK · Memory Stocks Face 80% Collapse | Here's Why
episode briefing
Asymmetric Investing

Memory Stocks Face 80% Collapse | Here's Why

2026-07-15 · 4 company · 5 thematic
sentiment
0 bull4 bear0 neu
speakers
travis hoium

Travis Hoium hosts the Asymmetric Investing podcast/YouTube channel and manages the Asymmetric portfolio. He conducts fundamental research using Fiscal AI and focuses on platform business models, healthcare technology, and consumer subscription businesses. He discloses holding Hims & Hers as one of his largest positions.

quote
“Companies like Micron, SanDisk, have seen their stocks fall 20% or more from their high that was happening in late June. And there's actually some good reasons why. This momentum that they've had may not continue long-term.”
—travis hoium
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$SNDK···bearish· mediumtravis hoium
SanDisk shares down 20%+ as memory cycle turns
SanDisk is exposed to the same commodity memory cycle dynamics as Micron — peaking margins, rising supply from CapEx and Chinese capacity, and eventual demand destruction from hig…
$WDC···bearish· high· postravis hoium
Western Digital Exposed to Memory Cycle Downturn with 80% Downside Risk
Western Digital faces the same commodity memory cycle dynamics as Micron, with current low P/E multiples signaling peak earnings rather than value; supply expansion from incumbent…
$MU···bearish· hightravis hoium
Hoium models 80% downside for Micron as memory cycle peaks
Micron's current 80-85% operating margins are cyclically peak and unsustainable; massive CapEx increases from incumbents and new Chinese supply (CXMT, YMTC) will oversupply the ma…
$WDC···bearish· mediumtravis hoium
Western Digital caught in memory downcycle
Western Digital faces identical cyclical headwinds as other memory producers — supply expansion, demand elasticity, and customer design efficiency will compress margins and earnin…