TickerTain
TickerTain
NewsroomShortsPortfolioConvergence
NewsroomShortsPortfolioConvergence
←
▶ 7:38 · $NVDA · Don't Buy the Hype! Investing Lessons from Past Bubbles
episode briefing
Asymmetric Investing

Don't Buy the Hype! Investing Lessons from Past Bubbles

2026-06-12 · 4 company · 4 thematic
sentiment
0 bull4 bear0 neu
speakers
travis hoium

Travis Hoium hosts the Asymmetric Investing podcast/YouTube channel and manages the Asymmetric portfolio. He conducts fundamental research using Fiscal AI and focuses on platform business models, healthcare technology, and consumer subscription businesses. He discloses holding Hims & Hers as one of his largest positions.

quote
“Nvidia is not profitable. In fact, it's not even close to profitable. Yes, I know there's big backlog for the company. I know the company is building out data centers like crazy, but it is not demonstrated that it can actually turn that in…”
—travis hoium
now playing · $NVDA
$NVDA···bearish· hightravis hoium
Hoyle warns Nvidia at peak of inflated expectations, unprofitable with excessive capex
Nvidia trades at 8x EV/sales with $25B planned capex against only $9B cash; historical dot-com parallels show 80-90% crashes for similar high-flyers despite real technology adopti…
$MU···bearish· hightravis hoium
Hoyle argues Micron's AI-driven memory boom is cyclical and unsustainable
Memory industry historically overbuilds capacity leading to losses; AI demand will normalize as developers optimize memory usage, repeating Micron's boom-bust cycle.
$LRCX···bearish· hightravis hoium
Hoyle says Lam Research at 18x EV/sales with 13% CAGR is poor risk-reward
Paying 18x EV/sales for a semiconductor equipment company growing at 13% CAGR represents buying at peak inflated expectations with limited upside.
$BE···bearish· hightravis hoium
Hoyle calls Bloom Energy a short-term power play at 30x sales, not sustainable
Bloom's 28x rally reflects temporary AI-driven power desperation; as grid infrastructure expands, cheaper efficient energy will displace Bloom's natural-gas fuel cells, making 30x…