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AI Bubble / Capex Debate · Consensus bearishness on AI makes bubble impossible: Madame Media drives hysteria
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AI scaling laws accelerating, not flattening: GPU growth linearly drives revenue and profits
Epoch AI data shows frontier AI capabilities improvement doubled from 2024-2026 vs 2022-2024; GPU deployment correlates linearly with both revenue and profit growth at hyperscalers, contrad…
Law of large numbers doesn't apply to AI-driven digital twins: margins expand with scale
Palantir's AIP platform shows expanding margins as deployments grow — more data enables faster productization per vertical; AI scaling laws accelerating means compounding can persist 10-30…
Capital-light tech with network effects + AI tailwinds: the winning investment blueprint
Companies starting in a niche (books, sexual health, languages), achieving FCF positivity, then replicating via digital twins and AI automation create binary outcomes — either dominate vert…
Consensus bearishness on AI makes bubble impossible: Madame Media drives hysteria
When >50% of market participants are sentimentally bearish and constantly calling 'bubble', the euphoria required for a true bubble cannot form; media-driven narratives (Madame Media) creat…
Retail investors beating institutions by ignoring optical multiples and focusing on value creation
Institutions anchor on forward P/S vs history while missing AI-driven FCF/share inflection; retail's 'outsider' mindset (per The Outsiders) spots accelerating value creation that looks expe…