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▶ 17:14 · Semiconductors · Semiconductors outperform software as AI infrastructure winners
episode briefing
In Good Company with Nicolai Tangen

Results 2025 | Norges Bank Investment Management

2026-01-29 · 5 company · 7 thematic
sentiment
5 bull0 bear0 neu
speakers
karina sucha

Karina Sucha manages hardware technology investments for NBIM. She reviews 2025 tech sector performance, highlighting semiconductor outperformance, Alphabet's Gemini 3 success, and enterprise AI adoption metrics.

haral fon hayen

Haral Fon Hayen leads NBIM's renewable energy and infrastructure investments. He details the fund's aggressive 2025 deployment including a 22% stake in TenneT Germany, RWE offshore wind partnership, and the shift from green premium to green discount.

now playing · Semiconductors
Critical Minerals & Supply Chaintailwindscore 8/10arnab
Critical metals scarcity drives 40%+ returns in basic materials
Supply constraints in copper and rare earths combined with AI-driven demand and geopolitical fears are creating structural scarcity value in critical minerals.
AI Infrastructuretailwindscore 8/10arnab
AI-driven data center buildout fuels copper and power demand
AI infrastructure buildout is creating massive demand for physical infrastructure including copper, data centers, and electricity, creating investment opportunities in critical minerals and…
Semiconductorstailwindscore 7/10karina sucha
Semiconductors outperform software as AI infrastructure winners
Semiconductor companies with tight supply dynamics are outperforming software companies as investors favor AI infrastructure over applications amid uncertainty about AI's impact on traditio…
Energy & Power Generationtailwindscore 8/10haral fon hayen
Renewables shift from premium to discount creating investment opportunity
Renewable energy infrastructure has shifted from overpriced "green premium" to attractive "green discount" with less competition for large-scale projects, creating a favorable entry point f…
Grid & Power Infrastructuretailwindscore 9/10haral fon hayen
Grid infrastructure emerges as critical bottleneck for energy transition
Transmission systems are the critical bottleneck for renewable energy deployment, making grid operators like TenneT essential infrastructure investments with stable returns.
Geopolitics & Traderiskscore 7/10nicolai tangen
NBIM reviewing US concentration risk after expert council warning
The fund's benchmark-driven US overexposure (70%+ in equities) is under formal review by an expert council, with potential mandate changes to address geopolitical fragmentation risks.
AI Bubble / Capex Debateriskscore 8/10nicolai tangen
NBIM acknowledges AI bubble risks but cannot exit due to index concentration
While NBIM recognizes AI bubble risks including circular funding and debt uptake, the fund's benchmark concentration (top 10 = 20% of equity portfolio) prevents tactical exits, requiring ma…